Academia.eduAcademia.edu
Impact of climate and land use on plant diversity, carbon storage and leaf area index in the Jimma Highlands, Southwest Ethiopia Dereje Denu Rebu Addis Ababa University Addis Ababa, Ethiopia June 2016 Impact of climate and land use on plant diversity, carbon storage and leaf area index in the Jimma Highlands, southwest Ethiopia Dereje Denu Rebu A Dissertation Submitted to The Department of Plant Biology and Biodiversity Management Presented in Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Biology: Botanical Sciences) Addis Ababa University Addis Ababa, Ethiopia June 2016 ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY GRADUATE PROGRAMMES This is to certify that the Dissertation prepared by Dereje Denu Rebu, entitled: Impact of Climate and Land use on Plant Diversity, Carbon Storage and Leaf Area Index in the Jimma Highlands, Southwest Ethiopia and submitted in fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Biology: Botanical Sciences) complies with the regulations of the University and meets the accepted standards with respect to originality and quality. Signed by Examining Board: Name Signature Date 1. ________________________(Examiner) ____________ _______ 2. ________________________(Examiner) ____________ _______ 3. Ensermu Kelbessa (Advisor) ____________ _______ 4. Tadesse Woldemariam (Advisor) ____________ _______ 5. Rob Marchant (Advisor) ____________ _______ 6. _______________________ (Chairman) ____________ _______ Abstract Impact of Climate and Land use on Plant Diversity, Carbon Storage and Leaf Area Index in the Jimma Highlands, Southwest Ethiopia Dereje Denu Rebu, PhD Dissertation Addis Ababa University, 2016 The study aimed at the impact of climate and land use on plant diversity, live carbon storage (AGC) and leaf area index (LAI) in the Jimma Highlands of Ethiopia. Data on woody species were collected from 155; 20 m × 20 m sample plots which were subdivided into 2 m×2 m subplots for herbaceous species inventory. Thirty-one plots of one ha each were randomly distributed along a study transect for -measuring diameter at breast height for all woody species with DBH 10 cm. Upward hemispherical images of the forest/tree canopy were taken at 12 points in the 20 m × 20 m plots established within each one hectare plot. Two SPOT5 satellite images (path 134 / row 133) captured simultaneously on 17th December and aerial photographs taken in October 2012 were used for LULC mapping. The transect was classified into five major land use types from SPOT5 images and aerial photography. Natural forest was further separated into the natural forest with coffee shrub/tree beneath and those with no coffee under the canopy based on field observation. Two hundred and eight-seven plant species belonging to 220 genera and 82 families were collected and identified. The highest plant species richness per hectare was recorded from woodland and the least was from the cropland. The highest mean abundance of tree species was recorded from the planation forest and the least was from the pasture. Mean annual temperature and soil pH have significantly explained the variation in herbaceous species richness; sand and clay particles significantly explained the variation in tree species richness. Species richness, abundance and diversity also vary along vertical stratification in semi-forest coffee (SFC) and degraded natural forest (DNF). The highest AGC storage was recorded from the plantation forests (152.25±24.98) followed by DNFs (82.03±32.08) and SFCs (61.52±24.98). Land use types showed significant mean difference in AGC and LAI. Tree species abundance and richness combined, have explained about 82% of the variation in AGC across the land use types. There was significant linear relationship between AGC storage and some climate variables such as mean annual temperature, mean annual rainfall and potential evapotranspiration; between AGC and some edaphic factors such as soil cation exchange, sand and pH. Basal area, richness of shrub, tree and entire plant species combined have significantly explained about 82% and 81% of the variations in LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 respectively. LAI_true_v6 explained about 75% of the variation in AGC. Mean annual temperature and annual temperature range significantly explained about 21% of the variation in LAI_V5. Climate change under the current and projected scenarios affected the distribution of five plant species across Ethiopia. In conclusion, plant richness, abundance, distribution, carbon storage and leaf area index are affected by land use and climate variables. Key words: Carbon storage, climate change, Jimma highlands, LAI, land use change, plant richness i Acknowledgements I would like to thank my supervisors, Prof Ensermu Kelbessa, Dr Tadesse Woldemariam and Dr Rob Marchant for their invaluable advice and guidance from the beginning to the end of this work. I appreciate the support of Dr Rob Marchant in finding training opportunities and facilitating the required processes and equipping me with the required knowledge and skills. Addis Ababa University is duly acknowledged for the training opportunity that I got and material provision during my stay in the University. Jimma University is also duly acknowledged for giving me a study leave for the last six years. This work was mainly supported by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Finland through the Project “Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Services and Food Security in East Africa” (CHIESA), and hence is duly acknowledged. I would also like to thank Dr Philip Platts for his support and assistance in some aspects of data analysis when I was in York and at home. Dr Marion Pfeifer of the Imperial College in UK is duly acknowledged for sharing her knowledge on data collection and analysis in Leaf Area Index and above ground live carbon storage. I am also indebted to Mr Binyam Tesfaw for his support in producing land use/land cover change map for the study transect. My thanks are also extended to members of the National Herbarium, Addis Ababa University, Mr Melaku Wondafrash, Mr Wege Abebe, Mrs Shewangizew Lemma, for ii their support during plant identification in the National Herbarium. Gumay and Setema districts agricultural offices, development agents and managers in Ageyo, Setema and Difo kebeles, the community members who allowed me data collection from their farm and coffee plots are highly acknowledge. I extend my sincere appreciation to Mr Lijalem Takele, Mr Yohannis Takele, Mr Nasir Mohammed and Mr Awel A/Mecha for their support and guidance in the field data collection. I also appreciate Mr Jabir Hussen who served us not only as a driver but also as organizer of all required logistics including food and water supply when we were in the field. I am greateful to my wife Mrs Uwise Teka for taking responsibilities at home during my six years stay away from home and taking care of family members. I am indebted to my daughter Sena Dereje and family members Lijo Takele, Soressa Teka, Tarike Teka and Gemechu Teka who shared the hard time I had, especially at the beginning of my study. Finally, my thanks go to my mother Sirne Birri and my brothers Asrat Denu and Takele Denu, my sister Liknesh Denu and my relatives Mrs Likie Yadessa, Mr Wondimu Lulessa, Mr Hailu Degefe for their material and moral support during my study. iii List of Figures Figure 1: Map of East Africa including Ethiopia showing location of the study area in Jimma Highlands (designated by CHIESA Project) and landuse types .................................................24 Figure 2: Climate diagram of Jimma Highlands, southwest Ethiopia.........................................25 Figure 3: Sampling design for AGC and vegetation data collection...........................................31 Figure 4: Sampling design for LAI data collection....................................................................31 Figure 5: Land use/cover across the study transect in the Jimma Highlands for the year 2008 ...43 Figure 6: Species area curve for all land use types across the transect in the Jimma Highlands..44 Figure 7: Plant species richness per hectare in different land use types across the transect (WLD = woodland, DNF, SFC = semi-forest coffee, PR = pasture, PF = plantation forest, CLD = cropland) .................................................................................................................................53 Figure 8: Cluster analysis based on species presence/absence (P1–4 = DNF, P5–8 = woodland, P9–15 = Cropland, P16–22 = SFC, P23–27 = Pastureland, P28–31 = Plantation forest) ............59 Figure 9: Group of canopy trees in the SFC in the study transect in the Jimma Highlands (I, II, III and IV represent group 1-4 respectively) .............................................................................62 Figure 10: Box plot of species abundance in different land use types (1 = plantation forest, 2 = DNF, 3 = SFC, 4 = woodland, 5 = cropland, 6 = pasture) .........................................................63 Figure 11: Tree species basal area in each land use type across the transect in the Jimma Highlands (PF = Plantation Forest, DNF = Degraded natural forest, SFC = Semi-forest coffee, WLD = Woodland, CLD = Cropland, PR = Pasture) ................................................................69 Figure 12: Tree species richness and abundance in the vertical stratification of canopy trees in SFC (lower < 13.33m, middle = 13.33–26.67m, upper > 26.67m) ............................................72 Figure 13: Abundance of six major canopy trees in the vertical stratification of canopy trees in SFC (lower = <13.33m, middle = 13.33–26.67m, upper = >26.67m) ........................................73 iv Figure 14: Tree species abundance and richness in the lower, middle and upper storeys of the canopy trees in DNFs (lower <11.67m, middle = 11.67–23.33m, upper = >23.33m) .................74 Figure 15: Abundance of six most important canopy trees in the vertical stratification of DNF (lower <11.67m, middle = 11.67–23.33m, upper = >23.33m) ...................................................74 Figure 16: Diversity profile test in the lower, middle and upper storeys of the canopy trees in the SFC .........................................................................................................................................80 Figure 17: Diversity profile of canopy trees in the lower, middle and upper storeys in the DNF 82 Figure 18: Boxplot for AGC storage in different land use types in Jimma transect (1 = plantation forest, 2 = DNF, 3 = semi-managed coffee forests, 4 = woodland, 5 = pasture, 6 = cropland)....83 Figure 19: Boxplot analysis of LAI (A = True LAI_ V6, B = True LAI V5, 1 = DNF, 2 = SFC, 3 = plantation forest, 4 = woodland, 5= pasture, 6 = cropland).....................................................96 List of Tables Table 1: Growth form distribution of plant species in DNF.......................................................45 Table 2: Growth form distribution of plant species in woodland ...............................................46 Table 3: Growth form distribution of plant species in cropland .................................................47 Table 4: Growth form distribution of plant species in SFC .......................................................48 Table 5: Growth form distribution of plant species in pasture ...................................................49 Table 6: Growth form distribution of plant species in plantation forest .....................................50 Table 7: Species rich families across the study transect and their percent composition ..............51 Table 8: X2-test for species composition in different land use types ..........................................52 Table 9: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in different land use types ........................................................................................................................................54 v Table 10: Contribution of mean annual temperature and pH to the regression analysis of herb richness....................................................................................................................................56 Table 11: Contribution of each explanatory variable to the regression analysis of tree species richness....................................................................................................................................57 Table 12: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in different groups of SFC .........................................................................................................................................63 Table 13: Difference in species abundance (4th root_abundance) across different land use types ................................................................................................................................................64 Table 14: Pairwise comparison in species abundance between different land use types (LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound) .............................................................................................65 Table 15: Homogeneous subsets among land use types in tree species abundance.....................66 Table 16: Mean abundance of tree species in different land use types .......................................66 Table 17: Contribution of each predictor variable to the model and VIF value for each explanatory variable, (PET = Potential evapotanspiration, CEC = cation exchange capacity, BLD = bulk density), dependent variable: abundance........................................................................67 Table 18: Basal area contribution of tree species in SFC...........................................................70 Table 19: Basal area contribution of tree species in DNF ..........................................................71 Table 20: The difference of land use types in basal area ...........................................................71 Table 21: Tree species abundance per hectare in SFC ...............................................................75 Table 22: Tree species abundance per hectare in DNF ..............................................................77 Table 23: Species abundance, richness and diversity in SFC .....................................................79 Table 24: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness comparison between middle and upper storey; lower and middle storey; lower and upper storey ...............................79 Table 25: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in DNF (lower = <13.67 m, middle = 13.67–26.67 m, upper = >26.67 m) ...........................................................81 vi Table 26: Comparison of species diversity, richness, abundance, dominance and evenness between lower and middle; lower and upper; lower and middle storeys ....................................82 Table 27: Average AGC in six land use types across the transect..............................................87 Table 28: Analysis of variance of different land use types in AGC storage in the study transect 88 Table 29: Multiple comparison test for the differences of land use types in AGC in the Jimma Highlands (MD = mean difference, LB = lower bound, UB =bound) ........................................89 Table 30: Homogeneity test of land use types in AGC across the study transect in the Jimma Highlands ................................................................................................................................90 Table 31: Linear relationships between AGC and tree, herb and shrub richness and tree species abundance................................................................................................................................91 Table 32: Variation in AGC explained by tree species richness and abundance combined.........91 Table 33: Multiple regression analysis for prediction of AGC using abundance and tree species richness....................................................................................................................................92 Table 34: Contribution of tree species richness and abundance to the model .............................92 Table 35: Linear regression prediction of AGC by potential evapotranspiration (pet = potential evapotranspiration....................................................................................................................93 Table 36: Linear relationships between AGC and soil factors (CEC = cation exchange capacity, BD = bulk density)...................................................................................................................95 Table 37: Prediction of AGC by using soil pH, sand and soil cation exchange capacity ............95 Table 38: Contribution of each variable (CEC, sand and pH) to the model ................................95 Table 39: Mean True leaf area index (under CAN-EYE version 6 and 5) in six land use types along the study transect ............................................................................................................97 Table 40: Mean±SE of true LAI under both v_6 and v_5 of CAN-EYE ....................................97 Table 41: Paired T-test showing significant statistical differences between True_LAI under version 6 and Version_5 of CAN-EYE .....................................................................................98 vii Table 42: Analysis of variance showing significant differences in LAI_true_v6 and v5 and among land use types in the transect.........................................................................................99 Table 43: Multiple comparisons showing differences in LAI_true_v6 between each land use types (SFC, DNF, MD = mean difference, LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound) ................. 100 Table 44: Multiple comparisons showing differences in LAI_true_v6 between each land use types (SFC, DNF, LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound, MD = mean difference) ................. 101 Table 45: Linear relationships between True leaf area indices, basal area, plant species richness and abundance (BA = basal area, abund_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) .... 103 Table 46: Analysis of variance for the multiple regression of LAI_v6 with explanatory variables .............................................................................................................................................. 103 Table 47: Contribution of basal area, shrub richness, tree species richness, plant species richness along the entire study area and tree species abundance (BA_log = log transformed basal area, Abund_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) ...................................................... 104 Table 48: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_v5 by the explanatory variables – Tree species abundance, basal area, richness, shrub species richness and richness across the entire transect ........................................................................................................................ 104 Table 49: Contribution of basal area, shrub richness, tree species richness, plant species richness along the entire study area and tree species abundance (BA_log = log transformed basal area, Abun_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) ........................................................ 105 Table 50: Linear relationships between LAI_true indices and topographic factors (elevation and slope) and edaphic factors (SOC, CEC, silt, sand, clay and BD) ............................................. 106 Table 51: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v6 by the explanatory variables (clay, CEC and sand across the entire transect) ........................................................ 107 Table 52: Contribution of CEC, sand and clay to the model .................................................... 107 viii Table 53: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v5 by the explanatory variables- clay, CEC and sand across the transect ................................................................... 107 Table 54: Contribution of CEC, sand and clay to the model .................................................... 108 Table 55: Linear relationships between LAI_true indices and NDVI and EVI ......................... 109 Table 56: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v6 by the explanatory variables –EVI and NDVI ...................................................................................................... 109 Table 57: Contribution of NDVI and EVI separately to the model .......................................... 109 Table 58: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v5 by the explanatory variables- EVI and NDVI....................................................................................................... 110 Table 59: Contribution of NDVI and EVI to the model........................................................... 110 Table 60: Linear relationship between LAI_true indices and AGC ......................................... 111 Table 61: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of AGC by the explanatory variable – LAI_true_v6 .......................................................................................................................... 111 Table 62: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of AGC by the explanatory variables (bio1 = mean annual temperature and abio7 = nnual temperature range) .......................................... 113 Table 63: Contribution of mean annual temperature and annual temperature range to the model .............................................................................................................................................. 113 Table 64: Mean of LAI under and above the coffee canopy (uc = under coffee canopy, ab = above coffee canopy) ............................................................................................................. 115 Table 65: Shapiro-Wilk normality test for the LAI data taken above and below the coffee canopy .............................................................................................................................................. 116 Table 66: Paired sample t-test for the true and eff_LAI taken above and below the coffee canopy .............................................................................................................................................. 116 Table 67: Model performance under baseline (b) and projected (p) climate change scenarios for five plant species in Ethiopia .................................................................................................. 117 ix Table 68: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Acacia abyssinica under the baseline climate scenario ........................................................................................ 118 Table 69: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Acacia abyssinica under the projected climate .................................................................................................... 119 Table 70: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Cordia africana underthe baseline climate scenarios in Ethiopia ...................................................................... 121 Table 71: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Cordia africana under the projected climate .............................................................................................................. 122 Table 72: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the baseline climate scenario ........................................................................................ 124 Table 73: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the projected climate .................................................................................................... 124 Table 74: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Phytolacca dodecandra under the baseline climate scenario ..................................................................... 127 Table 75: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Phytolacca dodecandra under the projected climate ................................................................................. 127 Table 76: Contribution of the five climate variables to the distribution of Schefflera abyssinica under the baseline climate scenario ........................................................................................ 129 Table 77: Contribution of the five climate variables to the distribution of Schefflera abyssinica under the projected climate .................................................................................................... 129 x List of Appendices Appendix 1: Soil and Potential evapotranspiration data for the study plots in the Jimma Highlands (CEC = cation exchange capacity, OC = organic carbon, BLD = bulk density, PET = potential evapotranspiration) ..................................................................................................181 Appendix 2: Species list, percent and relative frequencies in the DNF ....................................182 Appendix 3: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) in the woodland..............................................................................................................185 Appendix 4: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) in the cropland ...............................................................................................................189 Appendix 5: Species list, Growth form (GF), percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in the SFC .........................................................................................................192 Appendix 6: Species list, Growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in pastureland .................................................................................................... 196 Appendix 7: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in plantation forests of Jimma Highlands ...............................................199 Appendix 8: List of plant species in all study plots along the transect in the Jimma Highlands 202 Appendix 9: Linear relationships between plant growth forms, richness and environmental variables ................................................................................................................................210 Appendix 10: Synoptic Table for grouping canopy trees in SFC ............................................211 Appendix 11: Linear relationships between tree species abundance and environmental variables ..............................................................................................................................................212 Appendix 12: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in SFC (C t ha-1) (C t ha-1 = carbon ton per hectare) .................................................................................................213 Appendix 13: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in DNF ...................215 xi Appendix 14: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in woodland ...........217 Appendix 15: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in pasture ...............218 Appendix 16: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in croplands............219 Appendix 17: Linear relationships between AGC and climate variables..................................220 Appendix 18: Linear relationships between true_LAI indices and climate variables ................221 Appendix 19: Habitat suitability for the distribution of five plant species in Ethiopia under baseline and projected climate (A1, B1, C1, D1, E1 = baseline scenario, A2, B2, C2, D2, E2 = Projected climatescenario) ..................................................................................................... 222 Appendix 20: Jackknife test (training and test data) for the distribution of five plant species (A1, B1, C1, D1, E1 represent training gain under baseline scenario; A2, B2, C2, D2, E2 represent test gain under the baseline scenario; A3, B3, C3, D3, E3 represent training gain under the projected climate; A4, B4, C4, D4, E4 represent test gain under the projected climate ............225 xii Acronyms and abrevations abund_4th_root fourth root transformed abundance AGB above ground biomass AGC above ground live carbon ANOVA analysis of variance ASTER Advanced Space borne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer AUC area under curve BA basal area BA_log Log transformed basal area bio1 mean annual temperature bio10 mean temperature warmest quarter bio12 mean annual rainfall bio13 rainfall wettest month bio14 rainfall driest month bio15 rainfall seasonality bio16 rainfall wettest quarter bio17 rainfall driest quarter bio2 mean diurnal range in temperature bio3 isothermality bio4 temperature seasonality bio5 maximum temperature warmest month bio6 minimum temperature coolest month bio7 annual temperature range BD bulk density CEC cation exchange capacity CEM climate envelop models CI confidence interval CSA Central Statistical Authority xiii DBH diameter at breast height DEM digitalelevation model DNF degraded natural forest EFAP Ethiopian Forestry Action Program EMA Ethiopian Mapping Agency ETM Enhanced Thematic Mapper FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations GBIF Global Biodiversity Information Facility GCP Ground control points GDEM Global Digital Elevation Model GIS Geographic information system GLMs Generalized linear models GPS Global Positioning system Gt Gigatonne ha hectare IPCC International Panel on Climate Change IUFRO International Union of Forestry Research Organization IVI Importance value index LAI Leaf area index LAI_eff_v5 Effective leaf area index from CAN EYE version five LAI_eff_v6 Effective leaf area index from CAN EYE version six LULC Land use/land cover Maxent Maximum Entropy mi annual moisture index mimq Moisture index moist quarter MSS Multi Spectral Scanner pet Potential evapotranspiration RCP Representative concentration pathway RF relative frequency ROC Receiver operating characteristics xiv SDM Species distribution model SFC Semi-forest coffee SOC Soil organic carbon SPSS statistical package for Social Science Stand_Coef Standardized coefficient t C ha-1 tonne of carbon per hectare TM landsat Thematic Mapper un under coffee canopy UNESCO United Nations Education, Science and Culture Organization UNFPA United Nations population Fund Unstand_Coef unstandardized coefficient VIF Variance inflation factor °C Degree Centigrade xv Table of Contents List of Figures.......................................................................................................................... iv List of Tables ............................................................................................................................ v List of Appendices ................................................................................................................... xi Acronyms and abrevations ..................................................................................................... xiii CHAPTER ONE ....................................................................................................................... 1 1. INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1. Background of the Study ................................................................................................ 1 1.2. Research Questions and Objectives................................................................................. 7 1.2.1. Research questions .................................................................................................. 7 1.2.2. General objective ..................................................................................................... 7 1.2.3. Specific objectives ................................................................................................... 8 CHAPTER TWO ...................................................................................................................... 9 2. LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................................. 9 2.1. Land Use/Land Cover Change ........................................................................................ 9 2.2. Carbon Storage..............................................................................................................12 2.3. Leaf area index (LAI) ....................................................................................................17 2.4. Climate Change and Plant Distribution ..........................................................................18 CHAPTER THREE .................................................................................................................23 3. MATERIALS AND METHODS..........................................................................................23 3.1. Study Area ....................................................................................................................23 xvi 3.1.1. Location of study area.............................................................................................23 3.1.2. Climate ...................................................................................................................24 3.1.3. Human population and economy .............................................................................26 3.1.4. Land uses ...............................................................................................................27 3.2. Materials .......................................................................................................................27 3.2.1. Data acquisition ......................................................................................................27 3.2.2. Field equipment and software .................................................................................28 3.3. Methods ........................................................................................................................29 3.3.1. Study design ...........................................................................................................29 3.3.2. Data analysis ..........................................................................................................32 3.3.2.1. Land use/Land cover mapping..........................................................................32 3.3.2.2. Species area curve ............................................................................................33 3.3.2.3. Species diversity ..............................................................................................33 3.3.2.4. Basal area ........................................................................................................35 3.3.2.5. Analysis of variance .........................................................................................35 3.3.2.6. Classification and grouping study plots ............................................................35 3.3.2.7. Vertical stratification........................................................................................36 3.3.2.8. Carbon storage .................................................................................................36 3.3.2.9. Leaf area index (LAI).......................................................................................38 3.3.2.10. Species Distribution Model ............................................................................39 3.3.2.10.1. Model building ........................................................................................40 xvii CHAPTER FOUR ...................................................................................................................42 4. Results .................................................................................................................................42 4.1. Land Use/Land Cover....................................................................................................42 4.2. Plant Species Richness and Diversity.............................................................................43 4.2.1. Species richness in each land use type .....................................................................43 4.2.1.1. Species area curve ............................................................................................43 4.2.1.2. Species richness in DNF...................................................................................44 4.2.1.3. Species richness in woodlands..........................................................................45 4.2.1.4. Species richness in cropland .............................................................................46 4.2.1.5. Species richness in SFC ...................................................................................47 4.2.1.6. Species richness in pasture ...............................................................................48 4.2.1.7. Species richness in plantation forests ................................................................49 4.2.2. Plant species across the transect ..............................................................................50 4.2.2.1. Plant species richness .......................................................................................50 4.2.2.2. Woody species richness and diversity...............................................................53 4.2.2.3. Plant growth form distribution..........................................................................54 4.2.2.4. Frequency of occurrence of species ..................................................................54 4.2.3. Climate variables and edaphic factors against species richness ................................55 4.2.3.1. Multiple regression analysis .............................................................................55 4.2.4. Classification of study plots on the bases of species presence/absence .....................57 4.2.5. Groups of canopy trees in SFC................................................................................59 xviii 4.2.6. Vegetation structure ................................................................................................63 4.2.6.1. Land use type and plant species abundance ......................................................63 4.2.6.2. Climate variables and edaphic factors against species abundance......................67 4.2.6.3. Basal area across land use types .......................................................................68 4.2.7. Vertical stratification in SFC and DNF....................................................................71 4.2.7.1. Vertical stratification and species diversity in SFC .......................................78 4.2.7.2. Vertical stratification and species diversity in DNFs .....................................80 4.3. Carbon storage ..............................................................................................................83 4.3.1. Carbon storage in SFC ............................................................................................83 4.3.2. Carbon storage in DNFs..........................................................................................84 4.3.3. Carbon storage in woodland....................................................................................85 4.3.4. Carbon storage in pasture ........................................................................................85 4.3.5. Carbon storage in cropland .....................................................................................86 4.3.6. Carbon storage in plantation forests ........................................................................86 4.3.7. Above ground live carbon storage across the transect ..............................................86 4.3.8. Carbon storage and species richness and abundance ................................................90 4.3.9. Climate variables and AGC storage.........................................................................92 4.3.10. Edaphic factors and AGC storage..........................................................................93 4.4. Leaf Area Index (LAI) ...................................................................................................96 4.4.1. LAI and Land Use Categories .................................................................................98 4.4.2. LAI and plant basal area, abundance and richness ................................................. 102 xix 4.4.3. LAI, edaphic and topographic factors .................................................................... 105 4.4.4. LAI, enhanced vegetation index and normalized difference vegetation index......... 108 4.4.5. LAI and AGC storage ........................................................................................... 110 4.4.6. LAI and climate variables ..................................................................................... 112 4.4.7. LAI above and below coffee canopies ................................................................... 114 4.4.8. Normality test ....................................................................................................... 115 4.4.9. Significance test ................................................................................................... 115 4.5. Habitat Suitability Model ............................................................................................ 117 4.5.1. Acacia abyssinica ................................................................................................. 117 4.5.1.1. Analysis of variable importance ..................................................................... 118 4.5.2. Cordia africana .................................................................................................... 119 4.5.2.1. Analysis of variable contributions .................................................................. 120 4.5.3. Millettia ferruginea............................................................................................... 122 4.5.3.1. Analysis of variable contributions .................................................................. 123 4.5.4. Phytolacca dodecandra ........................................................................................ 125 4.5.4.1. Analysis of variable importance ..................................................................... 126 4.5.5. Schefflera abyssinica ............................................................................................ 128 4.5.5.1. Analysis of variable importance ..................................................................... 128 CHAPTER FIVE ................................................................................................................... 131 5. Discussion, Conclusion and Recommendations .................................................................. 131 5.1. Discussion ................................................................................................................... 131 xx 5.1.1. Land use /land cover change ........................................................................... 131 5.1.2. Species richness .............................................................................................. 132 5.1.3. Basal area ....................................................................................................... 135 5.1.4. Plant growth forms ............................................................................................... 136 5.1.5. Above ground live carbon storage ................................................................... 141 5.1.6. Leaf area index (LAI) ........................................................................................... 145 5.1.7. Species distribution............................................................................................... 150 5.2. Conclusion ............................................................................................................. 154 5.3. Recommendations .................................................................................................. 156 References ............................................................................................................................. 159 Appendices ............................................................................................................................ 181 xxi CHAPTER ONE 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. Background of the Study The impact of land use/land cover (LULC) change and climate variables on biodiversity is widely understood across the world. The term biodiversity has wider definition and includes all forms of life on earth at any level of organization as clearly indicated at the Rio de Jeneiro Convention on Biodiversity in 1992 (UN, 1992). According to this convention, biodiversity is defined as the variability among living organisms from all sources, including terrestrial, marine and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes associated with them. This includes diversity within species, between species and of ecosystems. Diversity within and between species can also be considered genetic diversity and species diversity respectively. According to Heywood and Watson (1995) estimation, about 300,000 species of vascular plants have been documented out of the estimated global total volume of 400,000 species of vascular plants . Habitat loss due to anthropogenic LULC change and global warming are threats to biodiversity across the world (Kappelle et al., 1999) and are causes for the current extinction of species (IPCC, 2007; Pimm et al., 2014). Land use/land cover change also affects plant species richness, diversity, abundance (Martınez et al., 2009) and biomass (Fearnside et al., 2009; Kauffman et al., 2009). The distribution of biodiversity across the world is not even. Some areas are characterized by high species concentration mainly composed of high levels of 1 endemism and rapid rate of depletion (Myers, 1998). Human induced LULC change resulted in the formation of many ecological islands within highly converted habitat (Jenkins, 1992). This could interrupt the interactions among all biological entities on the planet and as a result the loss of one particular species could impact the persistence of another species. Human induced anthropogenic pressures affect the healthy functioning of an ecosystem. Ehrlich (1981), Myers (1998), Marina (2010), Cardinale et al. (2012) showed the impact of biodiversity loss on ecosystem integrity, which could threaten the existence of mankind. The increasing human population and accompanying needs has increased pressure on the natural resources including plant cover, animal life, mineral resources and land. According to FAO (2010), forests cover 31% of the land on the planet, of which around 13 million is deforested each year. The annual loss of natural forest in the tropics was estimated to be 15.2 million hectares (FAO, 2001). In Ethiopia, the land cover change is dramatic and resulted in the decline of Ethiopian high forest cover from about 35–40% in the 19 century (Breitenbach, 1961) to 2.3% in 1990 (EFAP, 1994). The annual loss of closed forest and the entire natural vegetation in Ethiopia is about 10,000 ha (Landon, 1996) and 160,000–200,000 ha (Konemund et al., 2002) respectively. Ethiopia lost 269,795.88 ha of forest cover within 13 years time (20002013) which is equivalent to about 20,754 ha per year (Hansen, et al., 2013). FAO (2010) put the Ethiopian forest cover at about 11% (12.2 million ha) of the Ethiopian land area. This could probably be due to the change in FAO’s forest definition. 2 The forest loss due to human induced land use change causes the loss of biodiversity and compromises the provision of ecosystem goods and services such as pollination services, erosion control, cycling of materials involving biotic and abiotic components, carbon storage and climate regulation. Deforestation disrupts the healthy functioning of an ecosystem through habitat fragmentation and formation of landscape mosaics. The fragments (formed as a result of deforestation) are surrounded by other land use types usually referred to as matrix. The matrix around the fragment may have positive, negative or neutral effect on the patch (Franklin et al., 2002), usually depending on the type of land use. Climate change is another threat to the global biodiversity. According to IPCC (2014), the earth’s temperature has increased by approximately 0.65°C–1.06°C over the past 132 years. According to the report, the period from 1983–2012 was the warmest 30 year period of the last 1400 years in the Northern Hemisphere. The two main periods of warming were recorded between 1910 and 1945 and from 1976 onwards. The rate of warming from 1976 onwards has approximately been doubled that of the first period and, thus, greater than at any other time during the last 1,000 years (IPCC, 2001). Of the past 10 centuries, the 20th century was the warmest of all, and the 10 years in 1990s were the warmest of the entire period (IPCC, 2001). The change in the climate and the occurrence of this warming pattern is an evidence for the human induced climate change that resulted from the increased emission of greenhouse gases (IPCC, 2001). According to IPCC (2014), the global mean surface temperature increases by 2.6°C–4.8°C by the end of 21st century under the extreme representative concentration pathway (RCP8.5), the scenario with the highest 3 greenhouse gas emission. The rise for Africa was predicted up to 4.5°C provided that the current addition of greenhouse gases from fossil fuels continued (Platts et al., 2014). Africa is also more vulnerable to the climate change impacts than the developed nations due to its dependence on subsistence agriculture and natural resources as the main source of livelihood. Climate change has severe impact on the terrestrial as well as aquatic ecosystems. Climate change also has a negative impact on the entire biodiversity and ecosystem functioning such as seasonality/cycling of natural events, water cycles, erosion control, pollination services, provison of fresh water and nutrient cycling. The degree of vulnerability to climate change among the people in the world is different with developing countries being more affected by climate change impacts. Africans are mostly dependent on natural resources for their livelihoods including food, shelter, medicine and the impact of climate variability on the biodiversity directly affects natural resources and the associated livelihoods of many African nations. Most Africans are dependent on rain-fed, hand to mouth subsistence agriculture which is directly affected by climate variability. Climate change has put the distribution of biodiversity including plants under pressure (IPCC, 2014). It affects the spatial distribution of plants (latitude, elevation). According to Grabherr et al. (1994) and Parmesan and Yohe (2003), plants are changing their distributional ranges both in altitude and latitude in response to changing regional climates. Pounds et al. (1999), Still et al. (1999), 4 Thomas et al. (2004), Platts et al. (2013) also showed the range shift in species distribution in response to climate change. Ethiopia is endowed with different land features and topographies ranging from 125 m below sea level at Kobar sink to 4620 m above sea level (the peak of Ras Dashen). This diversified habitat types results in the formation of different agro-climatic zones in Ethiopia which contribute to the formation of diversified flora occurrence and distribution in the country. There are about 6,000 species of higher plant taxa, of which 10% are endemic, occurring in Ethiopia due to this diversified ecological and geographical setting that results in different natural resources (Ensermu Kebessa and Sebsebe Demissew, 2014). Carbon storage is one of the most important ecosystem services that human beings obtain from the natural resources. Carbon sequestration and storage in plant biomass has been widely accepted as the most important regulators of climate change. Green plants convert CO2 (one of the most important greenhouse gases) into organic food during the process of photosynthesis and store in their biomass. In this regard, forests are important sinks of carbon because they trap carbon in their biomass throughout their life. According to Chave et al. (2014), about 50% of the above ground live plant biomass is carbon. Globally, forests store about 289 Gt of carbon in their biomass (FAO, 2010). Deforestation caused about 20% of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide and about 70% of emissions in Africa (Gibbs et al., 2007). 5 Leaf is an interface between the plant canopy and the surrounding atmosphere. Leaf area index (LAI) is very important biophysical variable which takes part in the conversion of CO2 to organic food and insures continuity of natural interactions of organisms in the food web (Pfefier et al., 2012). The removal of tree cover in conversion from its natural setting to human modified landscapes also affects the live carbon storage in the living plant biomass (Kauffman et al., 2009). The current rate of LULC change is contributing to more carbon emission into the atmosphere and reducing the carbon sink and enhancing the climate change (IPCC, 2000) and loss of biodiversity (Bellard et al., 2012). The removal of natural vegetation also affects the plant leaf area index. The impact of land use and climate variables on plant species richness, abundance, LAI, AGC storage in woody species biomass has not been assessed so far in the Jimma Highlands. The impact of climate change on distribution of some plant species such as Cordia africana (multipurpose tree), Acacia abyssinica (important coffee shade tree), Millettia ferruginea (important coffee shade tree), Schefflera abyssinica (important honey source) and Phytolacca dodecandra (important medicinal plant) has not been assessed in Ethiopia so far. Therefore, there is a need to assess the impact of land use and climate variables on plant diversity, richness, above ground live carbon storing capacity and leaf area indices of different land use types in the study transect. There is also a need to assess the impact of climate change on the distribution of the selected plant species across Ethiopia. 6 1.2. Research Questions and Objectives 1.2.1. Research questions • Is there any difference in plant species richness, tree species abundance and diversity across the land use types in the study transect of the Jimma Highlands? • Do the same canopy trees dominate the semi-forest coffee forests across the transect? • Is there any variation in above ground live carbon storage and LAI among the land use types across the transect in the Jimma Highlands? • Is there any relationship between environmental variables (climate and edaphic) and plant species richness, AGC and LAI in the Jimma Highlands? • Is there any change in habitat suitability for the distribution of the target plant species under the present and future projected climates in Ethiopia? 1.2.2. General objective The general objective of this study was to determine the difference in plant species richness, diversity and abundance and determine the relationships of this to carbon storage and leaf area index across different land use types along an altitudinal transect in the Jimma Highlands; using these insights, the study then focused on modelling the distribution of some key plant species under current and future projected climates across Ethiopia. 7 1.2.3. Specific objectives The specific objectives of this study include: 1. Determining the variation in plant species richness, diversity, abundance and dominance across different land use types in the study transect of the Jimma Highlands; 2. Determine the dominant canopy trees in semi-forest coffee across the transect in the Jimma Highlands; 3. Find out the difference in carbon storage among different land use types in the study transect of the Jimma Highlands; 4. Find out the difference in LAI among different land use types in the study transect of the Jimma Highlands; 5. Determine the relationships between environmental variables and plant species richness, abundance, AGC and LAI 6. Model habitat suitability for the distribution of five plant species under the current and future climate change scenarios across Ethiopia. 8 CHAPTER TWO 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1. Land Use/Land Cover Change Anthropogenic activities are the main cause of land cover change. About 13 million hectare of forest cover is lost annually due to deforestation (FAO, 2006). In the tropics alone, 15.2 million hectare of forest cover is lost each year (FAO, 2001). Anthropogenic land use change is the primary cause for the reduction of total vegetation area in Africa (Niang et al., 2014). The annual loss of closed forest and natural vegetation in Ethiopia is about 10,000 ha (Landon, 1996) and 160,000– 200,000 ha (Konemund et al., 2002) respectively. According to Sala et al. (2000), land use change has probably the largest effect followed by climate change and elevated carbon dioxide on the terrestrial biodiversity. Ethiopia is one of the countries in Africa where the anthropogenic LULC change has excarbated the forest loss (EFAP, 1994; Kumelachew Yeshitela, 2001; Tadesse Woldemariam and Masresha Fetene, 2007). There has been a considerable reduction in the Ethiopian high natural forest cover since 19 century. It was 35–40% in the 19 century (Breitenbach, 1961), 16% in the early 1950’s, 3.1% in 1982, 2.7 in 1989 and 2.3% in 1990 (EFAP, 1994). The study conducted on Shaka Forest (part of the Afromontane rainforest in southwest Ethiopia), pointed out that the dense closed forest declined from about 55,304 ha to 43,424 ha by 2001 and open forest decreased from 46,594 ha to 35,077 ha during the same period (Tadesse Woldemariam and 9 Masresha Fetene, 2007). As a result the size of disturbed forests increased by 16,355 ha and the agricultural land increased from 8,620 ha to 14,672 ha. LULC change is the most important problem that has caused the forest loss in Ethiopia. Among the causes of LULC change contributing to the loss of the entire forest resources and associated biodiversity are rapid human population growth, poverty, forest clearing for cultivation, over-grazing, and exploitation of forests for fuel wood, construction and lack of proper policy framework. The human population growth in Ethiopia could be the most important driving force behind the loss of forest biodiversity. According to the UNFPA (2009) report, the Ethiopian population increased by 361% during the period of 1950–2010. UNFPA’s (2009) human population projection also showed that the Ethiopian population will increase by 105% (reach 173.8 million) by 2050. In a country like Ethiopia, with mostly agrarian community, the population growth has direct relationship with the LULC change. In Ethiopia, 95% of the cultivated land is occupied by smallholder subsistence agriculture (Shibru Tedla and Kifle Lamma, 1998). The rising human population has increased the need for new cultivatable land and additional energy supply. The cumulative effects of the small holder agricultural production and increasing human population lead to loss of natural forest and land degradation in Ethiopia. The human population of Jimma Zone, for example, increased from 1,960,033 to 2,495,795 (CSA, 1996; CSA, 2008). 10 The rapid population growth led to expansion of agricultural land, increased exploitation of fuel wood and construction material. These in turn led to loss of vegetation (deforestation). According to EFAP (1994), one of the reasons for the decline of Ethiopian forest cover is attributed to energy requirements. About 94% of the energy requirement in Ethiopia relies on biomass alone, of which trees and shrubs contribute the largest proportion (Haileleul Tebicke, 2002). The new investment opportunities in southwestern Ethiopia are converting the few remaining Afromontane rainforests into other land use systems such as coffee and tea plantations (Taye Bekele et al., 2001). The study on Chewaka-Utto in southwest Ethiopia (where most remnant forests of the country are present) showed the conversion of natural forest from 85% in 1996 to 76.3% in the year 1999 (Kumelachew Yeshitela, 2001) due to clearing of the forest for tea and Eucalyptus plantations. Another study on Shaka Forest (also in southwest Ethiopia) showed the decline of dense forest cover from about 60% in 1973 to 20% in 2005 (Tadesse Woldemariam and Masresha Fetene, 2007). New settlements in forests are increasing and have resulted in the conversion of forestland into agriculture and other land use systems. The annual deforestation rate in Kafa zone (southwest Ethiopia) where the country has a UNESCO recognized biosphere, is approximated to be 22,500 ha. (http://www.nabu.de/en/aktionenundprojekte/kafa/projectarea/climateprote.) LULC change is one of the threats to biodiversity. Of the estimated 13 million species worldwide, only 1.6 million has been described (Heywood and Watson, 1995). Biodiversity is not equally and evenly distributed throughout the world. Mountains, for example, support about one-quarter of terrestrial biodiversity 11 worldwide and nearly half of the world’s biodiversity Hotspots (Spehn et al., 2010). As Myers (1998) indicated there are areas with high species concentration mainly composed of high levels of endemism and rapid rates of depletion. Kappelle et al. (1999) in his review indicated that habitat alteration and loss, over-harvesting, chemical pollution, invasive species and increasing human population pressure are the major threats to the global biodiversity. 2.2. Carbon Storage Antropogenic LULC change affects the health and wealth of an ecosystem. Carbon dioxide is the most important green house gas. Forests could be used as both carbon sink and carbon source. When it is managed and well conserved, it is important sink of carbon by converting CO2 to organic food and storing in their biomass. When deforested, they are sources of CO2 by emiting the carbon from their biomass through burning and decomposition. Acording to FAO (2010), global forest stores about 289 Gt of carbon in their biomass. LULC change and deforestation affected the carbon storing capacity of ecosystems. Carbon storage is one of the ecosystem services through which the climate could be regulated. Studies showed that LULC change affects above ground woody carbon stock (Asner et al., 2003), carbon emission into the atmosphere (Achard, et al., 2004, Kaplan, et al., 2010). According to IPCC (2000) report, about 136 Gt C is emitted as a result of land-use change, mainly from forest ecosystems, leading to an increase of CO2 by 176 Gt in the atmosphere. 12 In the tropics, deforestation induced changes in the atmospheric circulation (Avissar et al., 2004). About 20% of global greenhouse gas emission resulted from deforestation. The amount of greenhouse gas emitted due to forest loss varies from region to region. In Africa, deforestation caused about 70% of greenhouse gas emision (Gibbs et al., 2007). The destruction of tropical forests due to human activities contributed up to 17% of global CO2 emission (IPCC, 2007). Anthropogenic LULC change played an important role in carbon emision world wide. Houghton (1999) reported that LULC change contributed about 33% to total anthropogenic carbon emison for the last 150 years. Acording to Friedlingstein et al. (2010), the percent contribution of LULC change to anthropogenic carbon emission was reduced to 12.5% mainly due to rise in emission from fossil fuels (during the period 2000-2009). From 2005–2010 carbon stocks in forest biomass declined by an estimated 0.5% Gt annually due to reduction in global forest cover (Yitebitu Moges et al., 2010). Agro-forestry is composed of mixed plant species. Each species of plants in the agroforestry has the capacity to sequester carbon and convert into its biomass. As Montagnini and Nair (2004) indicated, if proper management is designed for agroforestry practices they could serve as effective carbon sinks. The average estimation of stored carbon in agro-forestry practices indicated that 9, 21, 50, and 63 Mg C ha-1 in semi-arid, sub-humid, humid and temperate regions respectively (Montagnini and Nair, 2004). Most countries in sub-Saharan Africa practice smallholder agriculture. Ethiopia is one of these countries with about 85% of its population practicing 13 smallholder agriculture. In countries having agricultural communities with smallholder agro-forestry practices in the tropics the rate of carbon sequestration ranges from 1.3 to 3.5 Mg ha-1 yr-1 (Montagnini and Nair, 2004). In addition to its importance in directly sequestering carbon from the atmosphere and serving as mitigation to reduce the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere, it also serves indirectly by reducing the human pressure on the natural forests. The soil management practices for the improvement of agro-forestry enhances carbon storage in trees and soils (Montagnini and Nair, 2004). Global forest ecosystems store about 2.1 Gt of carbon (on average) annually (FAO, 2015). Studies showed that a significant portion of the absorbed carbon is returned to the atmosphere through deforestation and forest fire. According to FAO (2003) estimation, about 25% of the carbon emission from all human activities in the tropics was attributed by tropical deforestation. IPCC (2000) also indicated that tropical deforestation contributed about 25% net annual carbon emissions. The three approaches by which forest managements help to reduce carbon in the atmosphere are carbon sequestration, carbon conservation and carbon substitution. The basic premise of carbon sequestration potential of land use systems including agro-forestry revolves around the fundamental biological/ecological processes of photosynthesis, respiration and decomposition (Nair and Nair, 2003). Essentially, carbon sequestered is the difference between carbon gained by photosynthesis and 14 carbon lost or released by respiration of all components of the ecosystem. The overall gain or loss of carbon is usually represented by net ecosystem productivity. Reduction of natural forests due to human land use change reduced the amount of carbon that would be stored in the forest. The decline in carbon storage is critical when the forest is changed into agricultural lands for annual crops. Mixed agroforestry practices in which a variety of perennial tree species are available contribute greatly in the amount of carbon they absorb from the atmosphere and store in their biomass. Agro-forestry systems including shade coffee farm help in carbon storage (Polzot, 2004; Schmitt-Harsh et al., 2012; Getachew Tadesse et al., 2014). Traditional coffee plantation is one of the most important agro-forestry practices both in environment conservation and in carbon sequestration. As it was indicated by Tadesse Woldemariam and Feyera Senbeta (2008), in Ethiopia for example, there are four different coffee producing systems: forest coffee, semi-forest coffee, shade coffee and non-shade coffee systems. Of all these coffee agro-forestry systems, this study addressed only the semi-forest coffee system which is commonly found in the study transect. Multi-strata shade coffee system provides a partial compensation for carbon loss (Van Noordwijk et al., 2002). This demonstrates the importance of coffee shade trees in converting carbon dioxide of the atmosphere and storing in their biomass. This can be used as one of the mitigation measures for climate change by maintaining the normal level of carbon concentration in the atmosphere. 15 Trees are terrestrial carbon sinks. Worldwide, forest plantations were estimated to cover 124 million hectares in 1995; 187 million hectares in 2000 (FAO, 2000) and 264 million hectares between 2000 and 2010 (FAO, 2010). According to FAO (2000), the annual rate of planting trees was 4.5 million hectares. The annual rate of planting trees increased to 5 million hectares from 2000–2010 (FAO, 2010). Forest plantation showed an increasing trend in all continents from 1990 to 2010. Compared to primary forests, plantation forests store relatively small amount of carbon (Thornley and Cannell, 2000) In an ecosystem, interactions between biodiversity and carbon storage have been observed. Linear relationships with varying strengths were observed between biodiversity and carbon stock (Midgley et al., 2010; Talbot, 2010). There are also evidences showing the relationship between carbon storage and species richness and abundance in an ecosystem. Strassburg et al. (2010) showed positive relationship between terrestrial carbon stocks and biodiversity. Talemos Seta and Sebsebe Demissew (2014) showed positive relationship between above ground carbon storage and species richness (strong corellation) and with stem density (weak correlation). The climate variables (temperature and moisture) have direct and indirect impacts on the physiological activities of plants which in turn could affect the plant growth and carbon storage. Tian et al. (1998) showed that dry weather and warmer temperatures decrease net primary productivity. Increased precipitation leads to an increase in the soil moisture content and this in turn affect the ecosystem productivity (Tian et al., 16 1998). Any change in precipitation pattern could also affect the plant growth (Myneni et al., 1997). Gentry (1982) showed a strong relationship between precipitation and productivity of an ecosystem. 2.3. Leaf area index (LAI) Leaves are the most important parts of a plant for photosynthesis, gas exchange, water regulation and energy fluxes. They help as an interface between the plant canopy and the atmosphere. The orientations of foliage in three dimensional spaces govern the interaction between plant canopy structure and atmosphere (Fieber et al., 2014). This derives the energy flux between the canopy and atmosphere (Koetz et al., 2006). Leaf area index (LAI) is a very important biophysical parameter that characterizes the interaction between the canopy and the atmosphere. Watson (1947) defined LAI (which is applicable for broad leaves) as the total one-sided area of leaf surface per unit ground area. Natural events and human activities could affect the canopy leaf area index, which in turn could affect the ecosystem productivity. Quantification of this dimensionless plant canopy trait is complex due to temporal and spatial variability of an ecosystem. There are direct methods (Hutchison et al., 1986; Neumann et al., 1989) and indirect ways (Norman and Campbell, 1989) to quantify LAI. The direct methods of acquiring LAI are difficult for large spatial extents due to its time consuming and work intensive nature (Jonckheere, 2004; Zheng and Moskal, 2009). As an alternative to some practical limitations of the direct method of LAI 17 estimation, several indirect optical devices have been developed since 1960’s (Facchi et al., 2010). LICOR LAI-2000 Plant Canopy Analyzer and Decagon AccuPAR-80 ceptometer are the two mostly used optical devices for LAI estimation. These optical devics determine LAI from the radiation transmitted through the canopy. According to Jonckheere (2004), incoming radiation, plant canopy structure and its optical properties determine the energy intercepted by a canopy. LAI estimation from hemispherical photos has been introduced and developed since 1980’s (Facchi et al., 2010). RGB cameras with fine resultions solved the problem of distinguishing leaves from the the sky (in case of upward hemi-images) or the ground (for the downward hemi-images) (Jonckheere, 2004). CAN-EYE is one of the image processing software packages used for estimating LAI from hemispherical images (Facchi et al., 2010). 2.4. Climate Change and Plant Distribution Plants respond to climate change through range shift in their spatial distribution both in latitude and altitude (Grabherr et al., 1994; Parmesan and Yohe, 2003). Many terrestrial and aquatic species have shifted their geographic ranges, seasonal activities, migration patterns, abundances and species interactions in response to climate change (IPCC, 2014). The species in the alpine region are prone to the impact of climate change compared to those in the lowland or midlands (Thomas et al., 2004). The current rate of plant migration in response to the changing climate is faster than the past migrations. When the species at the lower altitude shift their geographic ranges upward, what will happen to those at the higher elevations? In 18 response to this, Thomas et al. (2004) indicated the possible maximum of extinction risk of the species in the alpine zone. Grabherr et al. (1994) in his study on Swiss Alps indicated the pronounced range shift of plant species to the higher elevations. The rate of expected upward shift is 8–10m per decade based on the mean temperature change for the last 90 years (Grabherr et al., 1994). Pounds et al. (1999) and Still et al. (1999) showed the loss of many cloud forest species and invasion by the species from the lower elevations due to climate change. There are documented range shifts in plant distribution by 6.1 km per decade towards the pole (Parmesan and Yohe, 2003). Tree species changed their elevation or latitude range in response to changes in Quaternary climate (Davis and Shaw, 2001). The climate change together with change in the human land use system may disrupt the relationship of migration and adaptation (Davis and Shaw, 2001). This clearly affects the productivity and persistence of several species. On the basis of the current scenarios of carbon dioxide, climate, vegetation and land use changes the scenarios of changes in biodiversity for the year 2100 has been developed. The future climate projections are based on the anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which are summarized under four different representative concentration pathways-RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) (IPCC, 2014). Of the four representative oncentration pathways, RCP2.6 keeps global warming below 2°C preindustrial temperature and RCP8.5 considers the extreme emissions of greenhouse gases, while the remaining two are considered intermediate. 19 Climatic change is not only affecting the distribution of plants, but also impacts the phenology or the seasonal activities of plants (IPCC, 2014). Plants have a fixed period of time for flowering, for shedding their leaves and to be in foliage, to produce fruits and seeds. These events happen at a regular cycle within the year. The climate change may interrupt and affect this natural cycling of events in plants and has a meaningful impact on the survival of plants. Climate and climate factors affect the distribution of vegetation. In Ethiopia, for example, there are different vegetation types based on climate and topographic variations. There are two main topographic factors that govern the Ethiopian climate. One is the location of Ethiopia in relation to the equator and the second is the relief condition of Ethiopia. Ethiopia is located closer to the equator (the southern boundary is at approximately 3°30' north latitude) and its relief ranges from 125 meters below sea level to 4533m above sea level. Species distribution models (SDM) are used to show the impact of climate change in the distribution of the species under consideration. SDM relates the spatial distribution of organisms with environmental covariates. Species distribution models are applied in various areas of study such as conservation work, alien species management and in the study of evolutionary changes (Corsi et al., 1999; Peterson et al., 1999; Guisan and Zimmermann, 2000; Kriticos and Randall, 2001; Welk et al., 2002; Guisan and Thuiller, 2005). 20 Based on the type of biological data (occurrence data), the method of modelling and the software applied are different. The biological data could fall in one of the following two data sets. 1. Presence/absence data 2. Presence only data In presence/absence data, there is a need to have both occurrence and absence records for the species desired to model, while we need to have occurrence records (longitude and latitude) of the species for presence only data to run the model. According to Ponder et al. (2001), there is shortage of absence data in the tropics where the sampling was poor and at the same time, where conservation is very important. There are ample presence records in the tropics, while the absence data are poorly available. General purpose statistical models such as generalized linear models and generalized additive models address the presence/absence data types. There are different types of climate envelop models such as Bioclim, Domain, General additive models and Maxent (Maximum Entropy). Among the existing Climate Envelop Models, Maximum Entropy Species distribution modelling approach was originally designed for statistical mechanics (Jaynes, 1957) and was applied for species habitat distribution modelling by Philips et al. (2006). It is one of the climate envelop models applied for making extrapolations from presence only data. When it is applied to presence only species distribution modelling, the study area makes up the space on which the Maxent probability distribution is defined, the points with known species occurrence records constitute the sample points, and the features are environmental variables which could be climatic, elevational, edaphic, vegetation or other environmental variables depending on the data at hand. 21 According to Philip et al. (2006), Maxent is advantageous in handling presence only data with environmental variables, avoiding model over-fitting through regularization and converge to the optimum probability distributions, among others. 22 CHAPTER THREE 3. MATERIALS AND METHODS 3.1. Study Area 3.1.1. Location of study area This study was carried out in the Jimma Highlands, southwest Ethiopia (Figure 1) from November 2012–April 2014. The study area was designated “Jimma Highlands” by the Climate Change Impacts on Ecosystem Services and Food Security in Eastern Africa (CHIESA) Project. Jimma Highland is the wettest part of Ethiopia and belongs to the Eastern Afromontane Biodiversity Hotspot (Mittermeier et al., 2004). The landscape is a mosaic of different land uses such as semi-forest coffee (henceforth, SFC), croplands, pastures, natural forests, woodlands and plantation forests. The plantation forests are composed of exotic species such as Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta and Pinus patula. The study transects ranges from 1500–2200 m above sea level. 23 Figure 1: Map of East Africa including Ethiopia showing location of the study area in Jimma Highlands (designated by CHIESA Project) and landuse types 3.1.2. Climate Southwest Ethiopia is the wettest region of the country with eight months of heavy rains (March-October). The precipitation and temperature data for 17 years (1990– 2007) were obtained from Ethiopian Meteorology Agency (Jimma station) for 24 constructing the climate diagram following Walter (1985) (Figure 2). As it is indicated in Figure , Jimma (including the entire southwest Ethiopia) is characterised by uni-modal rainfall pattern. The average monthly precipitation (1990–2007) was 1563 mm. The average monthly maximum and minimum temperatures for the period of time indicated above are 30°C and 7.7°C respectively (Figure 2). The mean annual maximum temperature ranges from 26.53-28.63°C, while the mean annual minimum temperature ranges from 3.1-12.2°C. The arid period prevails in February and the rest relatively represents the humid period. The area in black represents the perhumid period of the year getting above 100 mm of rainfall on average. This area extends from March to October. jimma (1760 m) 1990-07 19.7C 1563 mm 300 C mm 50 100 40 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 30.0 7.7 0 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D Figure 2: Climate diagram of Jimma Highlands, southwest Ethiopia 25 3.1.3. Human population and economy According to 2007 Ethiopian census report (CSA, 2008), the human population of Setema and Gumay districts were 103,748 (males = 50999, females = 52749) and 61,333 (males = 30707, females = 30626) respectively. About 97% of the population of Setema and 95% of Guma districts were Muslems and the remaining belong to Christianity. Oromo is the major ethnic group in both districts. There are some Amhara and Tigre settlers from northern Ethiopia. The majorities of the population in both districts are rural and depend on smallholder subsistence agriculture. Coffee (Coffea arabica) and “Chat” (Catha edulis) farming is the main agriculture activity in both districts for generating income. Traditional honey farming is another source of income in the districts. The conservation of forests patches for coffee farming made both districts ideal places for honey production. Particularly the conservation of Schefflera abyssinica (local name = Gatama) in Jimma Zone contributed to the production of white honey which has priority in the local market compared to honey from other sources. The common crops in both districts include cereals such as maize, sorghum, teff, barley and wheat and pulses such as Vicia faba and Pisum sativum. Animal farming is another important sector in supporting the rural community in both districts. The community has been using horse back as a means of transportation in both Setema and Gumay districts. In the past, horse was used for transportation purposes within and out of the districts, but nowadays, vehicles have replaced the horse back for longer journeys like from one district to another. 26 3.1.4. Land uses According to the agricultural offices of Setema and Gumay districts the land use types are classified into arable land, pasture, and moist montane forest and degraded land. About 27% of the total land area of Setema District was arable, while pasture and forests represent about 13% and 55% respectively. The remaining land (about 5%) is degraded and has no use. In Gumay District, the cultivable land is about 61%, while pasture, forest and unusable land (swamps and mountains) represent about 8%, 5% and 20% respectively. Setema District has more forest cover compared to the neighbouring Gumay District. 3.2. Materials 3.2.1. Data acquisition There are two sources of data in this study. 1. Primary data The primary data were directly collected during the field work from November 2012 - April 2014 in the Jimma Highlands. 2. Secondary data Specific wood densities for woody species were acquired from Global Wood Density Database (Chave et al. 2009; Zanne et al., 2009). Climate variables were taken from down scaled AFRICLIM 1km resolution for East Africa (Platts et al., 2014) from KITE website (http://www.york.ac.uk/environment/research/kite/). Enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI) for the 27 year 2012 were downloaded from MODDIS sattelite imagery (https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/modis_products_table/mod13q1) using the Google search engine. The hd file formats were converted to tif format in R free statistical software version 3.0.1 (R Core Team, 2014). Extraction of EVI and NDVI values from grid cells for the transect was caried out in QGIS version 2.2.0-Valmiera. Soil data for 1km resolution were downloaded from World Soil Information Database (ISRIC, 2013) as additional input. Appendix 1 shows the soil and evapotranspiration data for the study plots along the transect in the Jimma Highland. Plant species occurrence data were obtained from herbarium specimens and from databases. The occurrence data were collated from the herbarium specimens housed at the National Herbarium (ETH), Addis Ababa University. The data bases of Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) (http://www.gbif.org/) and TROPICOS (Missouri Botanical Garden) (http://www.tropicos.org/) were also used for collecting the occurrence data across Ethiopia. 3.2.2. Field equipment and software Global positioning system (GPS) for recording the location of species (longitude, latitude and altitude); hemispherical camera (Nikon D7000) with fish eye lenses for taking upward hemispherical images which later processed to produce LAI, clinometer for measuring slope angle and determine tree height; compass for determination of direction and aspect of the study plots; diameter tape for taking the diameter of tree trunk at breast height; digital range finder which measures the 28 distance from the observer and the tree trunk, and Photo camera, water balance, plant press and tripod (camera stand) were used in the field data collection. Laptop and desktop computers were used for collecting secondary data from different sources via the Google search engine. Without the application of software data organization and processing, it was unthinkable to accomplish the objectives of the study. Therefore, the following softwares have been utilized. 1. Quantum GIS free software version 2.2 Valmiera for image manipulation 2. R free software version 3.0.1 3. Past free software 4. CAN-EYE free software 5. PC-ORD version 5.31 3.3. Methods 3.3.1. Study design The study design varied based on the aspects to be studied. This study addressed: 1. Plant species richness, diversity, abundance and distribution; 2. Plant canopy structure and stratification; 3. Carbon storage in different land use types across the transect and its association with climate variables; and 29 4. Leaf area index and its association with climate variables. The study transect with a total area of 46 km2 (23 km × 2 km) was laid from Ageyo (a village between Toba and Dembi towns) northwest of Jimma in the upper Didessa River Basin. The transect was placed along an altitudinal gradient (1500–2300 m a.s.l.) by the CHIESA Project. The project incorporated a range of different aspects such as impact of climate change on plant diversity and distribution, carbon storage and land use/land cover changes. Thirty-one plots of 100 m × 100 m (major plot) were established in different land use types such as croplands, forests (SFC, degraded natural forest (henceforth, DNF), plantation forest), woodland and pasture along the transect. Stratified random sampling technique was used for putting the sample plots across the transect. The main land use types for the transect were identified from 2008 SPOT5 satellite image and was confirmed during the reconnaisence survey which was conducted before the start of actual data collection. The major plots were placed randomly in each land use type and their four corners were geo-referenced and the vertices have been marked to easily trace the plot boundary for the next visit. Five subplots of 20 m × 20 m were laid at the corners and the center of each major plot (100 m × 100 m) (Figure 3). The 20 m × 20 m plot was marked at 10 m from the corners and at 5 m into the plot from the 10 m mark from the corners (Figure 4). Small plots of 2 m by 2 m were established at the center and four corners of the 20 m × 20 m plot. 30 Figure 3: Sampling design for AGC and vegetation data collection Figure 4: Sampling design for LAI data collection Diameter at breast height (DBH) and height of all woody species with DBH 10cm were taken from the one hectare plot for the study of carbon storage. The 20 m × 20 m plots nested within the one hectare plots were used for collecting data on 31 occurrence of woody species, upward hemispherical images for determination of leaf area index (LAI). Thirty-five plots of 20 m × 20 m were also used for collecting cover abundance values from SFC system. This was used for grouping SFC plots based on the similarities in the cover abundance values of the canopy trees. The 2 m × 2 m plots were used for collecting occurrence data on herbaceous species. Another 29 plots of size 20 m × 20 m (400 m2) were placed in SFC of size less than one hectare, along the transect. This was designed for collecting data on LAI (both above and below the coffee canopy). 3.3.2. Data analysis 3.3.2.1. Land use/Land cover mapping The LULC map was produced for the year 2008 using SPOT5 satellite image. The SPOT5 images from 2008 used for land cover mapping were two satellite images taken on path 134 and row 133, December 17, 2008. These were utilized (i) in panchromatic mode at 2.5 m spatial resolution with 0.48–0.71 m wavelengths, and (ii) in multispectral mode at 10 m spatial resolution with four bands: green (0.50– 0.59 m), red (0.61–0.68 m), near infrared (0.78–0.89 m), and short-wave infrared (1.58–1.75 m). In addition to the satellite images for the year 2008 LULC map, true-color aerial photographs were used and acquired in a flight campaign arranged in October 2012 using University of Helsinki’s NIKON D3X camera and EnsoMOSAIC aerial 32 imaging system. The spatial resolution of the final aerial image was 0.5 meter. Global Digital Elevation Model with 30 m resolution was used in SPOT5 satellite image pre-processing from ASTER. We collected ground control points and training areas from field work in order to get the LULC map. The classification was based on information obtained from a set of similar pixles which is referred to as Object Based Image Analysis (OBIA) and applied in two levels: (i) Classification of the transect into different major land use types (ii) separation of indigenous and exotic forests from the forest cover. The Nearest Neighbor supervised classification method was used for classifying segmented image objects and it was based on Land Cover Classification System. The final classified image was at 2.5 m spatial resolution. 3.3.2.2. Species area curve Before applying different analyses such as species diversity, similarity indices, modelling species distribution and carbon storage, species area curve analysis was applied using PC-ORD Version 5.31 for windows (McCune and Mefford, 2006). This helped to evaluate the sampling effort in the species data collection. 3.3.2.3. Species diversity Species richness, abundance, diversity, dominance and diversity profile were determined using PAST computer software for windows (Hammer et al., 2001). Percent and relative frequency of occurrence of each species in the entire study area 33 as well as in each land use types were determined using excel spread sheet. Species richness in each plant growth form was also determined for each land use type. The assessment of plant diversity in the study area was also one of the targets of this study. Shannon-Wiener diversity index (Sannon and Wiener, 1949) was used to determine species diversity from the quantitative data on abundance of each species obtained from the sample plots and presence/absence data. Species diversity, richness and evenness were evaluated using Shannon-Wiener Diversity index and Simpson evenness index. Where, H = Shannon and Wiener diversity index, Pi = the ratio of a species average to the total species average Ln = the natural logarism to base e (loge) The species evenness is calculated using the following formula J = Hmax/lnS Where, J = the species evenness Hmax = lnS, in which S stands for the number of species 34 3.3.2.4. Basal area The DBH of all woody species in SFC and the DNF was measured at 1.3 m above the ground. Importance value index for each tree species was calculated from the basal area, frequency and abundance. The basal area for the woody species was determined from the DBH measurement. The basal area was calculated by multiplying diameter by pie. Basal area is calculated from the following formula. Basal area (BA) = * (diameter/2)2 3.3.2.5. Analysis of variance One way analysis of variance was used to determine the difference between each land use type in plant species richness, tree species abundance and basal area across the transect. Pearson correlation was used to evaluate the linear relationships between species richness in herb, shrub and tree growth forms and assess the realtionships with environmental variables such as climate, edaphic and topography. The linear relationships between tree species abundance and environmental variables were also determined using Pearson correlation coefficient. Multiple regression analysis was also conducted to determine the amount of variation in species abundance and richness explained by edaphic, topographic and climatic variables. 3.3.2.6. Classification and grouping study plots The study plots were classified based on species presence/absence data using PCORD Version 5.31 for windows (McCune and Mefford, 2006). The plots in SFC 35 system were classified and grouped using two-way cluster analysis. Group linkage method and Sorensen (Bray Curtis) distance measurer were used to classify canopy trees into groups based on their similarities in cover abundance values. Modified Braun-Blanquet approach was used for estimation of cover abundance values. Naming of the groups of canopy trees was based on the dominant species (highest cover abundance value). 3.3.2.7. Vertical stratification Vertical stratification in SFC and DNF was determined following the IUFRO classification scheme (Lamprecht, 1989). According to this scheme, trees with >2/3 height of the tallest tree represent upper storey, trees with height between 1/3 and 2/3 of the tallest tree represent the middle storey and trees with height < 1/3 of the tallest tree represent the lower storey. The richness, abundance, diversity, dominance of plant species in each storey was analysed. The analysis was not done for plantation forests, woodland, cropland and pasture due to absence of strata in the repective land use types. 3.3.2.8. Carbon storage Carbon storage in all land use types was organized in Microsoft excel spread sheet and the data were taken into SPSS 16.0 for windows for analysis. The above ground live biomass was calculated using the updated, non-destructive allometric equation (Chave et al., 2014). The above ground live biomass was, therefore, calculated from 36 the following equation, where wood specific gravity, DBH and height of the woody spcies are used as input data. AGB = 0.0673*( D2H)0.976 Where “AGB” stands for above ground live biomass, “ ” for wood specific gravity, “D” for diameter at breast height and “H” for height of the woody species. Wood specific gravity was obtained at species-level from the Global Wood Density database (Chave et al., 2009; Zanne et al., 2009).The above ground live carbon (AGC) was estimated at 50% of the AGB (Chave et al. 2014). Shapiro-Wilk normality test confirmed that the data distributed normally and hence parametric test was used. Data exploration, descriptive statistics and analysis of variance (ANOVA) were used to evaluate the distribution of data, carbon storage in each land use types and comparing different land use types in terms of carbon storage. Pearson correlation was used to determine the linear relationship between species richness (herb, tree and shrub) and AGC; between tree species abundance and AGC. Multiple regressions were conducted to determine the amount of variation in AGC explained by tree species richness and abundance combined (explanatory variables). Pearson correlation was also used to determine the relationships between AGC and climate variables, AGC and edaphic variables, AGC and topographic variables. Multiple 37 regression analysis was also conducted to determine the amount of variation in AGC explained by potential evapotranspiration, soil pH, CEC and sand (edaphic factors). 3.3.2.9. Leaf area index (LAI) The upward hemispherical images taken from the plots were organized in excel spreadsheet in the appropriate format for thresholding in MATLAB computer software. MATLAB was used for thresholding the images and CAN-EYE computer software was used for converting the images into digital numbers. The CAN-EYE produces true leaf area index and effective leaf area index based on the presence and /or absence of vegetation clumping. Both data sets were tested for normality. Effective leaf area index was excluded from the analysis due to failure to satisfy the assumption of normal distribution even after transformations. LAI were produced from two versions of Can_Eye (V5.1 and V6.1) based on the differences in the regularization term that imposes constraints for the improvement of LAI. In Can_Eye V5.1, the regularization term uses average leaf angle which asumes the average leaf angle close to 600, while Can_Eye V6.1 uses the retrieved plant area index which is close to the one retrieved from the zenital angle of 570. The linear relationships between above ground live carbon storage (AGC) and LAI, species richness and LAI, tree species abundance and LAI were analyzed using Rfree software version 3.0.1. Analysis of variance was also used to determine the 38 difference among different land use types in LAI. Multiple regression analysis was conducted with the explanatory variables having significant linear relationship with the LAI. This was used to know the variation in LAI explained by the independent variables. The difference between the LAI taken above the coffee canopy and below the coffee canopy was tested using paired sample t-test. 3.3.2.10. Species Distribution Model Maxent entropy (Phillips et al., 2006) was used for modelling the distributions of five plant species encountered in the study transect. The presence records (longitude and latitude) of species were used as input for the model. Five plant species were selected for modelling their distribution across Ethiopia. The selection was based mainly on: (1) occurrence in the study transect (Jimma Highlands), (2) the species should be indigenous, (3) have economic /medicinal values among the community, (4) their ecological role in the ecosystem. There are documented economic and medicinal values of Cordia africana (Dawit Abebe and Ahadu Ayehu, 1993; Fichtl and Admasu Adi, 1994; Legesse Negash, 1995; Riedl and Edwards, 2006; World agroforestry, 2009; Sarah Tewoldeberhan et al., 2013), (Millettia ferruginea (Thulin, 1989; Fichtl and Admassu Adi, 1994; Berhanu Alemu et al., 2013), Schefflera abyssinica (Fichtl and Admassu Adi, 1994), Phytolacca dodecandra (Aklilu Lemma et al., 1972; Polhill, 2000; Hailu Tadeg, 2005). Acacia abyssinica, Millettia ferruginea and Cordia africana are selected for shade provision by coffee growers (Diriba Muleta et al., 2011). Based on the above three points, Acacia abyssinica, Cordia africana, Millettia ferruginea, Phytolacca dodecandra and Schefflera 39 abyssinica were selected for modelling, which are decribed below. Climate data were obtained from AFRICLIM (Platts et al., 2014). Acacia abyssinica Hochst.ex Benth. (Fabaceae) Cordia africana Lam. (Boraginaceae) Millettia ferruginea (Hochst.) Bak. (Fabaceae) Phytollaca dodecandra L’Herit. (Phytolaccaeae) Schefflera abyssinica (Hochst. ex A. Rich.) Harms (Araliaceae) 3.3.2.10.1. Model building The occurrence data for each of the five species were divided into training and test data. Seventy five percent of the occurrence data were used for training; while 25% were used for testing (referred to as random test percentage) the performance of the model. This setting allows us to set aside 25% of the presence data to be used to evaluate the model’s performance. In the absence of test data (25% in this case), the model uses the training data to evaluate itself and as a result the model will be inflated. The use of test data, therefore; avoids such inflated model outputs. Of the three replicate run types that Maxent allows for using, the subsample option was chosen. Ten replicates were made for each species and the average over the ten model outputs was taken for interpretation and discussion. 40 The species have different number of occurrence localities- Acacia abyssinica (n = 92), Cordia africana (n = 108), Millettia ferruginea (n = 75), Phytolacca dodecandra (n = 113) and Schefflera abyssinica (n = 104). Overlapping data were avoided and only those data points which were not overlapping were used in the modelling. For Acacia abyssinica, 40 for training and 13 for testing were used, for Cordia africana 47 for training and 15 for testing, for Millettia ferruginea, 49 for training and 16 for testing, for Phytolacca dodecandra, 36 for training and 12 for testing, and for Schefflera abyssinica, 33 for training and 11 for testing. In MaxEnt, it is possible to run a model several times and then take the average of the results from all models (Philips et al., 2006). In this study, the model was executed to replicate 10 times and then the average was taken. This result was combined with the result from the 25% test data for evaluating the model performance. Executing multiple runs also provide a way to measure the amount of variability in the model. In the default setting, the number of iterations (convergence) was set to 500. In this study, the number of iterations was increased to 5000 to allow adequate time for the model to converge. This helps to avoid either over prediction or under prediction. The application of regularization avoids or reduces model over-fit. The default value of 1 was accepted for regularisation for this study. 41 CHAPTER FOUR 4. Results 4.1. Land Use/Land Cover The 2008 land cover map (Figure 5) showed five main land cover categories in the transect: these are pasture, woodland, cropland, natural and plantation forests. From the field observation, the natural forests without coffee are found towards the end of the transect, while the natural forests upto around 2000 m elevation were occupied by SFC. Therefore, the natural forests were further classified into those with coffee and those without coffee. Hence, the main LULC types of this study area were: 1. Cropland 2. Pasture 3. SFCs 4. Woodland 5. DNFs 6. Plantation forests Plant species richness, diversity, abundance, vegetation structure, carbon storage and leaf area indices were all affected by LULC types and hence have been addressed separately. 42 Figure 5: Land use/cover across the study transect in the Jimma Highlands for the year 2008 4.2. Plant Species Richness and Diversity 4.2.1. Species richness in each land use type 4.2.1.1. Species area curve The species area curve in all land use types levelled off after some sample plots were surveyed. This showed that the sampling effort was exhaustive (Figure 6). The number of sample plots for plant species data collection (400 m2) was 35 for SFC, 35 for cropland, 25 for pasture, 20 for woodland, 20 for DNF and 20 for plantation forests. Species richness and growth form distributions in each land use types are presented below. 43 Cropland Woodland SFC DNF Pasture Plantation Figure 6: Species area curve for all land use types across the transect in the Jimma Highlands 4.2.1.2. Species richness in DNF The natural forest in the study transect is surrounded by villages and is used as common pool for firewood, materials for building houses, timber and other nontimber forest products. As a result, it is highly degraded. This natural forest is composed of 114 (28.25 ha-1) species of plants that are distributed among 103 genera and 50 families (Appendix 2). The top 13 families were composed of about 56% of 44 the species in the natural forest and the remaining 37 families together contributed about 44% of the total species composition. Asteraceae is the most species rich family (11 species) in the DNF followed by Rubiaceae and Fabaceae each of them with eight and seven species respectively. Twenty-five families were represented by one species each. The number of herbaceous and tree species in the DNF is almost the same. There are slightly more herbs than trees, while the lianas have the lowest species diversity compared to the remaining three growth forms (Table 1). Table 1: Growth form distribution of plant species in DNF Growth form Species richness Species %Composition richness ha-1 Herb 36 9.0 31.58 Liana 11 2.75 9.65 Shrub 32 8.0 28.07 Tree 35 8.75 30.70 4.2.1.3. Species richness in woodlands Woodland is a stand of trees with the height of 8-20 m and a canopy cover of at least 40% of the surface (White, 1983). In this study transect, woodlands are composed of 136 (34 ha-1) plant species (Appendix 3) distributed among 105 genera and 44 families. Asteraceae and Fabaceae were equally species-rich families; each of them containing 18 species together contributing to 26.48% of the total species composition in the woodland. Lamiaceae and Euphorbiaceae follow with 11(8.09%) 45 and 9 (6.62%) species respectively. The families with one representative species in the woodland are 22, together contributing about 16% of the species composition in the woodland. Most of the plants in the woodland are herbaceous followed by shrub species. Liana growth form is the least species rich compared to all the rest (Table 2). Table 2: Growth form distribution of plant species in woodland Growth form Species richness Species %Composition richness ha-1 Herb 56 14 41.18 Liana 9 2.25 6.62 Shrub 39 9.75 28.68 Tree 32 8 23.53 4.2.1.4. Species richness in cropland Cropland is composed of 91(13 ha-1) plant species occurring in 81 genera and 37 families (Appendix 4). Species richness is the highest in the family Asteraceae compared to other plant families in the cropland along the study transect. Fabaceae is the second species rich family followed by Euphorbiaceae, Malvaceae and Poacaeae. Most families are composed of one species. Out of the four plant growth forms, herbs are the most species rich group, while liana is the least growth form in species richness (Table 3). When woodland, degraded natural or coffee forests are converted to plots of annual crops, the trees, shrubs and lianas are removed. The tree species 46 are scattered in farm land and their number per hectare is about three species on average. Liana growth form is the most affected in agricultural field. Table 3: Growth form distribution of plant species in cropland Growth form Species richness Species %Composition richness ha-1 Herb 50 7.14 54.95 Liana 2 0.29 2.20 Shrub 17 2.43 18.68 Tree 22 3.14 24.18 4.2.1.5. Species richness in SFC SFC ranked third in plant species richness per hectare and relatively the richest land use type in plant family composition in the study transect. SFC is composed of 152 (52.96%) of plant species (Appendix 5) spread among 130 genera and 55 families. Asteraceae and Fabaceae are the most species rich families. Euphorbiaceae ranked third in species richness followed by Acanthaceae, Malvaceae and Rubiaceae each of them with equal number of species. Twenty-four families in the SFC were represented only by one species each. Variation was also observed in plant growth forms. Most of the species in the SFC are herbs, while liana is the least growth form in species richness (Table 4). Liana is the growth form which is affected most in SFC. The most frequently occurring plant 47 species in SFC are Coffea arabica, Celts africana and Ehretia cymosa. All of these plants were recorded from all study plots of SFC. Plant species like Achyranthes aspera, Albizia gummifera, Cordia africana, Croton macrostachyus, Desmodium repandum, Vepris dainellii, Vernonia amygdalina and Vernonia auriculifera were the second most frequent species in the SFC. The most frequently occurring species belong to the tree growth form. Of the most frequent species, Desmodium repandum and Achyranthes aspera were herbaceous species and V. auriculifera is a shrub, while all the remaining are trees. Table 4: Growth form distribution of plant species in SFC Species Growth form Species richness richness ha-1 % Composition Herb 67 9.57 44.08 Liana 3 0.34 1.97 Shrub 34 4.86 22.37 Tree 48 6.86 31.58 4.2.1.6. Species richness in pasture There are 90 genera and 39 plant families with 113 plant species occurring in pastures along the study transect (Appendix 6). Asteraceae is the most species rich family in the pasture; Fabaceae and Poaceae follow. Euphorbiaceae, Lamiaceae and Rubiaceae rank fourth species rich families with equal number of species. About half of the families have 2 species, while the rest are represented by one species each. 48 Lianas have fewer occurrences when compared with the remaining plant growth forms. Herb growth form is the most species rich group (Table 5). Table 5: Growth form distribution of plant species in pasture Species richness ha-1 % Composition Growth form Species richness Herb 51 10.2 45.13 Liana 7 1.4 6.19 Shrub 32 6.4 28.32 Tree 23 4.6 20.35 4.2.1.7. Species richness in plantation forests There are 79 plant species occurring in the plantation forests (Appendix 7). The highest growth form in species richness in the plantation forests was tree and the least was liana (Table 6). The plots of monoculture plantations include Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta and Pinus patula. The number of trees in the monoculture plantations showed the regenerating capacity of indigenous tree species under the canopy of plantations of exotic species. 49 Table 6: Growth form distribution of plant species in plantation forest Species Growth form Species richness richness ha-1 % composition Herb 27 6.75 34.18 Liana 3 0.75 3.80 Shrub 21 5.25 26.58 Tree 28 7 35.44 4.2.2. Plant species across the transect 4.2.2.1. Plant species richness From the study conducted in all land use types along the established study transect, in the Jimma Highland, 287 species of plants were collected and identified. These 287 plant species have been distributed among 220 genera and 82 families (Appendix 8). The first 12 families contributed more to the species composition in the study transect than the remaining 70 families (Table 7). Three families (Cupressaceae, Proteaceae and Pinaceae) are represented by single exotic species each. 50 Table 7: Species rich families across the study transect and their percent composition Family Richness %Composition Asteraceae 33 11.58 Fabaceae 25 8.77 Euphorbiaceae 14 4.91 Lamiaceae 14 4.91 Rubiaceae 14 4.91 Poaceae 13 4.59 Acanthaceae 10 3.51 Malvaceae 9 3.16 Solanaceae 8 2.81 Moraceae 7 2.46 Amaranthaceae 6 2.11 Ranunculaceae 6 2.11 Remaining 70 families 128 44.6 Species richness in different land use types vary. The species composition in all land use types were compared using X2 statistics. The test showed that the species composition is affected by land use type (Xi2 (5) = 32.258, the critical value at p = 0.05 significant level for 5° of freedom is 11.07) (Table 8). The calculated X2 is greater than the critical value confirming that the land use types affected plant species richness. 51 114 136 91 113 79 685 Absent 135 173 151 196 173 208 1036 Total 287 287 287 287 287 287 1722 Frequency 0.53 0.40 0.47 0.32 0.39 0.28 0.40 114.17 114.17 114.17 114.17 114.17 114.17 172.83 172.83 172.83 172.83 172.83 172.83 Ob-exp 37.83 -0.17 21.83 -23.17 -1.17 -35.17 (Ob-exp)2 1431.361 0.027778 476.6944 536.6944 1.361111 1236.694 Total woodland 152 pasture DNF Present Cropland SFC plantation Table 8: X2-test for species composition in different land use types Expected Presence Expected Absence (Ob-exp)2/exp 12.5375 0.0002 4.1754 4.7010 0.0119 10.8324 Xi2(5)=32.258 The number of plant species per hectare increased from highly modified land use types to less modified ones (Figure 7). The land use types in decreasing order of plant species richness per hectare are woodland, DNF, SFC, pastureland, monoculture plantation of exotic species and cropland of annual crops (Figure 7). 52 Figure 7: Plant species richness per hectare in different land use types across the transect (WLD = woodland, DNF, SFC = semi-forest coffee, PR = pasture, PF = plantation forest, CLD = cropland) 4.2.2.2. Woody species richness and diversity Woody species richness, abundance and diversity vary from land use to land use. The highest woody species richness was recorded from SFC followed by DNF and woodland.The least woody species with dbh 10 cm was obtained from cropland (Table 9). The land use types also vary in woody species abundance. Plantation forest is characterized by the highest density of trees. The number of stems per hectare is 236 in DNF, while it is 129.7 ha-1 in SFC, whereas the least abundance was recorded from cropland with 6.7 ha-1. 53 Table 9: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in different land use types SFC Richness Cropland Woodland Pasture DNF Plantation 44 9 27 14 32 13 Abundance 908 47 464 31 944 3193 Dominance 0.10 0.18 0.17 0.11 0.08 0.27 Shannon 2.75 1.90 2.18 2.43 2.82 1.47 Evenness 0.35 0.74 0.33 0.81 0.53 0.33 4.2.2.3. Plant growth form distribution Plant species collected from the sample plots along the study transect were distributed among four major plant growth forms (herb, liana, shrub and tree). The most species rich plant growth form was herb, while the growth form with least number of species was liana. 4.2.2.4. Frequency of occurrence of species The 287 plant species distributed in the entire study area vary in frequency of occurrence along the transect (Appendix 8). Nine plant species occurred in about 50% of the study plots. These are Acacia abyssinica, Achyranthes aspera, Agerantum conyzoides, Albizia gummifera, Bidens pilosa, Cordia africana, Croton macrostachyus, Maesa lanceolata and Vernonia auriculifera (Appendix 8). Five of these plants were trees and three of them were herbs and there was one shrub. 54 Eight plant species occurred only once and these are Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta, Kosteletzkya begoniifolia, Nuxia congesta, Pinus patula, Schrebera alata and Sesbania sesban. Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta, Pinus patula and Sesbania sesban were exotic species and the first four are in plantations. Sesbania sesban has been used as shade tree in home gardens and was seen in the wild escaping from the home gardens. Kosteletzkya begoniifolia, Nuxia congesta and Schrebera alata are indigenous species and have rare occurrence in the study area. 4.2.3. Climate variables and edaphic factors against species richness The richness of herbaceous species showed significant linear relationships with mean annual rainfall, mean annual temperature, maximum temperature warmest month, mean annual temperature, annual moisture index, potential evapotranspiration and soil pH (Appendix 9). The linear relationships of the herbaceous species richness with rainfall wettest month, silt, soil bulk density, cation exchange capacity, sand and clay was not significant. The linear relationship of the shrub species was only significant with the soil clay, but its relation was not significant with other variables (Appendix 9). Tree species richness was only significant with sand and clay (Appendix 9). The relation with elevation and other variables was not significant. 4.2.3.1. Multiple regression analysis The regression analysis made with the variables showed significant relationship with herbaceous species richness. Most of the variables were excluded due to collinearity 55 and only two variables (mean annual temperature and soil pH) were taken for the analysis. The two variables combined together have significantly explained 20.5% (R2 = 0.205, R2adj = 0.148, SE = 7.85) of the variation in herbaceous species richness. The contribution of each separate variable to the model was not significant (Table 10). The two soil properties having significant relationships with the tree species richness were tested for collinearity prior to conducting the multiple regression analysis. The variance inflation factor for both variables was <5 (Table 11). The two variables combined together have explained about 20% (R2 = 0.196, R2adj = 0.138, SE = 7.12) of the variation in tree species richness. The soil clay explained about 17% of the variation in shrub richness. Table 10: Contribution of mean annual temperature and pH to the regression analysis of herb richness Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef B SE Beta -71.572 36.082 bio1 0.391 0.353 pH 0.346 1.336 Model Constant Dependent variable: Herb 56 t p VIF -1.984 0.057 0.375 1.106 0.278 4.04 0.088 0.259 0.798 4.04 Table 11: Contribution of each explanatory variable to the regression analysis of tree species richness Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE Beta Constant 20. 647 72.931 Sand 0.958 1.164 Clay -0.907 0.959 T p VIF 0.283 0.779 0.219 0.823 0.417 2.457 -0.251 -0.945 0.353 2.457 Dependent variable: Tree 4.2.4. Classification of study plots on the bases of species presence/absence The sample plots were clustered into three (with about 12.5% similarity) using the species occurrence data (presence/absence) across all land use types in the study transect (Figure 8). Jaccard similarity index was the measure of similarity used to group the sample plots. The plots from different land use types were classified based on their similarities in species composition. Group I: Includes all forest types (DNF, SFC, plantation forest) and some plots of woodland in the transect. The DNFs are represented by 20 sample plots, SFC by 35 plots, plantation forests by 20 plots and the woodlands by 10 plots. All plots in the DNF were composed of indigenous plant species such as Apodytes dimidiata, Croton macrostachyus, Galiniera saxifraga, Polyscias fulva, Prunus africana, Schefflera 57 abyssinica and Syzygium guineense, while the plantation forests are mainly composed of Cupressus lusitanica, Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta and Pinus patula, which are all exotic species. The SFC were composed of the trees retained on the plot by the coffee growers for the purpose of shade provision for the coffee shrubs beneath. All the shade trees in the SFC were indigenous species. The most important trees in the SFC were Albizia gummifera, Acacia abyssinica, Celtis africana, Cordia africana, Croton macrostachyus and Millettia ferruginea. The woodland plots in this group are also compsed of indigenous species such as Acacia abyssinica, Combretum molle, Entada abyssinica and Terminalia schimperiana. Group II: Group II includes all plots of pastureland and 10 plots from the woodlands. All the plant species in pasture and woodlands in this group were indigenous. The trees found doted in the pastureland include Ficus vasta, Sapium ellipticum, Syzygium guineense, Prunus africana and Croton macrostachyus. Group III: All plots of croplands were grouped together due to their similarity in species composition.The tree species dotted in the croplands include Acacia abyssinica, Cordia africana and Croton macrostachyus and all of them are indigenous species. 58 Figure 8: Cluster analysis based on species presence/absence (P1–4 = DNF, P5–8 = woodland, P9–15 = Cropland, P16–22 = SFC, P23–27 = Pastureland, P28–31 = Plantation forest) 4.2.5. Groups of canopy trees in SFC The canopy trees in the SFC were classified into four groups based on the cover abundance values taken from 35 sample plots along the transect (Figure 9 and Appendix 10). The group linkage method and Sorensen (Bray Curtis) distance measurer in two ways cluster analysis was used for grouping the canopy trees into groups. The two-way cluster analysis shows the grouping of sample plots and the species cluster showing the plots in which the species has occurred. Based on the calculated average value of cover abundance the coffee plots were classified into 59 four distinctive groups. Naming of the groups was based on the dominant species (highest cover abundance value). Croton macrostachyus and Albizia gummifera (Group I) This group of coffee shade trees was made up of five sample plots and was named after two dominant tree species in the group (Croton macrostachyus, relative cover abundance = 8 and Albizia gummifera, relative cover abundance = 7.4). Cordia africana, Ehreta cymosa, Allophylus abyssinicus, Schefflera abyssinica, Prunus africana, Diospyros abyssinica, Ficus sur, Bersama abyssinica, Apodytes dimidiata, Celtis africana, Galiniera saxifraga, Vernonia amygdalina and Pittosporum viridiflorum are other species in decreasing order of average cover abundance values. Cordia africana and Acacia abyssinica (Group II) This group of shade trees in the SFC was composed of 15 sample plots and it was named after two dominant canopy trees (Cordia africana, cover abundance = 6.7 and Acacia abyssinica, cover abundance = 5.3). Other plant species in this group include Albizia gummifera, Croton macrostachyus, Celtis africana, Ficus thonningi, Vepris dainellii, Clausena anisata, Vernonia amygdalina, Vernonia auriculifera, Sapium ellipticum, Ehreta cymosa, Vangueria apiculata, Maesa lanceolata, Prunus africana, Allophylus abyssinicus, Bridelia micrantha, Ficus sur, Ficus vasta, Polyscias fulva, Syzygium guineense, Diospyros abyssinica, Podocarpus falcatus, Schrebera alata, Trichilia dregeana, Dracaena steudneri and Grewia ferruginea. 60 Millettia ferruginea and Acacia abyssinica (Group III) This group was named by two coffee shade trees (Millettia ferruginea and Acacia abyssinica) with 6.6 and 4.4 cover abundance values respectively. This group is composed of five sample plots. Included in this group are Croton macrostachyus, Cordia africana, Albizia gummifera, Bersama abyssinica, Prunus africana, Sapium ellipticum, Schefflera abyssinica, Ekebergia capensis, Polyscias fulva, Maesa lanceolata and Maytenus arbutifolia Croton macrostahyus and Diospyros abyssinica (Group IV) Group IV is compsed of 10 sample plots and was named by two tree species (Croton macrostachyus and Diospyros abyssinica) with relatively high average abundance values (6 and 5.7 respectively) than any plant species in the group. The other plant species in this group in decreasing order of average abundance values are Millettia ferruginea, Cordia africana, Ficus mucuso, Dracaena steudneri, Celtis africana, Albizia gummifera, Ficus sur, Trilepisium madagascariense, Ficus vasta, Vepris dainellii, Chionanthus mildbraedii, Ficus thonningi, Sapium ellipticum, Trichilia dregeana, Ehreta cymosa, Rothmania urcelliformis, Bersama abyssinica, Flacourtia indica, Prunus africana, Syzygium guineense, Vangueria apiculata, Terminalia schimperiana, Phoenix reclinata and Maesa lanceolata. 61 II III IV I Figure 9: Group of canopy trees in the SFC in the study transect in the Jimma Highlands (I, II, III and IV represent group 1-4 respectively) High species richness was observed in group II and IV compared to the species richness in gropu I and III (Table 12). Group IV was with the highest species diversity, while group III was the least in species diversity (Table 12). Group I was the most dominant group compared to groups.II, III and IV. 62 Table 12: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in different groups of SFC Group_I Group_II Group_III Group_IV Richness 15 27 13 26 Abundance 48.40 41.33 27.20 52.30 Dominance 0.10 0.08 0.13 0.07 Shannon_H 2.47 2.79 2.27 2.92 Evenness 0.79 0.60 0.74 0.71 4.2.6. Vegetation structure 4.2.6.1. Land use type and plant species abundance The plant species abundance varies from land use to land use type (Figure 10). It shows a decline in mean abundance of plant species from plantation forest to pastureland. The mean abundance for plantation forest was the highest, while pasture Mean abundance of Plant species was the least in tree species abundance (Table 16). Figure 10: Box plot of species abundance in different land use types (1 = plantation forest, 2 = DNF, 3 = SFC, 4 = woodland, 5 = cropland, 6 = pasture) 63 Analysis of variance test showed significant difference within land use types in plant species abundance (Table 13). A post hoc test showed significant differences between SFC and cropland, pasture, plantation forests, but it did not show any significant variation from DNF and woodland (Table 14). Cropland showed a strong significant relationship with DNF, plantation forests, woodland, but did not show significant difference from pasture (Table 14). As with the cropland, the variation between DNF and pasture was also significant and pasture was also different from plantation forests and with woodland. A significant statistical difference was also shown between plantation forest and woodland wheras three homogenous groups were also produced (Table 15). Table 13: Difference in species abundance (4th root_abundance) across different land use types SS df MS F P 3.483 5 0.697 28.824 0.00 0.556 23 0.024 4.038 28 Between Groups Within Groups Total 64 Table 14: Pairwise comparison in species abundance between different land use types (LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound) UB Land use 1 LB 95% CI Land use 2 MD1 & 2 SE P Cropland 0.54 0.09 0.00 0.28 0.81 DNF -0.18 0.10 0.47 -0.48 0.12 Pasture 0.59 0.09 0.00 0.30 0.87 Plantation -0.42 0.11 0.01 -0.75 -0.09 Woodland 0.05 0.10 1.00 -0.25 0.35 DNF -0.72 0.10 0.00 -1.03 -0.41 Pasture 0.04 0.09 1.00 -0.25 0.33 Plantation -0.96 0.11 0.00 -1.30 -0.62 Woodland -0.49 0.10 0.00 -0.81 -0.18 Pasture 0.77 0.10 0.00 0.44 1.09 Plantation -0.24 0.12 0.36 -0.61 0.13 Woodland 0.23 0.11 0.33 -0.11 0.57 Plantation -1.00 0.11 0.00 -1.36 -0.65 Pasture Woodland -0.54 0.10 0.00 -0.86 -0.21 Plantation Woodland 0.47 0.12 0.01 0.10 0.84 SFC Cropland DNF 65 Table 15: Homogeneous subsets among land use types in tree species abundance Tukey HSD Subset for alpha = 0.05 land use type N 1 2 3 Pasture 5 1.2249 Cropland 6 1.2673 Woodland 4 1.762 SFC 7 1.8116 DNF 4 1.99 Plantation 3 P 1.99 2.2294 0.998 0.279 0.233 Table 16: Mean abundance of tree species in different land use types land use type Mean N Std. 135.86 7 71.17 7.33 6 4.37 257.5 4 99.79 Pasture 6.2 5 4.49 Plantation forest 751 3 508.69 Woodland 122.25 4 94.89 Total 165.45 29 264.43 SFC Cropland DNF 66 4.2.6.2. Climate variables and edaphic factors against species abundance Acorrelation was conducted to evaluate the relationship between plant species abundance, some climate and edaphic variables and elevation (Appendix 11). Of all the climate, edaphic and topographic variables, elevation, mean annual rainfall,, maximum temperature warmest month, mean annual temperature, annual moisture index, potential evapotranspiration, pH, cation exchange capacity and sand showed significant linear relationship with the species abundance. Most of these variables were excluded from multiple regression analysis due to collinearity effect among themselves. Only four variables (PET, pH, CEC and sand) with variance inflation factor (VIF) < 10 were taken into the model (Table 17). Combined together, the four variables significantly explained about 47% of the variation in species abundance (R2 = 0.47, R2adj = 0.38, SE = 0.30, F = 5.29, P = 0.003). The separate contribution of sand to the model was statistically significant (P = 0.01), while the remaing three variables have no significant contribution separately (Table 17). Table 17: Contribution of each predictor variable to the model and VIF value for each explanatory variable, (PET = Potential evapotanspiration, CEC = cation exchange capacity, BLD = bulk density), dependent variable: abundance Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model Constant PET PH CEC Sand B 4.73 0.00 -0.05 0.06 0.107 SE 1.97 0.00 0.06 0.05 0.04 Beta -0.46 -0.32 0.34 0.51 67 t 2.40 -1.17 -0.95 1.30 2.78 P 0.02 0.25 0.35 0.20 0.01 VIF 6.91 5.03 3.15 1.52 4.2.6.3. Basal area across land use types Relatively, larger basal area was calculated for plantation forests followed by DNF and SFC. The minimum basal area was recorded for pasture and cropland (Figure 11). Among the species occurring across the transect, Albizia gummifera was the top tree species in basal area contribution in the SFC (Table 18). Croton macrostachyus, Ficus mucuso and Cordia africana were second, third and fourth with the basal area contribution in the SFC (Table 18). Ficus sur, Apodytes dimidiata, Schefflera abyssinica, Syzygium guineense, Albizia gummifera and Celtis africana have contributed >1 basal area ha-1 in the DNFs (Table 19). One way ANOVA test showed significant mean difference in basal area among the land use types (Table 20). Multiple comparison tests showed significant differences between DNF and pasture, woodland, croplandand plantation forest; between SFC and pasture, woodland, cropland and plantation forest; between pasture and plantation forest; between woodland and plantation forest; between cropland and plantation forest. Significant statistical difference was not observed between DNF and SFC, between pasture and woodland, pasture and cropland and between woodland and cropland. 68 Figure 11: Tree species basal area in each land use type across the transect in the Jimma Highlands (PF = Plantation Forest, DNF = Degraded natural forest, SFC = Semi-forest coffee, WLD = Woodland, CLD = Cropland, PR = Pasture) 69 Table 18: Basal area contribution of tree species in SFC Species BA (Total) BA ha-1 %BA Albizia gummifera 25.19 3.60 20.27 Croton macrostachyus 19.45 2.78 15.65 Ficus mucuso 15.98 2.28 12.85 Cordia africana 11.59 1.66 9.32 Dracaena steudneri 8.17 1.17 6.57 Acacia abyssinica 7.47 1.07 6.01 Millettia ferruginea 5.19 0.74 4.18 Ficus sur 4.35 0.62 3.50 Ficus vasta 4.28 0.61 3.44 Ehretia cymosa 3.02 0.43 2.43 Sapium ellipticum 2.72 0.39 2.19 Ficus thonningii 2.64 0.38 2.13 Celtis africana 2.61 0.37 2.10 Diospyros abyssinica 2.05 0.29 1.65 70 Table 19: Basal area contribution of tree species in DNF DNF BA (Total) BA ha-1 % BA Ficus sur 19.19 4.80 23.42 Apodytes dimidiata 12.02 3.01 14.67 Schefflera abyssinica 8.89 2.22 10.85 Syzygium guineense 7.72 1.93 9.42 Albizia gummifera 5.87 1.47 7.16 Celtis africana 4.55 1.14 5.56 Macaranga capensis 3.57 0.89 4.36 Olea welwitschii 2.33 0.58 2.84 Chionanthus mildbraedi 2.26 0.57 2.76 Millettia ferruginea 2.24 0.56 2.74 Table 20: The difference of land use types in basal area SS df MS F P Between Groups 6067.48 5 1213.50 29.81 0.00 Within Groups 936.30 23 40.71 Total 7003.77 28 4.2.7. Vertical stratification in SFC and DNF Following the IUFRO classification scheme, vertical structure of trees was classified in the SFC and DNF into three layers. Height of the tallest tree was used to decide on the cut points for each layer. In the SFC, Albizia gummifera was the tallest tree 71 (height = 40 m), while the tallest tree in the DNF was Apodytes dimidiata (height = 35 m). The vertical stratification for the SFC and DNF was addressed one after the other. Based on the height of Albizia gummifera, the SFC was classified into lower, middle and upper storeys. The abundance per hectare of tree species increased from the lower to the middle and decreased from the middle to the upper storey (Figure 12) as listed in Table 21. The six most abundant tree species are indicated in Figure 13. Some tree species such as Albizia gummifera, Croton macrostachyus and Celtis africana have representative trees in all the three storeys. Figure 12: Tree species richness and abundance in the vertical stratification of canopy trees in SFC (lower < 13.33m, middle = 13.33–26.67m, upper > 26.67m) 72 Figure 13: Abundance of six major canopy trees in the vertical stratification of canopy trees in SFC (lower = <13.33m, middle = 13.33–26.67m, upper = >26.67m) The emergent tree species in the DNF was Apodytes dimidiata. The middle storey was relatively with more number of species compared to the lower and upper storeys (Figure 14). Tree species are most abundant in the middle storey compared to the lower and upper storeys (Figure 14) and are listed in Table 23. The six most abundant tree species in the DNF are indicated in (Figure 15). Some tree species such as Albizia gummifera, Apodytes dimidiata, Croton macrostachyus, Millettia ferruginea, Prunus africana, Schefflera abyssinica and Syzygium guineense were represented in all the three storeys. 73 Figure 14: Tree species abundance and richness in the lower, middle and upper storeys of the canopy trees in DNFs (lower <11.67m, middle = 11.67–23.33m, upper = >23.33m) Figure 15: Abundance of six most important canopy trees in the vertical stratification of DNF (lower <11.67m, middle = 11.67–23.33m, upper = >23.33m) 74 Table 21: Tree species abundance per hectare in SFC Abundance Species name (in SFC) Lower Middle Upper Sum Croton macrostachyus 33 149 9 191 27.29 Albizia gummifera 43 49 16 108 15.43 Ehretia cymosa 69 35 0 104 14.86 Cordia africana 38 63 0 101 14.43 Millettia ferruginea 43 35 0 78 11.14 Acacia abyssinica 26 30 0 56 8 Celtis africana 6 23 1 30 4.29 Vepris dainellii 25 5 0 30 4.29 Dracaena steudneri 7 19 0 26 3.71 Ficus mucuso 0 22 0 22 3.14 Clausena anisata 14 0 0 14 2 Diospyros abyssinica 4 10 0 14 2 Vernonia amygdalina 11 1 0 12 1.71 Bersama abyssinica 10 1 0 11 1.57 Ficus sur 1 10 0 11 1.57 Allophylus abyssinicus 1 9 0 10 1.43 Ficus thonningii 2 7 0 9 1.29 Vernonia auriculifera 8 0 0 8 1.14 Chionanthus mildbraedii 7 0 0 7 1 Maesa lanceolata 7 0 0 7 1 Sapium ellipticum 1 6 0 7 1 Vangueria apiculata 7 0 0 7 1 Prunus africana 0 5 0 5 0.71 Trichilia dregeana 1 4 0 5 0.71 Ficus vasta 0 4 0 4 0.57 Schefflera abyssinica 1 3 0 4 0.57 0 4 0 4 0.57 Trilepisium madagascariense 75 ha-1 Abundance Species name (in SFC) Lower Middle Upper Sum Ekebergia capensis 3 0 0 3 0.43 Grewia ferruginea 3 0 0 3 0.43 Rothmania urcelliformis 1 2 0 3 0.43 Bridelia micrantha 1 1 0 2 0.29 Galiniera saxifraga 2 0 0 2 0.29 Polyscias fulva 1 1 0 2 0.29 Syzygium guineense 0 2 0 2 0.29 Apodytes dimidiata 0 1 0 1 0.14 Flacourtia indica 1 0 0 1 0.14 Maytenus arbutifolia 1 0 0 1 0.14 Phoenix reclinata 1 0 0 1 0.14 Pittosporum viridiflorum 1 0 0 1 0.14 Podocarpus falcatus 1 0 0 1 0.14 Schrebera alata 1 0 0 1 0.14 Terminalia schimperiana 1 0 0 1 0.14 76 ha-1 Table 22: Tree species abundance per hectare in DNF Species Lower Middle Upper Sum Abundanceha-1 Albizia gummifera 2 11 11 24 6 Allophylus abyssinicus 11 26 0 37 9.25 Apodytes dimidiata 30 82 23 135 33.75 Bersama abyssinica 21 16 0 37 9.25 Brucea antidysenterica 1 0 0 1 0.25 Canthium oligocarpum 5 5 0 10 2.5 Celtis africana 0 11 18 29 7.25 Chionanthus mildbraedi 10 91 0 101 25.25 Cordia africana 0 20 0 20 5 Croton macrostachyus 3 23 5 31 7.75 Ekebergia capensis 0 0 1 1 0.25 Ficus sur 0 26 27 53 13.25 Ficus sycamoras 0 2 0 2 0.5 Galiniera saxifraga 113 15 0 128 32 Macaranga capensis 2 28 0 30 7.5 Maytenus arbutifolia 6 0 0 6 1.5 Millettia ferruginea 1 92 9 102 25.5 Nuxia congesta 3 1 0 4 1 Olea welwitschii 0 0 2 2 0.5 Oxyanthus speciosus 2 0 0 2 0.5 Phoenix reclinata 5 5 0 10 2.5 Podocarpus falcatus 0 7 0 7 1.75 Polyscias fulva 1 1 0 2 0.5 Prunus africana 2 3 3 8 2 Psychotria orophila 4 0 0 4 1 Rothmania urcelliformis 0 5 0 5 1.25 Schefflera abyssinica 3 16 5 24 6 Syzygium guineense 21 72 19 112 28 Teclea nobilis 18 16 0 34 8.5 77 Species Lower Middle Upper Sum Abundanceha-1 Trichilia dregeana 0 2 2 4 1 Vangueria apiculata 0 5 0 5 1.25 Vepris dainellii 40 20 0 60 15 4.2.7.1. Vertical stratification and species diversity in SFC Diversity, abundance, dominance and evenness of species varied along the vertical stratification of SFC. The individual trees that remain in the lower, those reaching and remaining in the middle and those reaching the upper storey are composed of different number of species (Table 23). The dominance increased from lower to upper storey (Table 23). The Shannon diversity index also shows variation in species diversity in the three storeys showing declines from the lower, via the middle to the upper storey (Table 23). The species diversities in the three storeys were compared using bootstrapping (one of the two randomization procedures). The diversity profile test confirmed that the three storeys showed significant difference in species diversity (Figure 16). The bootstrapping test showed significant difference in species diversity index between lower and middle, lower and upper and middle and upper storeys (Table 23). 78 Table 23: Species abundance, richness and diversity in SFC Lower storey Middle storey Upper storey Species 36 27 3 Abundance 383 501 26 Dominance 0.09 0.13 0.5 Shannon_H 2.77 2.48 0.79 Evenness_eH/S 0.44 0.44 0.74 Table 24: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness comparison between middle and upper storey; lower and middle storey; lower and upper storey Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S middle 27 501 0.13 2.48 0.44 upper 3 26 0.5 0.79 0.74 Boot p 0 0 0 0 0.5 Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S lower 36 383 0.09 2.77 0.44 middle 27 501 0.13 2.48 0.44 Boot p 0 0 0 0 0.97 Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S lower 36 383 0.09 2.77 0.44 upper 3 26 0.5 0.79 0.74 Boot p 0 0 0 0 0.7 79 Figure 16: Diversity profile test in the lower, middle and upper storeys of the canopy trees in the SFC 4.2.7.2. Vertical stratification and species diversity in DNFs Like in the SFC, diversity, abundance, dominance and evenness of species varied from the lower to the upper storey in the DNF. The three storeys are different in the number of canopy trees in the lower, middle and upper storeys (Table 25). The middle storey is the most diverse storey compared to the lower and upper storeys (Table 25), while the dominance was lower in the middle than in the upper and lower storeys (Table 26). Species evenness increased from the lower to the upper storeys. The species diversities in the three storeys of the DNF were compared using bootstrapping. The diversity profile confirmed that there was significant difference in species diversity between the lower and the middle; the middle and the upper storeys and hence were comparable, while the lower and the upper storeys did not show any significant difference in diversity and hence were not comparable (Figure 17). The bootstrapping test showed significant difference in species diversity index between 80 lower and middle; the middle and upperstoreys, but there was no significant difference between the lower and the upper storeys (Table 26). Species richness showed significant difference between the lower and the upper; the middle and the upper, but not between the lower and the middlestoreys (Table 26). The abundance showed significant variation throughout the three storeys, while the dominance showed significant difference between the lower and the middle; the middle and the upperstoreys (Table 26). Table 25: Species richness, abundance, dominance, diversity and evenness in DNF (lower = <13.67 m, middle = 13.67–26.67 m, upper = >26.67 m) Lower Middle Upper Species 22 26 12 Abundance 304 601 125 Dominance 0.18 0.09 0.14 Shannon (H) 2.23 2.69 2.13 Evenness_eH/S 0.42 0.57 0.7 81 Table 26: Comparison of species diversity, richness, abundance, dominance and evenness between lower and middle; lower and upper; lower and middle storeys Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S Lower 22 304 0.18 2.23 0.42 Middle 26 601 0.09 2.69 0.57 Boot p 0.28 0 0 0 0.01 Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S Lower 22 304 0.18 2.23 0.42 Upper 12 125 0.14 2.13 0.7 Boot p 0 0 0.07 0.49 0 Layer Species Abundance Dominance Shannon (H) Evenness eH/S Middle 26 601 0.09 2.69 0.57 Upper 12 125 0.14 2.13 0.7 Boot p 0 0 0 0 0.18 Figure 17: Diversity profile of canopy trees in the lower, middle and upper storeys in the DNF 82 4.3. Carbon storage Carbon storage in DNF, SFC, plantation forest, pasture, woodland and cropland (Figure 18) of Jimma Highlands has been computed from DBH and height data of the woody species with DBH 10 cm. The above ground live carbon storage in these AGC (ton) storage in six land use types land use types is presented below. Figure 18: Boxplot for AGC storage in different land use types in Jimma transect (1 = plantation forest, 2 = DNF, 3 = semi-managed coffee forests, 4 = woodland, 5 = pasture, 6 = cropland) 4.3.1. Carbon storage in SFC The traditional coffee management system in Ethiopia played an important role in carbon storage. Most of the SFC are characterized by very tall trees with a large 83 diameter trunk. These trees were primarily maintained for shade provision for coffee shrubs beneath, but now they are also important source of ecosystem services such as climate regulation, soil and water conservation, pollination services and carbon storage. The tree species in the SFC (Appendix 12) are important sink of carbon. The tree species belonging to 38 genera and 26 families in the SFC stored about 62 t C ha-1. The most importnt tree species in carbon stoarge in SFC of the transect are Albizia gummifera (ca. 15 t C ha-1), Croton macrostachyus (ca. 10 t C ha-1), Ficus mucuso (ca. 7 t C ha-1), Acacia abyssinica (4 t C ha-1), Dracaena steudneri (ca. 4 t C ha-1), Cordia africana (4 t C ha-1) and Millettia ferruginea (ca.3 t C ha-1)(Appendix 12). The five most important plant families in carbon storage in SFC of the study area were Fabaceae (ca. 22 t C ha-1), Moraceae (ca. 12 t C ha-1), Euphorbiaceae (ca. 11 t C ha-1), Boraginaceae (ca.5 t C ha-1) and Dracaenaceae (ca. 4 t C ha-1). The five families with least contribution to the carbon storage were Tiliaceae (0.002 t C ha-1), Pittosporaceae (0.002 t C ha-1), Arecaceae (0.015 t C ha-1), Combretaceae (0.0l6 t C ha-1) and Podocarpaceae (0.019 t C ha-1) (Appendix 12). 4.3.2. Carbon storage in DNFs The DNF in the study transect was found to be a sink for about 82 t C ha-1 which is distributed among 32 species of trees belonging to 31 genera and 20 families (Appendix 13). The 10 top tree species in carbon storage are Ficus sur, Apodytes dimidiata, Syzygium guineense, Celtis africana, Albizia gummifera, Schefflera 84 abyssinica, Olea welwitschii, Millettia ferruginea, Prunus africana and Macaranga capensis. Five tree species that contributed least to carbon storage are Brucea antidysenterica, Oxyanthus speciosus, Psychotria orophila, Vangueria apiculata and Maytenus arbutifolia (Appendix 13). Ten most important plant families in AGC storage are Moraceae, Icacinaceae, Fabaceae, Myrtaceae, Ulmaceae, Araliaceae, Oleaceae, Euphorbiaceae, and Rosaceae Melianthaceae (Appendix 13). Simaroubaceae, Celastraceae and Arecaceae are the families with least AGC storage in the DNF. 4.3.3. Carbon storage in woodland The tree species with DBH 10 cm in the woodlands across the transect were found to be a sink for about 13 t C ha-1. This amount of carbon was distributed among 26 plant species which belong to 22 genera and 13 families (Appendix 14). The top five plant species in woodland with high carbon storage are Acacia abyssinica, Maesa lanceolata, Ficus sycomoras, Cordia africana and Entada abyssinica. Five families with higher carbon storage in the woodland are Fabaceae, Moraceae, Myrsinaceae, Combretaceae and Boraginaceae. Myrtaceae and Rubiaceae are the two families in the woodland with the least AGC storage in the woodland. 4.3.4. Carbon storage in pasture The scattered trees in pasture across the transect were found to be a sink for about 3 t C ha-1. This was distributed among 13 woody species with DBH 10 cm belonging to 13 genera and 10 families. Ficus vasta was the most important tree species in 85 AGC storage (Appendix 15). Moraceae is the most important plant family in carbon stoarge (Appendix 15). 4.3.5. Carbon storage in cropland Cropland is the least of all land use types in carbon storage (Appendix 16). The two most important tree species in cropland are Cordia africana and Prunus africana. Boraginaceae is the most important family in carbon storage (Appendix 16). 4.3.6. Carbon storage in plantation forests Plantation forest in our study transect was found to be a sink for about 82 t C ha-1. More carbon was stored in this land use type due to management inputs and more density of trees in it than in any land use type in the transect. According to the information obtained from the local community the plantation forests are in the range of 30-40 yeas and no commercial harvesting have been reported so far. 4.3.7. Above ground live carbon storage across the transect The highest AGC storage was recorded from plantation forests and the minimum was recorded from cropland (Table 27). The boxplot analysis showed the highest accumulation of carbon in the biomass of forests (plantation, DNF, SFC) the least carbon storage in the biomass of trees in the cropland and pasture (Figure 18). The land use types showed significant mean differences in carbon storage at 95% confidence level (Table 28). Multiple comparisons (Table 29) showed significant 86 mean difference in carbon storage between SFC and cropland, pasture and woodland. Significant difference was also observed between cropland and DNF, cropland and plantation forest. The variation between DNF and pasture, DNF and woodland, pasture and plantation, pasture and woodland and plantation and woodland were statistically significant (Table 29). Significant statistical difference has not been observed between SFC and DNF, SFC and plantation forest, between cropland and pasture, cropland and woodland, between DNF and plantation forest. The homogeneity test also showed three groups of land use types in carbon storage (Table 29). Based on the similarity in AGC storage, the land use types were categorised under three sub-groups (Table 30). Table 27: Average AGC in six land use types across the transect Land use Mean N Std. SFC 61.52 7.00 24.98 Cropland 2.03 6.00 0.82 DNF 82.03 4.00 32.08 Pastureland 2.51 5.00 2.67 Plantation forest 152.25 3.00 56.81 Woodland 12.87 4.00 7.60 Total 44.54 29.00 53.33 87 Table 28: Analysis of variance of different land use types in AGC storage in the study transect SS df MS F P Between Land uses 2.747 5 0.549 42.23 0.00 Within land uses 0.295 23 0.013 Total 3.041 28 88 Table 29: Multiple comparison test for the differences of land use types in AGC in the Jimma Highlands (MD = mean difference, LB = lower bound, UB =bound) 95% CI (I) landuse (J) landuse MD SE P SFC Cropland 0.58 0.06 DNF -0.07 Pasture Crop DNF Pasture Plantation LB UB 0.00 0.38 0.77 0.07 0.94 -0.29 0.15 0.61 0.07 0.00 0.40 0.81 Plantation -0.21 0.08 0.13 -0.45 0.04 Woodland 0.31 0.07 0.00 0.09 0.53 DNF -0.64 0.07 0.00 -0.87 -0.41 Pasture 0.03 0.07 1.00 -0.18 0.25 Plantation -0.78 0.08 0.00 -1.03 -0.53 Woodland -0.27 0.07 0.02 -0.49 -0.04 Pasture 0.67 0.08 0.00 0.44 0.91 Plantation -0.14 0.09 0.60 -0.41 0.13 Woodland 0.37 0.08 0.00 0.13 0.62 Plantation -0.81 0.08 0.00 -1.07 -0.56 Woodland -0.30 0.08 0.01 -0.54 -0.07 Woodland 0.51 0.09 0.00 0.25 0.78 89 Table 30: Homogeneity test of land use types in AGC across the study transect in the Jimma Highlands Subset for alpha = 0.05 land use N 1 2 3 Pasture 5 1.049 Cropland 6 1.0824 Woodland 4 SFC 7 1.6581 DNF 4 1.7235 Plantation 3 1.8632 1.3497 P 0.998 1 0.112 4.3.8. Carbon storage and species richness and abundance The correletion coefficient between AGC storage and plant species richness in different growth forms was analysed (Table 31). Liana was excluded due to the assuption of normal distribution. AGC storage satisfied the assumption of normal distribution after 4th-root transformation. The linear relationship between herbaceous species and carbon storage was not significant and shrub species and AGC storage was also not significant. The analysis showed significant linear relationship between carbon storage and tree species richness and abundance. Multiple linear regresion model was conducted (Table 32–34) using the tree species richness and abunadnce which showed significant relationships with the carbon 90 storage in the linear coreletion analysis. Both variables combined have explained about 82% of the variation in AGC storage (Table 32). The contribution of tree species abundance to the model was significant, while that of tree species richness was not (Table 34). Table 31: Linear relationships between AGC and tree, herb and shrub richness and tree species abundance Pearson Trees Herb Shrub Abundance Correlation GC (4th root) R 0.601 -0.018 0.288 0.904 P 0.001 0.928 0.129 0 N 29 29 29 29 Table 32: Variation in AGC explained by tree species richness and abundance combined Model 1 R R2 R2adj SE 0.908 0.824 0.81 0.14366 Predictors: Constant, abundance, trees 91 Table 33: Multiple regression analysis for prediction of AGC using abundance and tree species richness Model 1 SS df MS F P Regression 2.505 2 1.252 60.679 0.00 Residual 0.537 26 0.021 Total 3.041 28 Predictors: Constant, abundance (4th-root), trees; Dependent variable: AGC (4th-root) Table 34: Contribution of tree species richness and abundance to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef B SE Beta Constant 0.142 0.124 trees 0.004 0.004 0.736 0.089 Model t P 1.144 0.26 0.094 0.912 0.37 0.848 8.258 0.00 Abundance_4throot Dependent variable: AGC (4th-root) 4.3.9. Climate variables and AGC storage The linear relationships between AGC storage in woody species biomass and most climate variables were statistically significant, while the relationships with some variables were not significant. (Appendix 17). The variables showing significant relationships with AGC were used as predictive variables in multiple regression 92 analysis although most of them were excluded due to collinearity effect among themselves. They show very high variance inflation factor (VIF) when put together in the model showing strong linear relationships among themselves. All pairs of variables having significant correlation with the AGC showed higher VIF (>10) and finally a single variable with relatively higher Pearson correlation value was taken as a predictive variable in linear regression analysis of AGC. The climate variable with relatively higher linear relationship was evapotranspiration. This variable was taken into the model to predict the AGC. Potential evapotranspiration explained 21% (R2 = 0.21, SE = 0.298, F = 7.159, P = 0.013) of the variation in AGC along the study transect. The ANOVA test for the linear regression showed significant variation (Table 35). Table 35: Linear regression prediction of AGC by potential evapotranspiration (pet = potential evapotranspiration Model SS df MS F P Regression 0.637 1 0.637 7.159 0.013 Residual 2.404 27 0.089 Total 3.041 28 Predictors: Constant, pet; Dependent variable: AGC (4th-root) 4.3.10. Edaphic factors and AGC storage Pearson correlation depicted significant relationships between AGC and soil cation exchange capacity, AGC and sand, and AGC and soil pH (Table 36). Soil cation 93 exchange capacity and sand showed a positive relationship with AGC, while pH showed a negative relationship. AGC decreased with increasing pH and vice versa. Among the soil textures, silt and clay did not show significant linear relationships with AGC. The three edaphic factors (ECE, sand and pH), which showed significant linear relationships with AGC were selected for carbon prediction in multiple regression analysis (Tables 37 and 38). Before conducting the multiple regression analysis, the three variables were tested for collinearity and all of them showed VIF< 5 (Table 38) and were taken into the model. The three variables (CEC, sand and pH) combined, have significantly explained about 60% (R2 = 0.604, R2adj = 0.556, SE = 0.220, F = 12.685, P = 0.00) of the variation in AGC. The unstandardized regression coefficient tells us that for every unit increase of CEC, the AGC storage increases by 0.089 (controlling the effect of pH and sand). For every unit increase of pH (controlling the effect of sand and CEC), the AGC decreases by 0.145 and the same is true for sand in which the AGC increases by 0.075 for a unit increase of sand (controlling the effect of pH and CEC). The contribution of each of the three variables to the model was statistically significant (Table 38). 94 Table 36: Linear relationships between AGC and soil factors (CEC = cation exchange capacity, BD = bulk density) Silt CEC BD Sand Clay pH -0.08 -0.39 -0.15 0.47 -0.35 -0.64 AGC(4th_ P 0.66 0.04 0.43 0.01 0.06 0.00 Root 29 29 29 29 29 29 Cor N Table 37: Prediction of AGC by using soil pH, sand and soil cation exchange capacity Model SS df MS F P 1.835 3 0.612 12.685 0.00 1 Residual 1.206 25 0.048 Total 3.041 28 Regression Predictors: Constant, pH, Sand, CEC; Dependent variable: AGC (4th-root) Table 38: Contribution of each variable (CEC, sand and pH) to the model Model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef B Beta SE 4.67 1.47 Constant CEC 0.09 0.04 0.57 Sand 0.08 0.03 0.41 pH -0.15 0.03 -0.995 th Dependent variable: AGC (4 -root) 95 t P 3.18 0.004 2.51 3.05 -4.54 0.019 0.005 0.000 VIF 3.23 1.15 3.03 4.4. Leaf Area Index (LAI) A B Figure 19: Boxplot analysis of LAI (A = True LAI_ V6, B = True LAI V5, 1 = DNF, 2 = SFC, 3 = plantation forest, 4 = woodland, 5= pasture, 6 = cropland) Based on the inclusion and exclusion of vegetation clumping and different CANEYE versions, four LAI outputs were produced. LAI_true accounts for vegetation clumping, while LAI_effective does not. The result between LAI_true and LAI_effective are different due to the clumping effect of vegetation. The data were checked for normality prior to testing for significance variation between the outputs from the two different versions of Can-Eye. The normality test showed that LAI_effective did not satisfy the assumption of normal distribution (LAI_eff_v6 (n = 29, W = 0.88, P = 0.004) LAI_eff_v5 (n = 29, W = 0.87, P = 0.002), while the square root transformed LAI_true from both versions of CAN-EYE fulfill the assumption of normality (LAI_true_v6 (n = 29, W = 0.94, P = 0.07), LAI_true_v5 (n = 29, W = 0.94, P = 0.13)). Therefore, LAI_eff was excluded from this analysis and the parametric tests were conducted only for LAI_true from both versions of CAN-EYE. 96 In both LAI_true_v6 and v5, mean of LAI_true_v6 was higher than mean of LAI_true_v5 (Table 40). Boxplot test for both LAI_true_v6 (Figure 19A) and LAI_true_v5 (Figure 19B) showed that the LAI decreases in different land use types along the following orders: DNF, SFC, plantation forest, woodland, cropland and pasture. The paired sample t-test showed significant statistical difference between LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 under two versions of Cay-Eye (Tables 39 and 40). Table 39: Mean True leaf area index (under CAN-EYE version 6 and 5) in six land use types along the study transect CAN-EYE_v6 CAN-EYE_v5 Land use Mean N Std. Mean N Std. SFC 1.47 7 0.43 1.39 7 0.53 Cropland 0.23 6 0.05 0.19 6 0.06 DNF 2.29 4 0.69 2.15 4 0.79 Pasture 0.08 5 0.06 0.08 5 0.07 Plantation 1.11 3 0.43 1.02 3 0.41 Woodland 0.95 4 0.59 0.88 4 0.61 Table 40: Mean±SE of true LAI under both v_6 and v_5 of CAN-EYE Mean±SE LAI_true_v6 0.98±0.16 N 29 Pair 1 LAI_true_v5 0.91±0.15 97 29 Table 41: Paired T-test showing significant statistical differences between True_LAI under version 6 and Version_5 of CAN-EYE 95% CI Mean SEM Lower Upper t df P 0.07 0.02 0.025 0.108 3.32 28 0.003 LAI_true_v6 LAI_true_v5 4.4.1. LAI and Land Use Categories Land use categories were found very important determinants of LAI_true from both versions of CAN-EYE. Analysis of variance showed significant mean difference in LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 within all land use types. There was significant mean difference among land use types in LAI_true_v5 and LAI_true_v6 (Table 42). Tukey’s multiple comparison tests (Table 43) showed significant mean difference in LAI_true_v5 between SFC and cropland, SFC and pasture; Cropland and DNF, cropland and planation forest, cropland and woodland; between DNF and pasture, DNF and woodland; between pasture and plantation forests, and pasture and woodland. Significant statistical difference was not seen between SFC and DNF; SFC and planation forest, SFC and woodland; between cropland and pasture; between DNF and plantation forest and, and between planation forest and woodland. There were also significant statistical differences (Table 44) in LAI_true_v6 between SFC and cropland, SFC and pasture; between cropland and DNF, cropland and plantation forest, cropland and woodland; between DNF and pasture, DNF and 98 woodland; between pasture and planation forest, and pasture and woodland. The difference between SFC and DNF, SFC and plantation, SFC and woodland, DNF and planation forest, and planation forest and woodland were not significant. Table 42: Analysis of variance showing significant differences in LAI_true_v6 and v5 and among land use types in the transect SS df MS F P 5.255 5 1.051 27.919 0.00 0.866 23 0.038 6.121 28 5.144 5 1.029 21.997 0.00 1.076 23 0.047 6.219 28 Between Groups LAI_true_v6_sqrt Within Groups Total Between Groups LAI_true_v5_sqrt Within Groups Total 99 Table 43: Multiple comparisons showing differences in LAI_true_v6 between each land use types (SFC, DNF, MD = mean difference, LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound) Dependent Variable LAI_true_v5 Land use MD 95% CI I J I&J SE SFC Crop 0.727 0.120 0.000 0.354 1.100 DNF -0.286 0.136 0.316 -0.707 0.134 Pasture 0.935 0.127 0.000 0.542 1.328 Plantation 0.170 0.149 0.859 -0.293 0.633 Woodland 0.278 0.136 0.345 -0.142 0.699 DNF -1.013 0.140 0.000 -1.446 -0.580 Pasture 0.208 0.131 0.614 -0.198 0.614 Plantation -0.557 0.153 0.015 -1.031 -0.082 Woodland -0.449 0.140 0.039 -0.882 -0.015 Pasture 1.221 0.145 0.000 0.771 1.671 Plantation 0.457 0.165 0.100 -0.056 0.969 Woodland 0.565 0.153 0.013 0.090 1.039 Plantation -0.765 0.158 0.001 -1.255 -0.275 Woodland -0.657 0.145 0.002 -1.107 -0.206 0.165 0.985 -0.405 0.621 Crop DNF Pasture Plantation Woodland 0.108 100 P LB UB Table 44: Multiple comparisons showing differences in LAI_true_v6 between each land use types (SFC, DNF, LB = lower bound, UB = upper bound, MD = mean difference) Dependent variable: LAI_true_v6 Land use MD 95% CI I J I&J SE P LB UB SFC Crop 0.724 0.108 0.000 0.389 1.059 DNF -0.296 0.122 0.185 -0.674 0.081 Pasture 0.946 0.114 0.000 0.594 1.299 Plantation 0.164 0.134 0.821 -0.252 0.579 Woodland 0.280 0.122 0.232 -0.097 0.658 DNF -1.020 0.125 0.000 -1.409 -0.632 Pasture 0.222 0.117 0.431 -0.142 0.587 Plantation -0.560 0.137 0.005 -0.986 -0.134 Woodland -0.444 0.125 0.019 -0.832 -0.055 Pasture 1.243 0.130 0.000 0.839 1.647 Plantation 0.460 0.148 0.050 0.001 0.920 Woodland 0.577 0.137 0.004 0.151 1.002 Plantation -0.782 0.142 0.000 -1.222 -0.343 Woodland -0.666 0.130 0.000 -1.070 -0.262 Woodland 0.116 0.148 0.967 -0.343 0.576 Crop DNF Pasture Plantation 101 4.4.2. LAI and plant basal area, abundance and richness A Pearson correlation test (Table 45) showed significant linear relationships between LAI_true_v6 and tree species basal area (BA_log), total plant species richness, richness in shrub, tree species and woody species abundance (abund_4th_root). The test also showed significant linear relationships between LAI_true_v5 and tree BA_log, shrub, tree species, total plant richness and woody species abundance. Herbaceous species richness was not significantly related to both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5. Multiple regressions with the explanatory variables having significant linear relationships with both LAI_true_v6 and v5 (BA_log, richness of shrubs, trees, total richness and abundance_4th_root transformed) was conducted (Tables 45-49). The variables were tested for collinearity and all of them were with VIF < 10 (Table 47). The variables combined together have significantly explained about 82% (R2 = 0.824, R2adj = 0.786, SE = 0.22) and 81% (R2 = 0.811, R2adj = 0.77, SE = 0.23) of the variations in LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 respectively. Log transformed BA was the only variable with the highest contribution to the model of LAI_v6 and LAI_v5. 102 Table 45: Linear relationships between True leaf area indices, basal area, plant species richness and abundance (BA = basal area, abund_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) Pearson BA_log Herb LAI_v6 Cor. Shrubs Trees richness abund_4th 0.87 0.11 0.41 0.73 0.50 0.79 P 0.00 0.56 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 N 29 29 29 29 29 29 0.86 0.11 0.41 0.72 0.49 0.78 P 0.00 0.59 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 N 29 29 29 29 29 29 LAI_v5 Cor. Table 46: Analysis of variance for the multiple regression of LAI_v6 with explanatory variables Model SS Regression 5.044 df MS F P 5 1.009 21.553 0 0.047 1 Residual 1.077 23 Total 6.121 28 Predictors: Constant, abundance (4th-root), richness, BA (log), tree species richness Dependent variable: LAI_v6) 103 Table 47: Contribution of basal area, shrub richness, tree species richness, plant species richness along the entire study area and tree species abundance (BA_log = log transformed basal area, Abund_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef B Beta Model SE Constant 0.305 0.34 BA_log 0.404 0.13 Shrubs -0.046 Trees t P VIF 0.909 0.373 0.64 3.225 0.004 5.15 0.11 -0.088 -0.412 0.684 5.987 0.019 0.01 0.328 1.642 0.114 5.208 Richness 0.002 0.01 0.076 0.28 0.782 9.763 Abun_4th 0.045 0.25 0.036 0.177 0.861 5.478 Dependent variable: LAI_v6 Table 48: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_v5 by the explanatory variables –Tree species abundance, basal area, richness, shrub species richness and richness across the entire transect Model SS Regression 5.042 df MS F P 5 1.008 19.703 0.00 0.051 1 Residual 1.177 23 Total 6.219 28 Dependent variable: LAI_v5 104 Table 49: Contribution of basal area, shrub richness, tree species richness, plant species richness along the entire study area and tree species abundance (BA_log = log transformed basal area, Abun_4th = 4th root transformed tree species abundance) Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE Beta Constant 0.293 0.351 BA_log 0.416 0.131 Shrubs -0.031 Trees t p VIF 0.84 0.41 0.652 3.17 0 5.15 0.116 -0.059 -0.27 0.79 5.987 0.021 0.012 0.35 1.69 0.1 5.208 Richness 0.001 0.006 0.033 0.12 0.91 9.763 Abun_4th 0.007 0. 263 0.006 0.03 0.98 5.478 Dependent variable: LAI_v5 4.4.3. LAI, edaphic and topographic factors Topographic (elevation and slope) and edaphic factors (soil organic carbon (SOC), cation exchange capacity (CEC), soil texture (silt, sand, clay) and BD) were tested for linear relationships with LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 (Table 50). All topographic and some of the edaphic factors (SOC and BD) did not show significant linear relationships with both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5. The relationships between LAI_true_v6 and soil CEC, sand and clay was significant. LAI_true_v5 also showed significant linear relationships with CEC, sand and clay. The explanatory variables (CEC, sand, clay) which showed significant linear relationships with both LAI _true_v6 and v5 were tested for collinearity before 105 conducting multiple regressions. All of them were found to have VIF < 10 (Tables 52 and 54). Multiple regression analysis (Tables 51–54) showed combined effect of the three explanatory variables. Combined, the three variables explained about 45% (R2 = 0.45, R2adj = 0.39, SE = 0.37) of the variation in LAI _true_v6 and about 42% (R2 = 0.42, R2adj = 0.35, SE = 0.38) of the variation in LAI_true_v5. In LAI_true_v6, sand has significant contribution to the model (Table 53), while in LAI_true_v5 all the three variables did not show significant contribution to the model separately (Table 54). Table 50: Linear relationships between LAI_true indices and topographic factors (elevation and slope) and edaphic factors (SOC, CEC, silt, sand, clay and BD) LAI type LAI_true_v6 LAI_true_v5 Pearson Elev SOC CEC slope silt sand clay Cor. 0.36 -0.03 -0.41 0.64 -0.55 -0.35 P 0.06 0.87 0.03 N 29 29 29 Cor. 0.35 0.00 -0.41 P 0.06 1.00 0.03 N 29 29 29 106 -0.05 0.00 0.79 1.00 29 29 -0.03 0.02 0.88 0.92 29 29 BD 0.00 0.00 0.06 29 29 29 0.62 -0.54 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.07 29 29 29 Table 51: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v6 by the explanatory variables (clay, CEC and sand across the entire transect) Model SS df 1 Regression 2.758 3 Residual 3.362 25 Total 6.121 28 MS F P 0.919 6.835 .002 0.134 Preidctors: Constant, Clay, CEC, Sand; Dependent variable: LAI_true_v6 Table 52: Contribution of CEC, sand and clay to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE Beta Constant -2.474 4.173 CEC -0.047 0.037 Sand 0.141 Clay -0.006 Collinearity t P VIF -0.59 0.559 -0.21 -1.27 0.214 1.22 0.064 0.548 2.204 0.037 2.809 0.058 -0.03 -0.1 0.924 2.997 Dependent variable: LAI_v6 Table 53: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v5 by the explanatory variables- clay, CEC and sand across the transect Model 1 SS df MS Regression 2.613 3 0.871 Residual 3.606 25 0.144 Total 6.219 28 F P 6.04 0.003 Predictors: Constant, Clay, ECE, Sand; Dependent variable: LAI_v5 107 Table 54: Contribution of CEC, sand and clay to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE (Constant) -1.772 4.322 CEC -0.046 0.038 Sand 0.129 Clay -0.014 Beta Collinearity t P -0.41 0.685 -0.21 -1.22 0.234 1.22 0.066 0.494 1.936 0.064 2.809 0.06 -0.06 -0.23 0.82 VIF 2.997 Dependent variable: LAI_v5 4.4.4. LAI, enhanced vegetation index and normalized difference vegetation index Enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and normalized vegetation index (NDVI) respectively showed significant linear relationships with LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 (Table 55). Both NDVI and EVI were used as predictor variables in multiple regressions with LAI_v6 and LAI_v5 (Tables 56–59). NDVI and EVI combined together have explained about 61% (R2 = 0.611, R2adj = 0.581, RSE = 0.30275, F = 20.387, P = 0.00) of the variation in LAI_true_v6 and 60% (R2 = 0.599, R2adj = 0.568, RSE = 0.3097, F = 19. 416, P = 0.00) of the variation in LAI_true _v5. In both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5, NDVI has significant contribution to the model, while EVI was not singly (Tables 57 and 59). In both LAI_v6 and LAI_v5, the analysis of variance showed significant result (Tables 56 and 58). 108 Table 55: Linear relationships between LAI_true indices and NDVI and EVI LAI Type Bivariate NDVI EVI 0.77 0.69 P 0.00 0.00 N 29 29 0.75 0.69 P 0.00 0.00 N 29 29 LAI_true_v6_sqrt Pearson Correlation LAI_true_v5_sqrt Pearson Correlation Table 56: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v6 by the explanatory variables –EVI and NDVI Model SS 1 df MS F P Regression 3.737 2 1.869 20.387 0.00 Residual 2.383 26 0.092 Total 6.121 28 Predictors: Constant, EVI, NDVI; Dependent variable: LAI_v6 Table 57: Contribution of NDVI and EVI separately to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE Constant -0.229 0.421 NDVI 1.612 0.527 EVI 0 0 Beta t p -0.544 0.591 0.585 3.061 0.005 2.435 0.237 1.242 0.225 2.435 Dependent variable: LAI_true_v6 109 VIF Table 58: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of LAI_true_v5 by the explanatory variables- EVI and NDVI Model SS Regression df MS 3.725 2 1.863 1 Residual 2.494 26 0.096 Total 6.219 28 F P 19.416 0.00 Predictors: Constatnt, EVI, NDVI; Dependent variable: LAI_true_v5_sqrt Table 59: Contribution of NDVI and EVI to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef Model B SE Beta t P -0.82 0.418 VIF Constant -0.36 0.43 NDVI 1.502 0.54 0.54 2.788 0.01 2.435 EVI 0 0 0.277 1.431 0.164 2.435 Dependent variable: LAI_true_v5_sqrt 4.4.5. LAI and AGC storage Both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 showed strong linear relationship with AGC t ha-1(4th-root transformed) across the land use types in the study transect (Table 60). Due to the effect of collinearity the LAI_true_v5 was avoided from the regression analysis and conducted with LAI_true_v6. The linear regression analysis (Table 61) and Figure 20) showed that LAI_true_v6 explained about 75% (R2 = 0.754, R2adj = 110 0.745, RSE = 0.166, F = 82.87, P = 00) of the variation in AGC t ha-1 along the study transect. Table 60: Linear relationship between LAI_true indices and AGC Peason Correlation LAI_true_v6_sqrt LAI_true_v5_sqrt AGC t ha-1 (4th_Root) R 0.87 P 0 N 29 R 0.86 P 0 N 29 Table 61: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of AGC by the explanatory variable –LAI_true_v6 Model 1 SS df MS F P Regression 2.294 1 2.294 82.87 0 Residual 0.747 27 0.028 Total 3.041 28 Predictors: constant, LAI_true_v6_sqrt; Dependent variable: AGCt ha-1 111 Figure 20: Prediction of above ground live carbon storage from leaf area index 4.4.6. LAI and climate variables The linear correlation analysis (Appendix 18) showed significant linear relationships between LAI and most climate variables, while the relationships with some other climate variables were not statistically significant. LAI_true_v6 showed significant linear relationships with most climate variables, while the relationships with some other variables were not statistically significant. Almost half of the climate variables showed significant linear relationship with LAI_true_v5, while the relationships of LAI_true_v5 with the remaining half of the climate variables were not significant (Appendix 18). All the climate variables with a significant linear relationship with LAI from both versions of the CAN-EYE showed strong collinearity in the multiple regression analysis. The least collinearity value was calculated for mean annual temperature (VIF = ~11) and annual temperature range (VIF = ~11) and these two variables were used in multiple regression analysis to determine the amount of variation explained in LAI. The two variables combined have explained about 21% (R2 = 0.207, R2 adj = 112 0.146, F = 3.401, P = 0.049) of the variation with LAI. The analysis of variance also showed significant result (Table 62). The contribution of the two variables was not significant separately (Table 63). Table 62: Analysis of variance test for the prediction of AGC by the explanatory variables (bio1 = mean annual temperature and abio7 = nnual temperature range) Model 1 SS df MS F Regression 1.290 2 0.645 Residual 4.930 26 0.190 Total 6.219 28 P 3.401 0.049 Predictors: Constant, bio1, bio7; Dependent variable: LAI_v5 Table 63: Contribution of mean annual temperature and annual temperature range to the model Unstand_Coef Stand_Coef B SE Beta T p 0.059 VIF Model Constant 11.319 5.739 -0.636 1.972 1 bio7 -0.064 0.058 0.194 -1.107 0.278 10.837 bio1 0.011 0.033 0.337 10.837 Dependent variable: LAI_v5 113 0.738 4.4.7. LAI above and below coffee canopies LAI above and below the canopy of coffee shrubs/trees was taken from 29 sample plots of size 400 m2 in the SFC along the transect. The box plot (Figure 21) shows the distribution of LAI data which were taken under two different conditions (above the coffee canopy (ab) and under the coffee canopy (uc)) along the study transect. The distribution of the data was also analysed under two varying versions of CANEYE software. In both versions of CAN-EYE, and under both presence and absence of vegetation clumping the mean ± standard error of the LAI taken below the canopy of coffee is higher than the mean ± standard error of the LAI taken above the coffee canopy (Table 64). The mean of LAI_true (where the vegetation clumping was accounted for) is higher than the mean LAI_effective (where the vegetation clumping was not considered). Even the mean for LAI_true below the coffee canopy is higher than the LAI_true for above coffee canopy. Figure 21: Boxplot analysis showing more LAI value for the under coffee canopy than those taken above the coffee canopy 114 Table 64: Mean of LAI under and above the coffee canopy (uc = under coffee canopy, ab = above coffee canopy) Pairs Mean ± SE N LAI_eff_v6_uc vs LAI_eff_v6_ab 0.93±0.03; 0.26±0.02 29 LAI_eff_v5_uc vs LAI_eff_v5_ab 1.05±0.04; 0.29±0.02 29 LAI_true_v6_uc vs LAI_true_v6_ab 1.93±0.07; 0.51±0.04 29 LAI_true_v5_uc vs LAI_true_v5_ab 1.98±0.09; 0.53±0.05 29 4.4.8. Normality test Before testing for significance of the variation of LAI which was taken under the coffee canopy and above the coffee canopy, normality test was conducted, which confirmed that except for LAI_eff_v5 (above the coffee canopy) all the rest do not significantly deviate from the normal distribution (Table 65). Except for the two, Shapiro-Wilk normality test did not show significant difference of the data from normal distribution at P = 0.05 significant level. 4.4.9. Significance test Paired sample t-test was applied (Table 66) to evaluate whether the LAI taken above and under the coffee canopy could show significant statistical difference or not. The t-test showed that there was statistically significant difference between LAI_eff_v6_un and LAI_eff_v6_ab (t28 = 20.15, P = 0.00), LAI_true_v6_uc and 115 LAI_true_v6_ab (t28 = 18.68, P = 0.00) and LAI_true_v5_uc and LAI_true_v5_ab (t28 = 15.27, P = 0.00). Table 65: Shapiro-Wilk normality test for the LAI data taken above and below the coffee canopy LAI N Shapiro-Wilk W P LAI_eff_v6_uc 29 0.95 0.17 LAI_eff_v6_ab 29 0.97 0.43 LAI_true_v6_uc 29 0.98 0.80 LAI_eff_v5_uc 29 0.96 0.28 LAI_true_v5_uc 29 0.97 0.64 LAI_true_v6_ab 29 0.96 0.31 LAI_eff_v5_ab 29 0.93 0.04 LAI_true_v5_ab 29 0.93 0.07 Table 66: Paired sample t-test for the true and eff_LAI taken above and below the coffee canopy 95% CI LAI under and above coffee canopies Mean ± SE t df P lower upper LAI_eff_v6_uc vs LAI_eff_v6_ab 0.67±0.03 0.6 0.73 20.2 28 0 LAI_eff_uc vsLAI_eff_ab 0.76±0.04 0.66 0.85 16.8 28 0 LAI_true_v6_uc vs LAI_true_v6_ab 1.41±0.08 1.26 1.57 18.7 28 0 LAI_true_v5_uc vs LAI_true_v5_ab 1.45±0.01 1.26 1.65 15.3 28 0 116 4.5. Habitat Suitability Model The present and future distribution of Acacia abyssinica, Cordia africana, Millettia ferruginea, Phytolacca dodecandra and Schefflera abyssinica was modelled using Maximum Entropy modelling aross Ethiopia. The model performance under both present and future climate change scenarios is given in Table 67 and habitat suitability map for each of them is given in Appendix 19. The variable contribution and jackknife test for each of them is addressed below. 4.5.1. Acacia abyssinica The model performance was tested and the test showed good performance for both training (AUC = 0.89) and test data (AUC = 0.86) sets. The model performance was also evaluated under the projected climate and found that it performed well for both training (AUC = 0.88) and test data (AUC = 0.82) sets (Table 67). Table 67: Model performance under baseline (b) and projected (p) climate change scenarios for five plant species in Ethiopia Training Test Training Test AUCb AUCb AUCp AUCp Acacia abyssinica 0.89 0.86 0.88 0.82 Cordia africana 0.87 0.84 0.87 0.83 Millettia ferruginea 0.91 0.88 0.91 0.89 Phytolacca dodecandra 0.93 0.91 0.92 0.90 Schefflera abyssinica 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.87 Species 117 4.5.1.1. Analysis of variable importance Mean annual temperature has contributed more to the model compared to all the remaining variables under both the baseline climate change scenario (Table 68) and projected climate (Table 69). Rainfall seasonality has least contribution to the model under the baseline climate change scenario, while temperature seasonality contributed the least under the projected climate. The jackknife test showed that the mean annual temperature was with the highest gain when used in isolation and hence has the most useful information by itself. It is also the variable that has the information which is not present in the remaining four variables. This is true under both present (Appendix 20A1, A3) and future (Appendix 20A2, A4) climate change scenarios. Most of the areas which are suitable for the distribution of A.abyssinica under the current climate (Appendix 19A) will turn unsuitable under the projected climate (Appendix 19B). Table 68: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Acacia abyssinica under the baseline climate scenario Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual Temperature 80.5 77 Isothermality 8.6 11.8 Mean annual rainfall 5.4 4.3 Temperature seasonality 3.9 4.9 Rainfall seasonality 1.6 2.1 118 Table 69: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Acacia abyssinica under the projected climate Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 84 73.5 Isothermality 5.2 6.8 Mean annual rainfall 4 5.5 Rainfall seasonality 3.5 4.4 Temperature seasonality 3.3 9.7 4.5.2. Cordia africana The present and future distribution of C. africana across Ethiopia was modelled using Maximum Entropy modelling algorithm. Five climate variables were selected to avoid the effect of collinearity. The model showed good performance under both the current scenarios and future climate projections. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (under the baseline scenario) showed better performance of the model. The area under curve for training data (under the baseline scenario) (AUC = 0.87), for test data (AUC = 0.84) which is higher than random distribution (AUC = 0.5) (Table 67). The model also showed good performance under the future climate change projections in which the ROC attained 0.87 for training data 0.83 for test data (Table 67). Under the current climate change scenario, the areas of southwest highlands of Ethiopia (Jimma, Kaffa, Bench-Maji, Illubabbor, Shaka); central Oromia (east Shewa 119 and western part of Arsi) and southern Oromia (northern Borana, western and central parts of Bale), Eastern Ethiopia (eastern Hararghie Highlands) are climatically the most suitable areas for the distribution of C. africana (Appendix 19B1).The habitat suitability decreases towards the lowlands on the northeastern, eastern and western parts of Ethiopia. Most of the areas in Borana and Bale zones of Oromia Region, which are currently suitable for the distribution of C. africana will lose their suitability for the species under the projected climate change scenario (Appendix 19B2). Areas in northern Ethiopia which are suitable for the distribution of C. africana under the baseline climate scenario will turn unsuitable under the projected climate. 4.5.2.1. Analysis of variable contributions The contribution of mean annual temperature to the model under the current and projected climate was 52.3% and 64.7% respectively followed by mean annual rainfall with contribution of 33% and 22.6 respectively (Tables 70 and 71). Rainfall seasonality contributed only 4% and 4.1% to the model under the current and projected climates respectively. The jackknife test of variable importance showed that mean annual temperature has got the highest gain when used in isolation under both the current (Appendix 20B1 & B3) and future climates (Appendix 20B2 & B4). This variable has the most useful 120 information by itself. The variable that reduces the gain when omitted was also mean annual temperature in both models (present and future). Mean annual temperature is also the most important variable of jackknife test of test data under the current and future climates. It has the highest gain when used in isolation and the variable which affects the model most when omitted. Table 70: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Cordia africana underthe baseline climate scenarios in Ethiopia Variable Mean annual temperature % contribution Perm. importance 51.3 32.5 Mean annual rainfall 33 41.8 Temperature seasonality 6.1 13.2 Isothermality 5.6 2.1 4 10 Rainfall seasonality 121 Table 71: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Cordia africana under the projected climate Variable % contribution Perm.importance Mean annual temperature 64.7 55.7 Mean annual rainfall 22.6 24.9 Temperature seasonality 5.7 10.1 Rainfall seasonality 4.1 8.1 Isothermality 2.9 1.2 4.5.3. Millettia ferruginea The distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the current and future climate change scenarios was modelled using five climate variables, while other climate variables were excluded due to collinearity. The model showed good performance under both the current scenarios and future climate projections. The ROC curve (under the baseline scenario) showed good performance of the model. The area under curve for training data (under the baseline scenario) (AUC = 0.91), for test data (AUC = 0.88) which is higher than random distribution (AUC = 0.5) (Table 67). The model also showed good performance under the future climate change projections in which the ROC attained 0.91 for training data 0.89 for test data (Table 67). In general, southwest Ethiopia, particularly the highlands of Jimma, Kaffa, Shaka, most parts of Illuababor Zone, some areas of East Wellega Zone, and eastern part of West Wellega Zone, northern Borana Zone, Sidama and Gedeo Zones in south 122 Ethiopia, some parts of Awi and Metekel Zones are some of the most suitable areas for the distribution of M. ferruginea under the current climate change Scenario (Appendix 19C1). The entire Awi Zone, most parts of Metekel, most parts of southwest Illubabor Zone and Shaka Zone will lose their suitability for the distribution of M. ferruginea under the future climate change scenarios (Appendix 19C2). Most highlands of Jimma and Bench-Maji Zone will be suitable for the distribution of M. ferruginea under the projected climate change. Western and central highlands of Jimma, central and eastern part of Kaffa, central and northwestern parts of Bench-Maji remain suitable areas for the distribution of M. ferruginea. The habitat suitability declines in Shaka and western parts of Illubabor Zone. The expansion of suitable areas under the projected climate was predicted in the northern parts of Illubabor Zone, in the northern part of Borana and western part of Bale, northwestern parts of Gamo Gofa and South Omo, central Arsi and eastern Hararghe highlands (Appendix 19C2). 4.5.3.1. Analysis of variable contributions Under the current climate, mean annual temperature is the most important variable with the percent contribution of 48.8% followed by mean annual rainfall (44.9%) (Table 72). The variable with the least contribution under same climate was rainfall seasonality (0.2%). Both mean annual temperature and mean annual rainfall are more impoartant predictors under the projected climate change scenarios (Table 73). 123 Table 72: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the baseline climate scenario Millettia_baseline Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 48.8 77.4 Mean annual rainfall 44.9 16.3 Temperature seasonality 4.1 4.7 Isothermality 2 1.2 Rainfall seasonality 0.2 0 Table 73: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the projected climate Millettia _future Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 52.5 76.9 Mean annual rainfall 37.9 12.1 Temperature seasonality 8.2 10.2 Isothermality 1.1 0.3 Rainfall seasonality 0.4 0.6 124 The importance of the variable was also shown by the Jackknife test (Appendix 20C1–C4). Mean annual rainfall was the most impoartant in the training data set, under the current climate (Appendix 20C1), while mean annual temperature was the most impoartant in test data (Appendix 20C2). Mean annual temperature is the variable that impacts the most when it is omitted in both training and test data under the current climate change scenarios. Under the projected climate, the variable with the highest gain in both training and test data was the mean annual rainfall (Appendix 20C3 & C4). The variable that decreases the gain the most when omitted was mean annual temperature. 4.5.4. Phytolacca dodecandra The habitat suitability for the distribution of P.dodecandra under the current climate change scenarios and future projection was modelled using Maximum Entropy modelling. Five climate variables (mean annual temperature, mean annual precipitation, temperature seasonality, rainfall seasonality and isothermality) were used. The model performance was tested and the test showed good performance for both training (AUC = 0.93) and test data (AUC = 0.91) sets. The model performance was also evaluated under the projected climate and found that it performed better than it could be by random for both training (AUC = 0.92) and test data (AUC = 0.90) sets (Table 67). Southwest highlands of Ethiopia (highlands of Kaffa, Jimma, Bench-Maji zones); central Ethiopia (highlands of West Shewa and Guragie zones); the eastern 125 escarpments of Rift Valley (Arsi, Sidama, northern Borana and Gedeo zones, north and western Bale) and Harargie highlands are currently the most suitable areas for the distribution of P. dodecandra (Appendix 19D1). The suitability decreases as one moves from the areas mentioned above towards the lowlands in all sides of Ethiopia. The western edges (from Gambella to western Tigray), the eastern edges from Ogaden to eastern Tigray) are the areas which are not suitable for the distribution of the species under the current climate change scenarios. From the northwestern highlands, the areas of southwest Ethiopia (Jimma, Kaffa); central Ethiopia (West Shewa and Guraghe zones) will lose their suitability for the distribution of the species under the projected climate. The areas of southeastern highlands (most areas of northern and northwestern Bale; Sidama and Gedeo zones; central Arsi and eastern Hararghe highlands will be suitable for the distribution of the species under the projected climate (Appendix 19D2). 4.5.4.1. Analysis of variable importance Temperature variables have contributed more to the model than the variables related to precipitation (Table 74). Mean annual temperature has contributed more to the model performance compared to all the remaining four variables under both the current and future climate projections (Tables 74 and 75). Mean annual rainfall contributed the least to the model under both climate change scenarios (Tables 74 and 75). 126 Table 74: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Phytolacca dodecandra under the baseline climate scenario Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annualtemperature 59.9 59.1 Isothermality 24.3 13.5 Temperature seasonality 10.4 24.1 Rainfall seasonality 3.9 2.9 Mean annual rainfall 1.6 0.4 Table 75: Contribution of each five climate variables to the distribution of Phytolacca dodecandra under the projected climate Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 67.8 70.4 Isothermality 15.1 5.2 Temperature seasonality 12 18.8 Rainfall seasonality 3.7 4.8 Mean annual rainfall 1.3 0.7 The jackknife test showed that the mean annual temperature was with the highest gain when used in isolation and hence has the most useful information by itself. It is also the variable that has the information which is not present in the remaining four 127 variables. This is true under both present (Appendix 20D1 & D2) and future (Appendix 20D3 & D4) climate change scenarios. 4.5.5. Schefflera abyssinica The model performed well under both present and future climate projections. Under the current climate change scenarios, the predicted area under curve was 0.91 for the training data and 0.90 for the test data. Under the projected climate, the AUC was 0.91 for the training data and 0.87 for the test data (Table 67) 4.5.5.1. Analysis of variable importance Mean annual temperature is with the highest contribution followed by mean annual rainfall and hence it is the variable with the most impact on predicting the habitat suitability for Schefflera abyssinica under the current climate change scenario, while rainfall seasonality is with less impact on predicting suitable areas under the current climate (Table 76). Almost a similar condition was obtained for the habitat suitability of S. abyssinica under the future climate change scenarios. In the projected climate change scenarios too, the mean annual temperature contributed more and the least contributor was rainfall seasonality (Table 77). The second contributor to the model was mean annual rainfall. Some areas in south, southwest Ethiopia and Arsi highlands are suitable for the distribution of the species (Appendix 19E1). Some of these areas lose their suitability under the projected climate (Appendix 19E2). 128 Table 76: Contribution of the five climate variables to the distribution of Schefflera abyssinica under the baseline climate scenario Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 60.3 70.2 Mean annual rainfall 23.3 19.3 Temperature seasonality 8.4 4.3 Isothermality 6.1 1.5 Rainfall seasonality 1.9 4.7 Table 77: Contribution of the five climate variables to the distribution of Schefflera abyssinica under the projected climate Variable % contribution Perm. importance Mean annual temperature 59.7 74.5 Mean annual rainfall 22.9 16.2 Temperature seasonality 9.9 5.4 Isothermality 4.6 0.7 Rainfall seasonality 2.9 3. The jackknife test of variable importance for both training and test data showed that the mean annual temperature was the variable with the most useful information by itself and at the same time it was found to be the variable that decreases the gain the most when it was omitted (Appendix19E1 & E2). This was under the current climate 129 change scenarios. This variable remained the most important even under the projected climate change scenarios (Appendix 19E3 & E4). 130 CHAPTER FIVE 5. Discussion, Conclusion and Recommendations 5.1. Discussion 5.1.1. Land use /land cover change The 2008 LULC map revealed that the transect was covered by cropland, natural forest, plantation forest, woodland and pasture. The information obtained from the Agricultural Office of Setema District and some elder people in the transect, the ubiquitous and extensive conversion of natural vegetation (grassland and forest) to agriculture and plantation forests started since 1975 in the lower part of the transect. These sources confirmed that agriculture was expanded to the upper part of the transect from 1985 onwards. This coincides with the time when people from norther Ethiopia were brought to resettle in the study area (one of the fertile parts of southwest Ethiopia selected at that time) as the remedy to combat the 1984 famine in northern Ethiopia. Since then, due to the wide spread of agricultural expansion, larger areas of the forest and grassland has been converted to croplands. This agrees with several reports that addressed the decline of forest cover in Ethiopia (Breitenbach, 1961; EFAP, 1994; Hylander et al., 2013) and expansion of agriculture lands (Tadesse Woldemariam and Masresha Fetene, 2007). Due to human activities, the transect has been converted to a mosaic of different land use types such as cropland, pasture, plantation forest, SFC and DNF and woodland. This agrees with Landon (1996) and Konemund et al. (2002) who respectively addressed the annual loss of closed forests and natural vegetation in Ethiopia respectively. This study also agrees with a study on closed forest decline in Shaka Zone of Ethiopia by Tadesse 131 Woldemariam and Masresha Fetene (2007) and with net forest cover decline in Bonga and Goma-Gera area (Hylander et al., 2013). 5.1.2. Species richness The species area curve became flat after five plots in DNF, ten plots in woodland, five plots in cropland, ten plots in SFC, ten plots in pasture and four plots in planation forests showing that the sampling effort to incorporate all species occurring in different land use types was exhaustive. The result of the study showed that the transect was rich in plant species richness and diversity. About 287 species belonging to 220 genera and 82 families were documented. As part of the Eastern Afromontane Biodiversity Hotspot area (Mittermeier et al., 2004), the study transect in the Jimma Highlands has been endowed with plant species richness. This agrees with Coetzee (1978) who conducted a study on plant diversity and richness in East African Mountains. Among the 82 families recorded from the entire transect, Asteraceae was the most species rich family with total number of species (n = 33) followed by Fabaceae (n = 25). Asteraceae is the most species rich family in almost all land use types along the transect. Most floristic studies conducted in Ethiopia showed high number of plant species belonging to family Asteraceae (Dereje Denu, 2007; Dereje Denu and Tamene Belude, 2012; Ermias Lulekal, 2014) on Bibita Forest (Guraferda), sacred landscapes in Bedele District and Dense Forest in Ankober, respectively. Three of 132 the forty one families were represented by introduced species (Cupressaceae, Pinaceae and Proteaceae). According to the Setema District agricultural office, most of the exotic species were planted in the transect in late 1970’s. The six land use types of the transect vary in plant species richness, abundance and diversity. From this study it is apparent that the plant species richness decreases from woodland to the cropland. The chi-square test conducted indicated the impact of land use on the plant species richness. The plant species richness per hectare decreased from the relatively less modified (natural vegetation) to the highly modified landscapes (cropland, monoculture plantation and pasture). This agrees with most studies on the impact of land use change on plant species richness and diversity (Bobo et al., 2005; Bremer and Farley, 2010; Getachew Tadesse et al., 2014). More species per hectare was recorded from the woodland and followed by the DNF. The SFC was in the third place in terms of plant species richness per hectare. The SFC are high in plant species richness per hectare compared to the monoculture plantations, pasture and cropland. Plant species richness declined from the degraded natural vegetation to the monoculture plantation forests, to the cropland and pasture. Different land use types have different number of plant species richness per hectare. Natural vegetation (forest, woodland and grassland) have been converted to cropland, pasture and manmade monoculture plantation forests by compromising the plant species richness and abundance. In this study, the cropland was relatively species poor per hectare compared to all other land use types. This agrees with Bobo 133 et al. (2005) in which the conversion of forest to cropland affected the plant species diversity and richness. Following the cropland, least species richness was recorded from the manmade monoculture plantations of exotic species. The site occupied by the manmade monoculture plantations of exotic species today, were occupied by natural vegetation in the past. The manmade plantations were introduced in the area in late 1970s by clearing the existing dense natural forests of the area. This was revealed from the land use map and personal communications with the local elders who have good knowledge about the vegetation change in the area and from the District agricultural office. The finding agrees with Bremer and Farley (2010). According to these authers plantation forests help in conservation of biodiversity when applied on degraded land, but not when they replace the natural vegetation. Land use change affected not only the plant species richness, but also abundance of the tree species. The highest abundance was recorded from the plantation forests (798.25 ha-1) followed by DNF (236 ha-1) and SFC (129.7 ha-1). The motive behind the plantation forests was commercial benefit and as a result the trees have been planted at regular intervals and have been protected until they mature for the planned purpose. The plantation forests in the study transect was owned by the state that is protecting the forests from exploitation by the local community. The abundance in the plantation forests was attributed by the management inputs and the protection provided to maximize the income up on selling the trees for timber. 134 The natural forests in the transect have been used as a common pool for different purposes such as poles and vines for construction purposes, fire wood for fuel and other ecosystem goods and services. There are frequent illegal felling of trees for logging, fuel and house contrustruction; this impact is compounded by cattle grazing due to shortage of pastureland for the communities around the natural forest. The combined effect of illegal felling and grazing by animals has greatly affected the germination and recruitment of plant species to the adult stage that has highly affected the abundance of trees and shrubs in the natural forest. SFC is modified natural forest with wild coffee beneath the canopy. In the modifications of natural forests to the SFC, some individual trees have been removed, while others are retained for shade provision for the coffee shrubs/trees beneath. Less abundance of trees in the SFC compared to the DNFs was attributed by purposive removal of some individual trees as to maximize the growth of and yield obtained from coffee. This agrees with Demel Teketay (1999b; Kitessa Hundera et al. (2013). Woodland occupied the forth place in the tree species abundance whereas the cropland and pasture were least abundant in woody species due to the clearing of natural vegetation for the expansion of agriculture and livestock farming. Clearing of natural vegetation affected the diversity and abundance of plant species. 5.1.3. Basal area Compared to all land use types in the transect, the plantation forests were the most important land use types in terms of basal area per hectare and this was attributed mainly by management inputs. The basal area for both DNF and SFC in the study 135 area are less than the normal basal area value for virgin tropical forests in Africa (Lamprecht, 1989). Compared to other studies conducted in different natural forests of Ethiopia (Tamrat Bekele, 1993; Tamrat Bekele, 1994; Abate Ayalew, 2003; Kitessa Hundera, 2003; Kumelachew Yeshitela and Taye Bekele, 2003; Simon Shibru and Girma Balcha, 2004; Ermias Lulekal, 2005; Genene Bekele, 2005; Dereje Denu, 2007), the basal areas for DNF and SFC in the transect are the least. This is due to degradation of the natural forest and selective removal of some trees during the conversion of natural forest to the SFC systems. The most important tree species contributing higher basal area in the SFC are Albizia gummifera, Croton macrostachyus, Ficus mucuso and Cordia africana. Croton macrostachyus and Albizia gummifera have also been reported as important canopy trees in SFC (Driba Mulleta et al., 2007; Aerts et al., 2011). Driba Mulleta et al. (2007) also reported C. africana as important coffee shade tree. The most important tree species contributing higher basal area in the DNFs were Ficus sur, Apodytes dimidiata, Schefflera abyssinica, Syzygium guineense, Albizia gummifera and Celtis africana. As it was indicated in Dereje Denu (2007), Ficus sur was also one of the top ten tree species with high basal area in Bibita Forest. 5.1.4. Plant growth forms Of the four plant growth forms herb was the richest in species composition compared to shrub, tree and liana across the transect and this agrees with Tadesse Woldemariam (2003) in Yayu forest, Schmitt (2006) in Bonga Forest, Dereje Denu 136 (2007) in Bibita Forest– all in southwest Ethiopia. Trees ranked second in species richness across the transect. This disagrees with Dereje Denu (2007) and Dereje Denu and Tamene Belude (2012) in which the tree species ranked third, while the shrub ranked second in Bibita Forest and had the same rank with herbaceous species in sacred forests of Bedele District, but it agrees with Schmitt (2006). The herbs dominated all land use types in the study transect except the plantation forests where its richness follows the tree growth form. The herbaceous species distribution in the DNFs (n = 36, ~32%), woodlands (n = 56, ~41.18%), cropland (n = 50, ~55%), SFC (n = 64, ~44%), pasture (n = 51, ~45%) and in plantation forests (n = 27, ~34%). The number of herbaceous species per hectare was the least in DNF, while it was the highest in cropland. Compared to all land use types, except in the DNF, the number of herbaceous species per hectare was the least in plantation forests. The number of herbaceous species is less in plantation forests than in pasture or woodland and higher than in the natural forests. This disagrees with Kamo et al. (2002), which could be due to the degradation of the natural forest by anthropogenic activities. The richness of liana species across the transect was lowest compared to herbs, shrubs and tree species richness. This agrees with Tadesse Woldemariam (2003) in Yayu Forest, Getaneh Belachew (2006) in Beshilo and Abay riverine vegetation, Dereje Denu (2007) in Bibita Forest. The least number of liana species richness per hectare was recorded from the cropland followed by the SFC with 0.29 and 0.34 ha-1 137 respectively. The lianas were highly compromised in the conversion of natural vegetation to the cropland and SFC. When the forest is converted to cropland, the lianas are also removed with the trees and shrubs. In the conversion of forest to SFC, where the canopy trees are recruited, lianas have no chance to be recruited for shade provision by the coffee growers. Lianas are removed during the thinning activities due to their negative impact on the growth of coffee shrubs/trees and blocking access during harvesting of the ripe coffee berries. The highest record of lianas was in the DNF where it was highly successful than in any land use types along the transect. The impact of human induced disturbances on liana success was also shown somewhere by other authors (Schnitzer et al., 2004; Addo-Fordjour, 2009; Rutishauser, 2011). The illegal felling favors the expansion of lianas which completely or partially covers the passage of light to the forest floor and the open sites are affected by the grazing animals. In the pasturelands, the number of herbaceous species was higher, while the woody species including the trees are rare. A study on pasturelands (Tracy and Sanderson, 2000) in America also showed a similar result with the finding of this study. Of the 287 plant species recorded from the transect, nine were the most frequent ones occurring in about 50% of the study plots. Five of them were trees, three herbs and one shrub. Among the trees, Albizia gummifera and Acacia abyssinica are protected by the community for their shade provision for the coffee shrubs; Cordia africana has been protected for its various uses such as raw material for making household furniture and as coffee shade tree as it was indicated in Diriba Muleta et al. (2011). Species with rare occurrence in the study transect were Eucalyptus camaldulensis, 138 Grevillea robusta, Kosteletzkya begoniifolia, Nuxia congesta, Pinus patula, Schrebera alata and Sesbania sesban. Eucalyptus camaldulensis, Grevillea robusta, Pinus patula and Sesbania sesban are exotic species and they all are in manmade plantations except Sesbania sesban which has escaped from the home gardens and naturalized in the wild. Kosteletzkya begoniifolia, Nuxia congesta and Schrebera alata are indigenous species and have rare occurrence in the study area. The SFC was classified in DNFs into lower storey, middle storey and upper storey using the classification scheme of IUFRO (Lamprecht, 1989). The number of tree species with the canopy remaining in the lower storey is greater than the number of tree species reaching the middle and upper storeys in the SFC. This disagrees with Getaneh Belachew (2006) and Dereje Denu (2007). The coffee growers retain some tree species in the coffee plot not only for shade provision, but also for other purposes such as house construction, building fences around their home garden and source of fire wood. They maintain the trees until they reach the stage that could help them for the mentioned purposes. In the DNF, where the canopy is highly dominated by lianas and the passage of light to the forest floor is blocked, the tree species richness is lower in the lower storey than in the middle. The forest is degraded due to uncontrolled human activities, which also facilitated the domination of the lianas as a canopy cover. In such liana dominated canopies, the germination and recruitment of the seedlings into saplings and then into trees is compromised. It allows only the germination and growth of shade loving species, while those light seeking species are unfavored. The tree species abundance in the middle storey is greater than that in the lower and upper storeys both in SFC and in DNF. This is in agreement with Getaneh 139 Belachew (2006), even though, the comparison is not a direct one due to spatial and temporal variations and also variability of other underlying environmental factors; it is to give some indication about the similarity and differences with other studies. Among the most dominant canopy tree species in SFC, Albizia gummifera and Croton macrostachyus are at forefront and this agrees with Aerts et al. (2011). Few species dominated the upper storey compared to the middle and lower storey. The dominance is high when few species dominate the canopy and the dominance is low when several species are evenly distributed. The storey with high species richness is less in dominance, while the upper storey with less diversity is more dominant. This is because; few species dominated the upper story, while the lower storey is with several species with relatively even distribution. In general, in SFC, the diversity increased from the lower to the upper story via the middle storey. In DNF, the diversity is higher in the middle which is followed by the lower storey. The upper storey in DNF is relatively with more diversity (12 species) compared to the diversity (3 species) in upper storey of SFC. The cluster analysis using Jaccard similarity index as distance measurer grouped the study plots into three. All plots of forests (SFC, DNF and planation forests) were grouped together because they share more common traits with each other than with the other remaining land use types. 140 5.1.5. Above ground live carbon storage LULC changes are among the anthropogenic contributors to the global carbon emissions (Friedlingstein et al., 2010; Houghton, 1999). All land use types are not equally important in AGC storage. In this study, AGC storage (AGC t ha-1) varies from land use to land use across the study transect in the Jimma Highlands. The highest AGC was recorded in the plantation forest followed by DNF and the least was in the cropland and pasture. The management input which increased the tree species density in the plantation forests also contributed to the relatively higher AGC storage. The conversion of natural forests to DNF along the transect affected the amount of AGC in the above ground tree biomass. The AGC in DNF in this study was lower than the amount of AGC reported by Tadesse et al. (2014); Yohannes et al. (2015); Brown (1997) and WBISPP (2005). This is mainly due to the anthropogenic activities exerted on the DNF from the surrounding villages. The human land use change affected forests which are important in the global carbon balance. As it was indicated in FAO (2010) Global forest resources store about 289 Gt of carbon. This very important global resource is affected by human land use change. The woodlands followed SFC in the amount of AGC stored in the above ground woody species biomass. Compared to the carbon storage in woodlands reported by WBISPP (2005) in Ethiopia, the amount of AGC calculated in the woodlands of this study area was lower. This difference actually emanates from the 141 methodologies and tools applied and the level of anthropogenic activities exerted on the woodlands. As indicated by Asner et al. (2003) land cover change is the most important factor that impacts on the AGC storage in woody vegetation. Compared to croplands and pasture, SFCs are very important in their AGC storage. In this system, the natural forests have been modified through thinning by coffee growers for better coffee yield. It is one of the coffee management systems in Ethiopia (Demel Teketay, 1999b; Wiersum et al., 2008; Feyera Senebeta et al., 2009; Schmitt et al., 2010; Kitessa Hundera et al., 2013). More AGC t ha-1 storage was calculated for SFC than in croplands and pastures. This agrees with WBISPP (2005). The amount of carbon stored in SFC varies depending on management intensity, which in turn varies by region and tradition. For example, compared to carbon storage in nearby natural forests, coffee agro-forests have been reported to retain 42% of AGC carbon in Panama (Kirby and Potvin, 2007), 49% in Indonesia (Kessler et al., 2012) and 50-62% in Yeki and Decha of Ethiopia (Getachew Tadesse et al., 2014). The most important tree species in AGC storarge in the SFC are Acacia abyssinica, Albizia gummifera, Cordia africana, Croton macrostachyus, Dracaena steudneri, Ficus mucuso and Millettia ferruginea. Among these tree species, Acacia abyssinica, Albizia gummifera, Cordia africana and Millettia ferruginea were reported by Diriba Mulleta et al. (2011) as important coffee shade trees in southwest Ethiopia. These species are also the first four tree species in farmers’ preference as coffee shade trees 142 in this study. Cordia africana is also retained on farm for its good quality timber. The coffee farmers look after these tree species in their coffee farm for many years and as a result the trees are relatively with high DBH and stem density. The higher AGC storage was attributed by the management inputs in the conservation of the selected coffee shade trees. Albizia gummifera and Croton macrostachyus were also reported by Aerts et al. (2010) as important coffee shade trees forming the dominant canopies in some areas of southwest Ethiopia. Ficus mucuso was not among the top tree species of choice by the farmers for shade provision. This species dominated the coffee forest along Didessa River and was not recoded from other plots. The species is characterised by its large trunk diameter which has contributed to the highest carbon storage in its above ground biomass. The five most important plant families in AGC in the SFC of the study area were Fabaceae, Moraceae, Euphorbiaceae, Boraginaceae and Dracaenaceae. These are the families to which the above most important coffee shade trees belong. In the conversion of natural vegetation to agriculture, most trees, shrubs and lianas are cleared, while some trees are retained on farm for different purposes. The least AGC in tree biomass was calculated for the croplands covered by annual crops and pasturelands. The AGC calculated for cropland in this study is within the range of AGC calculated for croplands (1.78–2.47 t ha-1) in Ethiopia (WBISPP, 2005). The most important tree species in the cropland was Cordia africana which the farmers purposely retained on farm for its good timber. The species was also ecologically important in improving soil fertility (Abebe Yadessa et al., 2009). Pasture and 143 croplands are characterised by small number of individual trees sparsely scattered and retained for different purposes. Experience accumulated over decades living and working in southwest Ethiopia tells us that the profitability of traditional coffee farming is finely balanced: when the market price of coffee drops, there often follows a wave of conversion from SFC to cropland. If such livelihood pressures were to cause the coffee growers along our study transect to similarly convert their land, then we estimate that 59.5 t ha-1 (conversion to cropland) or 59.0 t ha-1 (pasture) would be released as greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere. This is in agreement with Achard et al. (2004); Houghton (1999); Friedlingstein et al. (2010); Kaplan, et al. (2010) in which the impact of LULC change in carbon emission was addressed. AGC storage has significant linear relationships with tree species richness and abundance. These two varibales (richness and abundance) explained about 82% of the variation in carbon storage. AGC storage was calculated from woody species with DBH 10 cm. Most of the woody species in the transect with this DBH are trees. That is why tree species abundance and richness were highly correlated with AGC storage. This agrees with Strassburg et al. (2010). AGC storage also showed significant linear relationships with some climate variables such as mean temperature warmest quarter, mean temperature coolest quarter, mean 144 annual rainfall, rainfall driest quarter, potential evapotranspiration, moisture index moist quarter, annual moisture index, mean diurnal range in temperature, mean annual temperature, min temperature coolest month, annual temperature range and maximum temperature warmest month. Potential evapotranspiration explained about 21% of the variation in carbon storage when all other variables were excluded due to collinearity. Net primary productivity (the basis for carbon storage in the woody species biomass) decreases by dry weather and warmer temperatures (Tian, et al., 1998). Among the edaphic variables, CEC, sand and pH showed significant linear relationship with AGC. Cation exchange capacity and pH negatively correlated to AGC, while sand showed positive relationship with AGC. AGC decreases with increasing CEC and soil pH, but increases with increasing percentage of sand particle. In the regression analysis, combined together, soil pH, CEC and sand significantly explained the variation in AGC t ha-1 across different land use types along the transect. 5.1.6. Leaf area index (LAI) LAI under both Version 5 and 6 of CAN-EYE were influenced by human land use change. The decreasing order of land use types in LAI values includes DNF, SFC, plantation forests, woodland, cropland and pasture. This agrees with Kozlowski et al. (1991), Mass et al. (1995) who addressed the variation in LAI among ecosystems and within ecosystems respectively. The three forest types (SFC, DNFs and 145 plantation forests) and woodlands were not statistically different in LAI_true_v5 and v6. In the same way cropland and pasture were not statistically different in LAI. Almost all canopy trees have been removed in the conversion of forests and woodlands to croplands and pasture in the study transect. Few scattered trees have been retained in the croplands and pastures. This has contributed to relatively lower. LAI values for the canopy trees in these land use types. There were also slight differences in LAI between cropland and pasture. Trees with more canopies were found in the croplands than in the pasture contributing to more LAI in the cropland. The three forest types (DNF, SFC and plantation) are different in LAI. The DNFs were relatively higher in LAI compared to SFC and plantation forests. SFC is the result of modification of natural forest through thinning activities in the conversion to SCFs. Lianas and shrubs are totally removed in the modification of natural forests to the SFC. In addition to lianas and shrubs, the individual trees are removed as to allow enough light to the coffee shrubs. Therefore; though it is degraded, the natural forest in the study transect has relatively more tree density and lianas than the SFC and all other land use types in the transect. This has contributed to more LAI in the DNF than in the SFC. The DNF is composed of broad leaved indigenous tree species, while the plantation forests are all with exotic species and are mostly needle leaved. The LAI in DNF is higher than the LAI in the plantation forests most probably attributed by the variation in the leaf morphology. In the DNF, the lianas climbing to the canopy of trees also have contribution to the LAI, while lianas as canopy component are absent from the plantation forests. The woodlands are composed of short trees, shrubs and grasses. The canopies are not closed as it has been observed in the DNF and are also relatively less dense. This has contributed to 146 lower LAI value compared to the three forest types. Though there were variations in the three forest types and woodlands in terms of LAI, the variations were not statistically significant, most probably due to the similarity in the canopy cover. In the woodlands, shrubs, taller herbaceous species contributed to the canopy. LAI_true was strongly correlated with tree species basal area, richness and abundance. Leaf area is a very important biophysical factor that plays an important role in photosynthesis and primary productivity. The biomass accumulated in the trees and other woody species is the result of this primary productivity. The growth in basal area is the result of biomass accumulation as a result of primary productivity. The strong linear relationship between LAI and woody species basal area, most probably, emanates from the physiological relationships they have. When the abundance of tree species is compromised due to the conversion of natural forest- as in the SFC and croplands, the LAI is also compromised. This indicates the importance of density in its contribution to the LAI. Herbaceous species richness was not significantly related to both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5. In the DNF where the LAI was relatively higher, the herbaceous species richness was poor. The growth of light loving herbaceous species is compromised under the canopies of natural and plantation forests. The management inputs in SFC and plantation forests also impacted the herbaceous species growth. 147 Topographic factors such as elevation and slope have no strong relationship with the LAI. In the study transect, land use was found more important than topographic factors. The natural vegetation has been changed to different land use types irrespective of elevation and slope. The areas where more species richness and abundance are expected may have less number of species abundance due to the human land use change. At the same time, at elevations where less number of species and abundance are expected, you may come up with more species than at the elevation with more theoretical species richness and abundance. Among the edaphic factors, soil cation exchange capacity, sand and clay have significant relationship with the LAI. CEC and clay were negatively related with LAI, while the sand was positively related. These three edaphic factors have also significantly explained the variation in LAI. EVI and NDVI are significantly related to the LAI. This agrees with Goswami et al. (2015) that showed strong correlation between LAI and NDVI. In the multiple regression analysis, the two variables combined, significantly explained the variation in LAI. NDVI has significant contribution to the model, while the contribution of EVI was not significant singly. LAI and AGC storage: Both LAI_true_v6 and LAI_true_v5 have strong linear relationship with the above ground carbon storage across the land use types in the study transect. LAI_true_v6 has explained about 75% of the variation in AGC t ha-1. Land use types have significant variation in AGC t ha-1. The LAI which is influenced 148 by human land use change has significantly explained the variation in AGC, which is also influenced by human land use change. LAI and climate variables: As very important biophysical element, leaf acts as an interface between the plant canopy and the atmosphere. It is a very important site for absorption of energy from the sun, for gas exchange and regulation of water loss. Leaf area has a direct role to play in this important biological process in green plants. The significant linear relationships between LAI and climate variables are attributed to these natural interactions. LAI showed significant linear relationships with climate variables such as mean temperature warmest quarter, mean annual rainfall, maximum temperature warmest month, mean annual temperature, annual temperature range, mean temperature coolest quarter, moisture index moist quarter,mean diurnal range in temp, rainfall driest quarter, annual moisture index and potential evapotranspiration. This agrees with Jin and Zhang (2001), Xavier and Vettorazzi (2003) and Luo et al. (2004) also showed the existence of linear relationship between LAI and precipitation. All the above climate variables showed strong collinearity in the multiple regression analysis. The two climate variables with relatively low collinearity value were mean annual temperature and annual temperature range. These two variables combined, have significantly explained the variation in LAI across the land use types in the study transect. The LAI data taken below and above coffee canopy (taken above the canopy of coffee shrubs/trees and below the canopy of coffee shrubs/trees) are important to 149 determine the contribution of coffee canopy to the LAI across the coffee agroforestry in the transect. In the LAI data taken below the coffee canopy, it is obvious that the contribution of coffee canopy to the LAI was included, while, in the LAI data taken above the coffee canopy, the contribution of coffee canopy to the LAI was excluded. The LAI taken below the coffee canopy was higher than the LAI taken above the coffee canopy due to the inclusion and exclusion of the coffee canopy respectively. The significant variation between the LAI taken above the coffee canopy and LAI taken below the coffee canopy showed a significant contribution of coffee canopy to the LAI. Therefore; it is possible to deduce that the coffee canopy, in addition to the canopy of shade trees, has contribution in regulating the microclimates under the canopy. Hardwick et al. (2015) also showed the importance of LAI in regulating the microclimate beneath the canopy. According to him, the air under the canopies having high LAI is cooler and has high relative humidity during the day. The canopy below the coffee canopy could have cooler climate than the canopy above the coffee canopy. 5.1.7. Species distribution The model output showed that the lowlands of Ethiopia are not suitable for the distribution of Cordia africana. This agrees with the description of elevational distribution of the species by Riedl and Edwards (2006). The areas which are climatically most suitable for the distribution of C.africana are parts of southwest highlands such as Jimma, Kaffa, Bench-Maji, Illubabbor, Shaka; central and southern Oromia and eastern Hararghe Highlands. These areas are within the range 150 of elevations reported by Riedl and Edwards (2006) for the distribution of the species. Most areas of Borana and Bale zones in Oromia, which are climatically suitable under the current climate change scenarios for the distribution of C. africana, will lose their suitability for the distribution of the species in the future. The suitable areas in northern Ethiopia for the distribution of C. africana under the baseline climate scenario will turn unsuitable under the projected climate. The two climate variables contributing more to the model are mean annual temperature and mean annual rainfall. The lowlands of Ethiopia which are not suitable for the distribution of the species are the areas where the temperature is high and rainfall is low (Daniel Gemechu, 1977). The southwest Ethiopian highlands which are climatically suitable for the distribution of C. africana are characterised by relatively high rainfall and low temperature (Daniel Gemechu, 1977). This shows how the temperature and rainfall influence the distribution of C. africana. The areas which are suitable for the distribution of the species under the current climate change scenario will lose their suitability under the projected climate. This may be due to the rise in temperature. As it was indicated by Platts et al. (2014) the temperature increases in sub-Sahara Africa under both IPCC concentration pathways by 2100. The mean annual temperature for the occurrence locations of C. africana will increase by 4.3 to 5.1°C by late century (data from Platts et al., 2014). Millettia ferruginea is one of the endemic species of Ethiopia with least concern in IUCN Red list category (Vivero et al., 2005). The species is distributed in upland forests and rainforests covering the elevational range from 1000–2500m above sea 151 level. The lowlands around Ethiopian highlands are not suitable for the distribution of M. ferruginea under the baseline and projected climate scenarios. Southwest highlands of Ethiopia, particularly the highlands of Jimma, Kaffa, Shaka, most parts of Illuababor zones; some areas of East Wellega zone, and eastern part of West Wellega and northern Borana zones, Sidama and Gedeo zones in south Ethiopia, and some parts of Awi and Metekel zones are some of the most suitable areas for the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the baseline scenario. Under the projected climate change scenarios, the entire Awi Zone, most parts of Metekel, most parts of southwest Illubabor and Shaka zones will lose their suitability for the distribution of Millettia ferruginea under the future climate change scenarios. Western and central highlands of Jimma, central and eastern parts of Kaffa, central and northwestern parts of Bench-Maji, south and southeastern parts of Illubabor remain suitable areas for the distribution of Millettia ferruginea. These are the areas with high rainfall and low temperature compared to the surrounding areas (Daniel Gemechu, 1977; Platts et al., 2014). They are characterized by low average annual water deficit, low temperature and high rainfall (Daniel Gemechu, 1977; Platts et al., 2014). They are the wettest regions of the country (Daniel Gemechu, 1977). Similarly, mean annual temperature and mean annual rainfall are the variables with the highest contribution to the model. The rise in temperature for the points of occurrence of M. ferruginea ranges from 4.4–5.0°C by the year 2100 (Platts et al., 2014). Under the baseline scenario, the mean annual rainfall for the occurrence localities of M. ferruginea ranges from 714–1868 mm. This shifts to 724–1862 mm under the projected climate by the year 2100 (Platts et al., 2014). From this one can 152 deduce that change in temperature is more important than the change in rainfall for the distribution of M. ferruginea. Phytolacca dodecandra is distributed in an elevation range of 1500–3000 m above sea level (Polhill, 2000). Elevation and temperature have inverse relationship where the temperature decreases with increasing altitude. Mean annual temperature for the occurrence localities of the species ranges from 10.8–21.8°C under the current climate change scenarios (Platts et al., 2014). This temperature range is suitable for the distribution of P. dodecandra under the baseline scenario. The mean annual temperature ranges from 15.4–26°C under the projected climate for the occurrence localities of P. dodecandra with rise in temperature by 4.6°C and 4.2°C for the higher and lower elevations respectively. The areas with mean annual temperature higher than 21.8°C are not suitable for the distribution of the species. The lower mean annual temperature for occurrence localities of P .dodecandra shifts from 10.8°C (under baseline) to 15.4°C (under the projected climate) for the higher elevations, while the mean annual temperature for the lower elevations shifts from 21.8–26°C (Platts et al., 2014). Based on the temperature and elevation relationship, it is possible to deduce the elevational shift in spatial distribution of P. dodecandra if the current climate change scenario continues. This agrees with Parmesa and Yohe (2003). Highlands of Kaffa, Jimma, Bench-Maji (parts of southwest highlands of Ethiopia); west Shewa and Guragie zones (central Ethiopia); Arsi, Sidama, Borena and Gedeo highlands, north and western Bale;and Harargie highlands are currently the most suitable areas for the distribution of P.dodecandra. The areas with the mean annual 153 temperature above 21.8°C lost their suitability for the distribution of the species. From the northwestern highlands, the areas of southwest Ethiopia (Jimma, Kaffa); central Ethiopia (west Shewa and Guraghe zones) will lose their suitability for the distribution of the species under the projected climate due to the shift of mean annual temperature above 21.8°C. The areas of southeastern highlands (most areas of northern and northwestern Bale; Sidama and Gedeo zones; Central Arsi and eastern Hararghe highlands will be suitable for the distribution of the species under the projected climate Mean annual temperature for occurrence locations of Schefflera abyssinica under the baseline climate change scenarios ranges from 13.8–21.5°C. This shifts to 18.4– 26.3°C under the projected climate change scenarios with a minimum change of 4.6°C and a maximum of 4.8°C. 5.2. Conclusion 1. Land use/land cover change affected plat species richness, abundance and diversity across the study transect. The richness decreases from less modified to highly modified land use types in the trasect. 2. Plant spcies richness and abundance showed significant linear relationships with some climate variables across the transect. Therefore, climate has impacts on the richness and abundance of plant species. 3. In all land use types, except in planation forests, herbaceous species dominate the species composition. 154 4. Land use/land cover change affected the above ground live carbon storage with the maximum in the planation forests followed by DNF and SFC and the minimum in cropland. 5. The linear relationship between above ground live carbon storage and climate variables shows that climate affects its storage. 6. Tree species richness and abundance vary along the vertical stratification in SFC and DNF. In both cases, the middle storey is with the highest species abundance followed by the lower storey. 7. As in plant richness and carbon storage, LAI also varies with land use types and the differences were statistically significant. This shows how the land use types influence the distribution of LAI. The three forests (SFC, DNF and plantation forests) and woodlands were not significantly differed in LAI. 8. Leaf area index highly influenced the above ground live carbon storage. It explains about 75% of the variation in carbon storage across the land use types. 9. Leaf area index has linear relationships with climate variables such as mean annual rainfall, max temp warmest month, mean annual temperature and potential evapotranspiration. These climate variables could affect LAI directly or indirectly. 10. SFC is significantly different from pasture and cropland in LAI, while the difference with DNF, plantation forest and woodland was not significant. 11. Topographic variables did not significantly explain the variation in LAI across the study transect, while land use types did well. 155 12. Significant statistical variation was obtained between the LAI taken above the coffee canopy and the LAI taken below the coffee canopy. This shows the importance of coffee canopy in the contribution to the total leaf area index when taken below the coffee canopy. 13. The distribution model of five plant species across Ethiopia showd how the climate change affects their distribution both under the present and projected scenarios. 14. Most of the areas which are suitable for the distribution of these species under the current climate will turn unsuitable under the most extreme representative concentration pathways (RCP8.5). 5.3. Recommendations 1. In the transect, most of the grasslands and some areas of forests have been converted to farm lands of annual crops by the small holder subsistence agriculture. Each year, new areas have been added to agricultural land. This is to get more yields to satisfy the increasing family members. To combat this problem, new agricultural technologies by which the farmers could get sufficient yield from small areas of land should be introduced in the area. 2. Most of the areas in the transect are covered by SFC, while the DNF is confined to smaller areas located above 2000 m elevation. Farmers tend to convert coffee forests to alternative land use types like croplands during yield loss and failure in coffee price. This compromises the plant species richness, diversity, carbon storage, leaf 156 area index and other ecosystem services from which the community could benefit. To make the SFC sustainable in provision of ecosystem goods and services, there should be a mechanism by which the farmers could be supported during the yield loss and failure in market price. 3. SFC is in the third place in carbon storage in the biomass of the coffee shade trees. They are important sinks of carbon because the coffee shade trees are looked after by the coffee farmers and stay longer in the coffee plot providing shade for the coffee trees/shrubs beneath. The SFC forests satisfy the forest definition for REDD+ mechanism. Therefore, SFC should be considered in any climate debates and the coffee growers should be benefited from the carbon funds. 4. The DNF is confined to the upper part of the transect and is used as a common pool for provison of materials for construction, timber and non-timber forest products and other ecosystem goods and services for the surrounding community. There is also a pressure from the community to convert the forest to croplands which strongly compromises the species richness, diversity, carbon storage, leaf area index and other ecosystem goods and services. Therefore, there should be a mechanism by which the community around the forest could get sustainable benefit from the forest around them. Non-timber forest products like honey production could sustainably benefit the community and also conserve the forest. 157 5. Climate change affects the distribution of plant species. Most of the areas which are currently suitable for the distribution of the species may become unsuitable in the future if the current climate change scenario continues. Climate has no boundary and the measure to be taken needs integrated effort across the world. Therefore, humanity across the world should agree to fight the climate change through reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. 158 References Abate Ayalew (2003). Floristic composition and structural analysis of the Denkoro forest. M.Sc Thesis. Addis Ababa University. Abebe Yadessa, Fisseha Itanna, Olsson, M. (2009). Scattered trees as modifiers of agricultural landscapes: the role of waddeessa (Cordia africana Lam.) trees in Bako area, Oromia, Ethiopia. Afri.J.Eco. 47: 78–83. Achard, F., Eva, H. D., Mayaux, P., Stibig, H-J., Belward, A. (2004). Improved estimates of net carbon emissions from land cover change in the tropics for the 1990s. Glob. Biogeochem.Cyc. 18(2): doi: 10.1029/2003GB002142 Addo-Fordjour, P., Anning, A. K., Larbi, J. A., and Akyeampong, S. (2009). “Liana species richness, abundance and relationship with trees in the Bobiri forest reserve, Ghana: impact of management systems.” For.Eco.and Manag.257, no.8: 1822–1828. Aerts, R., Kitessa Hundera; Gezahegn Berecha; Gijbels, P., Baeten, M., Van Mechelen, M., Hermy, M., Muys, B., Honnay, O. (2011). Semi-forest coffee cultivation and the conservation of Ethiopian Afromontane rainforest fragments. For.Ecol. and Manag. 261, no.6: 1034–1041. Aklilu Lemma, Brody, G., Newell, G.W., Parkhurst, R. M., and Skinner, W. A.(1972). Studies on the Molluscicidal Properties of Endod (Phytolacca dodecandra): I. Increased Potency with Butanol Extraction. The J. of Parasit. 58, No.1: 104-107 Anderson, R.P., Peterson, A.T., Gòmez-Laverde, M. (2002). Using niche-based GIS modelling to test geographic predictions of competitive exclusion and competitive release in South American pocket mice. Oikos 98: 3–16. 159 Asner, G. P., Archer, S., Hughes, R. F., Ansley, R. J. and Wessman, C. (2003). Glob. Chang. Biol. 9(3): 316–335. Avissar, R., da Silva, R.R. and Werth (2004). Implications of tropical deforestation for regional and global hydroclimate.Ecosyst. Land use change. 153: 73–83. Bellard, C., Bertelsmeier, C., Leadley, P., Thuiller, W. and Courchamp, F. (2012). Impacts of climate change on the future of biodiversity. Ecology Letters, (2012) doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01736.x Berhanu Alemu, Getachew Animut and Adugna Tolera (2013). Millettia ferruginea: An endemic legume tree as forage for ruminants in southern and northwestern Ethiopia. Livestock Rese for Rural Development, 25(3), Article #44. Retrieved May 23, 2015. Bobo, K.S., Waltert, M., Sainge, N.M., Njokagbor, J., Fermon, Heleen, and Mu¨Hlenberg, M. (2005). From forest to farmland: species richness patterns of trees and understorey plants along a gradient of forest conversion in Southwestern Cameroon. Biodiv. and Con.15: 4097–4117. doi 10.1007/s10531-005-3368-6. Breitenbach, V. F. (1961). Forests and woodlands of Ethiopia- a geobotanical contribution to the knowledge of the principal plant communities of Ethiopia with special regard to forestry. Ethiop. For. Rev. 1: 5–16. Bremer, L.L. and Farley, K.A. (2010). Does plantation forestry restore biodiversity or create green deserts? A synthesis of the effects of land-use transitions on plant species richness. Biodiv.Cons. 19: 3893–3915. 160 Brown, S. (1997). Estimating Biomass and Biomass Change of Tropical Forests: A Primer. FAO For. Paper 134. FAO, Rome. Cardinale, B., Duffy, J.E., Gonzalez, A., Hooper, D.U., Perrings, C., Venail, P., Narwani, A., Mace, G.M., Tilman, D., Wardle, D.A., Kinzig, A.P., Daily, G.C., Loreau, M., Grace, J.B., Larigauderie, A., Srivastava, D.S. & Naeem, S. (2012). Biodiversity loss and its impact on humanity. Nat. 486: 59-67. Chave, J., Coomes, D.A., Jansen, S., Lewis, S.L., Swenson, N.G. & Zanne, A.E. (2009) Towards a worldwide wood economics spectrum. Eco.Lett. 12: 351– 366. Chave, J., Réjou-Méchain, M., Búrquez, A., Chidumayo, E., Colgan, M.S., Delitti, W.B.C., Duque, A., Eid, T., Fearnside, P.M., Goodman, R.C., Henry, M., Martínez-Yrízar, A., Mugasha, W.A, Muller-Landau, H.C., Mencuccini, M., Nelson, B.W., Ngomanda, A., Nogueira, E.M., Ortiz-Malavassi, E., Pélissier, R., Ploton, P., Ryan, C.M., Saldarriaga, J.G. & Vieilledent, G. (2014) Improved allometric models to estimate the above ground biomass of tropical trees. Glob. Chan. Biol. 10: 3177–3190. Coetzee, J.A. (1978). Phytogeographical aspects of the montane forests of the chains of mountains on the eastern side Africa. Erdwissenschaft Forschung, 11:482– 494. Corsi, F., Dupr`e, E., Boitani, L., (1999). A large-scale model of wolf distribution in Italy for conservation planning. Cons. Biol.13: 150–159. CSA (1996). The 1994 population and housing census of Ethiopia, results for Ormoia Region. Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Office of Population and Housing Census Commission, Ethiopia. 161 CSA (2008). Summary and Statistical Report of the 2007 Population and Housing Census, population size by age and sex. Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Population Census Commission, Ethiopia. Daniel Gemechu (1977). Aspects of climate and water budget in Ethiopia. Addis Ababa University Press. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.70pp. Davis, M., and Shaw, R.G. (2001). Range shifts and adaptive responses to Quaternary climate change: Sci. 292: 673–679. Dawit Abebe and Ahadu Ayehu (1993). Medicinal plants and enigmatic health practices of northern Ethiopia. B.S.P.E., Addis Ababa. Demel Teketay (1999b). History, Botany and Ecological Requirements of Coffee.Walia, No.20: 28–50. Dereje Denu (2007). Floristic composition and Ecological study of Bibita Forest (Gura Ferda), southwest Ethiopia. M.Sc Thesis, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Dereje Denu and Tamene Belude (2012). Floristic Composition of Traditional Sacred Landscapes in Bedelle Woreda, Illubabor Zone, Oromia Regional State, Ethiopia. Ethiop. J.Educ. and Sci. 8, No 1: 75–91. Diriba Muleta, Fassil Assefa, SileshiNemomissa and Granhall, U. (2011). Socioeconomic benefits ofshade trees in coffee production systems in Bonga and Yayu Hurumu Districts, southwest Ethiopia: Farmers’ perceptions. Ethiop. J. Educ.and Sci.1: 39–56. 162 EFAP (1994).The challenge for development.Ethiopian forestry action program, EFAP, Addis Ababa. Ehrlich, P.R., Ehrlich, A.H. (1981). Extinction: The Causes and Consequences of the Disappearance of Species. New York: Random House. Ermias Lulekal (2005). Ethnobotanical study of medicinal plants and floristic compostion of the Menna–Angetu moist montane forest in Menna-Angetu District, Bale Ethiopia. M.Sc. Thesis, Addis Ababa University. Ermias Lulekal (2014). Plant diversity and Ethnobotanical study of medicinal plants in Ankober Distyrict, north Shewa zone of Amhara region, Ethiopia. PhD Dissertation, ADDIS Ababa University, Ethiopia. Facchi, A., Baroni, G., Boschetti, M., Gandolfi, C. (2010). Comparing optical and direct methods for leaf area index determination in a maiz crop. J.of Agr. Eng. 1: 33-40 FAO (2000).The global outlook for future wood supplies from forest plantations. Brwon, C., FAO Working Paper GFPOS/WP/03. FAO, Rome, Italy. 129pp. FAO (2001). Global Forest Resources Assessment 2000. FAO Forestry Paper 140, Rome. 511pp. FAO (2003). State of the world’s Forests 2003. Food and Agreculture Organization of the United Nations. Rome, Italy 126pp. FAO (2006). Global Forest resources assessment 2005. Progress towards sustainable forest management. FAO Forestry Paper 147, Rome. 350pp. FAO (2010) Global Forest Resources Assessment 2010 ‐ Country Report Ethiopia. Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), Rome, Italy (www. fao.org/forestry/ fra/fra2010/en/, accessed on September 15, 2015). 163 FAO (2015). FAO assessment of forests and carbon stocks, 1990–2015. Reduced overall emissions, but increased degradation. http://www.fao.org/3/ai4470e.pdf . Accessed on January 8, 2016. Fearnside, P.M., Righi, C.A., Lima de Alencastro Graca, P.M., Keizer, E.W.H., Cerri, C.C., Nogueira, E.M., Barbosa, R.I. (2009). Biomass and greenhousegas emissions from land-use change in Brazil’s Amazonian ‘‘arc of deforestation’’: The states of Mato Grosso and Rondonia. For.Ecol. and Manag. 258: 1968–1978. Pfeifer, M., Alemu Gonsamo, Disney, M., Pellikka, P., Rob Marchant, R. (2012). Leaf area index for biomes of the Eastern Arc Mountains: Landsat and SPOT observations along precipitation and altitude gradients. Remote Sens. of Environ. 118:103–115. Fichtl, R. and Admasu Adi (1994). Honeybee Flora of Ethiopia, Margraf Verlag, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. 511pp. Fieber, K. D., Davenport, I. J., Tanase, M. A., Ferryman, J. M., Gurney, R. J., Walker, J. P. and Hacker, J. M. (2014) Effective LAI and CHP of a single tree from small-footprint full-waveform LiDAR. IEEE Geosci. Remote Sens. Lett. 11 (9): 1634 -1638. Franklin, A.B., Noon, B.R., George, L.T. (2002). What is habitat fragmentation? Stud. in Avian Biol. 25: 20–29. Friedlingstein, P., Houghton, R. A., Marland, G., Hackler, J., Boden,T. A., Conway, T. J., Canadell, J. G., Raupach, M. R., Ciais, P. and Le Qu´er´e, C. (2010).Update on CO2 emissions, Nat. Geosci. 3: 811–812. 164 Genene Bekele (2005). Floristic composition and structure of the vegetation of Magada forest, Borana zone, Oromia National Regional State. M.Sc. Thesis, Addis Ababa University. Gentry, A.H. (1982).Neotropical Floristic Diversity: Phytogeographical Connections Between Central and South America, Pleistocene Climatic Fluctuations, or an Accident of the Andean Orogeny? Annals of the Miss.Bot. Gard. 69, No. 3: 557–593. Getachew Tadesse, Zavaleta, E. and Shennan, C. (2014). Effects of land-use changes on woody species distribution and above ground carbon storage of forest-coffee systems. Agri.Ecosy.and Env.197: 21–30. Getaneh Belachew (2006). Floristic composition and structure in Beschillo and Abay (Blue Nile) Riverine Vegetation.M.Sc Thesis, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Gibbs, H.K., Brown, S., Niles, J.O. and Foley, J.A. (2007). Monitoring and estimating tropical forest carbon stocks: making REDD a reality. Env. Res .Lett. No2. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045023. Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) (http://www.gbif.org/). Accessed on March 20, 2014. Goswami, S., Gamon, J.A., Vargas, S., Tweedie, C.E. (2015). Relationships of NDVI, Biomass and Leaf area index (LAI) for six key plant species in Barrow, Alaska. https://dx.doi.org/10.7287/peerj.preprints.913v1. Grabherr, G., Gottfried, M. and Pauli. H. (1994). Climate effects on mountain plants. Nat.369: 448. 165 Guisan A., Thuiller, W. (2005). Predicting species distribution: offering more than simple habitat models. Ecol. Lett. 8: 993–1009. Guisan A., Zimmermann, N.E. (2000). Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology. Ecol. Model. 135: 147–186. Haileleul Tebicke (2002). A scan of sustainable energy, Environment and development in Ethiopia. In: Tibebua Hectett (ed). Ethiopia civil society. Berhanena Selam Printing Enterprise, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Hailu Tadeg, Endris Mohammed, Kaleab Asres, Tsige Gebre-Mariam (2005). Antimicrobial activities of some selected traditional Ethiopian medicinal plants used in the treatment of skin disorders. J. of Ethnopharmac. 100: 168– 175. Hamere Yohannes, Teshome Soromessa, Mekuria Argaw (2015). Carbon Stock Analysis Along Altitudinal Gradient in Gedo Forest: Implications for Forest Management and Climate Change Mitigation, Amer. J.Env. Prot. 4(5): 237– 244. Hammer, Ø., Harper, D.A.T., and Ryan, P. D. (2001). PAST: Paleontological Statistics Software Package for Education and Data Analysis. Palaeontologia Electronica 4(1): 9pp. Hansen, M. C., P. V. Potapov, R. Moore, M. Hancher, S. A. Turubanova, A. Tyukavina, D. Thau, S. V. Stehman, S. J. Goetz, T. R. Loveland, A. Kommareddy, A. Egorov, L. Chini, C. O. Justice, and J. R. G. Townshend. 2013. “High-Resolution Global Maps of 21st-Century Forest Cover Change.” 166 Science 342 (15 November): 850–53. Data available on-line from: http://earthenginepartners.ap pspot.com/science-2013-global-forest. Hardwick, S.R., Toumi, R., Pfeifer, M., Turner, E.C., Nilus, R., Robert M. Ewers, R.M. (2015). The relationship between leaf area index and microclimate in tropical forest and oil palm plantation: Forest disturbance drives changes in microclimate. Agri.and For.Meteo. 201: 187–195. Heywood, V.H. and Watson, R.T. (1995). Global Biodiversity Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.1152pp. Houghton, R. A. (1999). The annual net flux of carbon to the atmosphere from changes in land use 1850–1990.Tellus B. 51: 298–313. http://chiesa-gis.geography.helsinki.fi:8080/geonetwork/srv/en/main.home. https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/products/modis_products_table/mod13q1. http://www.nabu.de/en/aktionenundprojekte/kafa/projectarea/climateprote. Hutchison, B.A., Matt, D.R., McMillen, R.T., Gross, L.J., Tajchman, S.J. and Norman, J.M. (1986). The architecture of a deciduous forest canopy in eastern Tennessee, USA. J.Ecol. 74: 635-646. Hylander, K., Nemomissa, S., Delrue, J. & Enkosa, W. (2013). Effects of Coffee Management on Deforestation Rates and Forest Integrity. Conservation Biology Available at http://www.academia.edu/5367898/Effects_of_Coffee_Management_on_Def orestation_Rates_and_Forest_Integrity 167 IPCC (2000). Special Report on Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry. Summary for Policy Makers. Geneva, Switzerland. IPCC (2001).Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC (WG I & II) Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge. IPCC (2007). Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment reportof the intergovernmentalpanel on climate change. Accessed on 10 January, 2012. IPCC (2014). Climate Change 2014, Synthesis Report Summary for Policymakers, www.ipcc.ch. Accessed on 20 November 2014. ISRIC (2013). Soil property maps of Africa at 1 km. World Soil Information, www.isric.org (Accessed on 28 January 2014). Jaynes, E.T. (1957). Information theory and statistical mechanics. Phys. Rev.106: 620–630. Jenkins, M. (1992). Species Extinction. In: Groombridge B (ed) Global Biodiversity: Status of the Earth’s Living Resources. Compiled by the World Conservation Monitoring Centre (WCMC), Chapman and Hall, London. Jin, M. and Zhang, D.L. (2001). Observed variations of leaf area index and its relationship with surface temperatures during warm seasons. Meteorol. Atmos. Phys. 80: 117-129. Jonckheere, I., Fleck, S., Nackaerts, K., Muys, B., Coppin, P.,Weiss, M., Baret, F. (2004). Review of methods for in-situ leaf area index determination Part I. Theories, sensors and hemispherical photography. Agri. For. Meteo. 121: 1935. Kamo, K., Vacharangkura, T., Tiyanon, S., Viriyabuncha, C., Nimpila, S. and Doangsrisen, B. (2002). Plant Species Diversity in Tropical Planted Forests 168 and Implication for Restoration of Forest Ecosystems in Sakaerat, Northeastern Thailand. JARQ 36 (2): 111–118. Kaplan, J. O., Krumhardt, K. M., Ellis, E. C., Ruddiman, W. F., Lemmen, C., Goldewijk, K. K (2010). Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change.The Holocene. 21(5): 775–791. Kappelle, M., Van Vuuren, M. M.I. and Baas Pieter (1999). Effects of climate change on biodiversity: a review and identification of key research issues. Biodiv. and Cons. 8: 1383–1397. Kauffman, J.B., Hughes, R.F., Heider, C. (2009). Carbon pool and biomass dynamics associated with deforestation, land use, and agricultural abandonment in the neotropics. Ecol. Appl.19 (5): 1211-1222. Kessler, M., Hertel, D., Jungkunst, H.F., Kluge, J., Abrahamczyk, S., Bos, M., Buchori, D., Gerold, G., Gradstein, S.R., Köhler, S., Leuschner, C., Moser, G., Pitopang, R., Saleh, S., Schulze, C.H., Sporn, S.G., Steffan-Dewenter, I., Tjitrosoedirdjo, S.S. & Tscharntke, T. (2012). Can joint carbon and biodiversity management in tropical agro-forestry landscapes be optimized? PLoS ONE 7: e47192. Kirby, K.R. and Potvin, C. (2007). Variation in carbon storage among tree species: implications for the management of a small-scale carbon sink project. For.Ecol. and Manag. 246: 208–221. Kitessa Hundera (2003). Floristic composition and structure of the Dodolla forest, Bale zone, Oromia Regional State. M.Sc thesis, Addis Ababa University 169 Kitessa Hundera., Aerts, R., Fontaine, A., Van Mechelen, M., Gijbels, P., Honnay, O. & Muys, B. (2013) Effects of coffee management intensity on composition, structure, and regeneration status of Ethiopian moist evergreen Afromontane forests. Env.Manag. 51: 801–809. Koetz, B., Morsdorf, F., Sun, G., Ranson, K. J., Itten, K. and Allgöwer, B. (2006). Inversion of a LiDAR waveform model for forest biophysical parameter estimation. IEEE Geosci. Remote Sens. Lett. 3, No.1: 49–53. Konemund, T., Hiwete Teshome and Samson Tolessa (2002). What alternatives do we have to bridge the gap between fuel-wood demand and supply in Ethiopia? In: Tibebura Hectett (ed.), Ethiopian Civil Society Preparation for tiotio. Kozlowski, T.T., Kramer, P.J. and Pallardy, S.G. (1991). The Physiological Ecology of Woody Plants. Academic Press, New York, 657 pp. Kriticos, D.J., Randall, R.P. (2001). A comparison of systems to analyse potential weed distributions.In: Groves RH, Panetta FD, Virtue JG, (eds). Weed Risk Assessment Melbourne: CSIRO Publishing. Kumelachew Yeshitela (2001). Loss of forest biodiversity associated with changes in land use the case of Chewaka-Utto tea plantation. Proceedings of a Workshop organized by Biological Society of Ethiopia Faculty of Science, Addis Ababa University. Kumelachew Yeshitela and Taye Bekele (2003). The woody species composition and structure of Masha Anderacha forest, Southwestern Ethiopia. J.Biol. Soci. Ethiop. 2 (1): 31– 48. 170 Lamprecht, H. (1989). Silviculture on the Tropics. Tropical forest ecosystems and their tree species – Possibilitiesand methods for their long term utilizations. Landon, J.R. (1996). Booker tropical soil manual. A hand book for soil survey and agriculture and evolution in the tropics and sub-tropics. Longman. Legesse Negash (1995). Indigenous trees of Ethiopia: Biology, uses and Propagation Techniques. SLU Reprocentralen, Umea, Sweden. 285pp. Martinez, M. L., Perez-Maqueo, O., Vazquez, G., Castillo-Campos, G., Garcı´aFranco, J., Mehltreter, K., Equihua, M., Landgrave, R. (2009). Effects of land use change on biodiversity and ecosystem services in tropical montane cloud forests of Mexico. For.Ecol. and Manag. 258: 1856–1863. Mass, J.M., Vose, J.M., Swank, W.T., Martinez-Yrizar, A. (1995). Seasonal changes of leaf area index (LAI) in a tropical deciduous forest in west Mexico. For. Ecol. and Manag.74: 171–180. McCune, B. and Mefford, M. J. (2006). PC-ORD. Multivariate Analysis of Ecological Data.Version 5.31.MjM Software, Gleneden Beach, Oregon, U.S.A. Midgley, G.F., Bond, W.J., Kapos, V., Ravilious, C., Scharlemann, J.P., Woodward, F.I. (2010). Terrestrial carbon stocks and biodiversity: key knowledge gaps and some policy implications. Cur. Opin. in Environ. Sust. 2: 1-7. Luo, Y., Su, B., Currie, W.S., Dukes, J.S., Finz, A., Hartwig, U., Hungate, B., Mcmurtrie, R.E., Oren, R., Parton, W.J., Pataki, D.E., Shaw, M.R., ZAK, D.R., and Field, C.B. (2004). Progressive Nitrogen Limitation of Ecosystem Responses to Rising Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide. BioSci. 54 No.8: 264-270. 171 Mittermeier, R.A., Robles, G.P., Hoffman, M., Pilgrim, J., Brooks, T., Mittermeier, C.G., Lamoreux, J. and da Fonseca, G.A.B. (2004). Hotspots Revisited. Mexico City, Mexico: CEMEX. Montagnini, F. and Nair, P.K.R. (2004). Carbon sequestration: An underexploited environmental benefit of agroforestry systems. Agrofor. Syst. 61: 281–295. Myers, N. (1998). Threatened biotas: hotspots in tropical forests. The Environmentalist, 8: 178–208. Myneni, R.B., Keellng, C.D., Tucker, C.J., Asrar, G. and Nemani, R.R. (1997). Increased plant growth in the northern high latitudes from 1981 to 1991. Nat. 386: 698–702. Nair, P. K. R., Nair, V. D. (2003). Carbon storage in North American agro-forestry systems.In: Kimble, J., Heath, L.S., Birdsey, R. A., Lal, R. (eds): The Potential of U.S. Forest Soils to Sequester Carbon and Mitigate the Greenhouse Effect. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 333–346pp. Neumann, H.H., Hartog, G.D. and Shaw, R.H. (1989). Leaf area measurements based on hemispheric photographs and leaf-litter collection in a deciduous forest during autumn leaf fall. Agr. For. Meteo. 45: 325-345. Norman, J.M. and Campbell, G.S. (1989). Canopy structure. In: R.W. Pearcy, H.A. Mooney, J.R. Ehleringer and P.W. Rundel (Eds), Physiological Plant Ecology: Field Methods and Instrumentation. Chapman and Hall, New York Marina, A. (2010). Maintaining ecological integrity and sustaining ecosystem function in urban areas. Cur. Opin. in Env. Sust. 2: 178–184. Newton, A.C. (2007). Forest Ecology and Conservation, A Hand book of techniques. Oxford University Press. 172 Niang, I., O.C. Ruppel, M.A. Abdrabo, A. Essel, C. Lennard, J. Padgham, and P. Urquhart (2014). Africa: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part B: Regional Aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In: Barros, V.R., C.B. Field, D.J. Dokken, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, T.E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K.L. Ebi, Y.O. Estrada, R.C. Genova, B. Girma, E.S. Kissel, A.N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P.R. Mastrandrea, and L.L. White (eds). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. Parmesan, C. and Yohe, G. (2003).A global coherent fingerprint of climate change impacts across natural systems. Nat. 421: 37–42. Peterson, A.T., Cohoon, K.P. (1999). Sensitivity of distributional prediction algorithms to geographic data completeness. Ecol.Model. 117: 154–164. Phillips, S.J., Anderson, R.P., Schapired, R.E. (2006). Maximum entropy modelling of species geographic distributions. Ecol. Model. 190: 231–259. Pimm, S.L., Jenkins, C. N., Abell, R., Brooks, T. M., Gittleman, J. L., Joppa, L. N., Raven, P. H., Roberts, C. M., Sexton, J. O. (2014). The biodiversity of species and their rates of extinction, distribution, and protection. Sci. 344, Issue 6187. DOI: 10.1126/science.1246752 Platts, J.P., Omeny, P.A. and Marchant, R. (2014). AFRICLIM: high-resolution climate projections for ecological applications in Africa. Afr.J. Ecol. 1-6. Platts, J.P., Gereau, R.E., Burgess, N.D., and Marchant, R. (2013). Spatial heterogeneity of climate change in an Afromontane centre of endemism. Ecogra. 36: 518–530. 173 Polhill, R.M. (2000). Phytolaccaceae.In: Edwards, S., Mesfin Tadesse, Sebsebe Demissew and Hedberg, I. (eds). Flora of Ethiopia and Eritrea, Magnoliaceae to Flacourtiaceae, Vol.2 part 1.Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Uppsala, Sweden Polzot, C.L. (2004). Carbon Storage in Coffee Agro-ecosystems of Southern Costa Rica: Potential applications for the Clean Development Mechanism. Master’s thesis, pp. 1-162. York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. Ponder, W. F., Carter, G. A., Flemons, P., and Chapman, R. R. (2001). Evaluation of museum collection data for use in biodiversity assessment. Cons. Biol.15: 648–657. Pounds, J.A., Fogden, M.P.L. and Campbell, J.H. (1999). Biological responses to climate change on a tropical mountain. Nat. 398: 611–615. R Core Team (2014). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria.http://www.Rproject.org/. Riedl and Edwards (2006). Boraginaceae. In: Hedberg, I., Ensermu Kelbessa, Edwards, S., Sebsebe Demissew and Persson, E. (eds). Flora of Ethiopia and Eritrea, Gentianaceae to Cyclocheilaceae, Vol.5, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, Uppsala, Sweden. Rutishauser, S. E. (2006). Increasing liana abundance and biomass in tropical forests: testing mechanistic explanations M.Sc. thesis, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wis, USA. Sala, O.E., Chapin, F.S., Armesto, J.J., Berlow, E., Bloomfield, J., Dirzo, R., HuberSanwald, E.,Huenneke ,L.F., Jackson, R.B.,Kinzig, A., Leemans, R., Lodge, 174 D.M., Mooney, H.A., Oesterheld, M.,Poff, N.L.,Sykes, M.T., Walker, B.H., Walker, M., Wall, D.M. (2000). Global Biodiversity Scenarios for the year 2100. Sci. 287: 1770–1774. Sarah Tewolde_Berhan; Fagertun, R.S., AbegazKebede, Judith, N., Abay Fetien and Trude, W. (2013).Ferric reducing antioxidant power and total phenols in Cordia africana fruit. Afr.J.Biochem.Res., 7(111): 215–2030. Schmitt, C.B., Senbeta, F., Denich, M., Preisinger, H. and Boehmer, H.J. (2010). Wild coffee management and plant diversity in the montane rainforest of southwestern Ethiopia. Afr. J. Ecol. 48: 78–86. Schmitt, C.B. (2006). Montane rainforest with wild Coffea arabica in the Bonga region (SW Ethiopia): plant diversity, wild coffee management and implications for conservation. Ecology and Development Series No. 47 Schmitt-Harsh, M., Evans, T.P., Castellanos, E. & Randolph, J.C. (2012) Carbon stocks in coffee agro-forests and mixed dry tropical forests in the western highlands of Guatemala. Agrofor. Syst. 86: 141–157. Schnitzer, S. A., Parren, M. P. E., and Bongers, F. (2004). Recruitment of lianas into logging gaps and the effects of pre-harvest climber cutting in a lowland forest in Cameroon. For.Ecol.and Manag. 190, no. 1: 87–98. Shannon, C.E. and Wiener, W. (1949). The Mathematical Theory of Communication. University of Illinois, Chicago, USA. Shibru Tedla and Kifle Lemma (1998). Environmental Management in Ethiopia: Have the National Conservation Plans Worked? Environmental Forum Publications Series No. 1. 175 Simon Shibru and Girma Balcha (2004). Composition, structure and regeneration status of woody species in Dindin Natural Forest, southeast Ethiopia: An implication for conservation. Ethiop. Biol. Sci. (1) 3: 15–35. Spehn, E.M., Rudmann-Maurer, K., Körner, C., Maselli, D. (2010). Mountain Biodiversity and Global Change. GMBA-DIVERSITAS, Basel Global Mountain Biodiversity Assessment (GMBA), Institute of Botany, University of Basel, Switzerland. Still, C. J., Foster, P. N. and Schneider, S. H. (1999). Simulating the effects of climate change on tropical montane cloud forests. Nat. 398: 608–610. Strassburg, B.B.N., Kelly, A., Balmford Davies, R.G., Gibbs, H.K., Lovett, A., Miles, L., Orme, C.D.L., Price, J., Turner, R.K., Rodrigues, A.S.L. (2010). Global congruence of carbon storage and biodiversity in terrestrial ecosystems. Cons. Lett. 3: 98–105. Tadesse Woldemariam (2003). Vegetation of the Yayu Forest in SW Ethiopia: impacts of human use and implications for in situ conservation of wild Coffea Arabica L. populations. Ecology and Development SeriesNo. 10, 2003, Cuvillier Verlag Göttingen. Tadesse Woldemariam and Feyera Senbeta (2008). Sustainable Management and Promotion of Forest Coffee in Bale, Ethiopia. Submitted to: Bale Eco-Region Sustainable Management Programme, SOS Sahel/FARM-Africa August 2008, Addis Ababa. Tadesse Woldemariam and Masresha Fetene (2007). Forests of Shaka: Ecological, social, legal and economic dimensions of recent land use/land cover change176 overview and synthesis. In: Masresha Fetene (ed). Forests of Shaka multidisciplinary case studies on impactsof land use/land cover changes, southwest Ethiopia, Melca Mahber (Movement for Ecological Learning and Community Action), Addis Ababa. Talbot, J.D. (2010). Carbon and biodiversity relationships in tropical forests.Multiple Benefits Series 4. Report prepared on behalf of the UN-REDD Programme.School of Geography, University of Leeds, Leeds / UNEP World Conservation Monitoring Centre. Cambridge, UK. Talemos Seta and Sebsebe Demissew (2014). Diversity and standing carbon stocks of native agro-forestry trees in Wenago District, Ethiopia. J. of Emerg. Trends in Engin. and Appl. Sci. (JETEAS) 5(7): 125-132. Tamrat Bekele (1993). Vegetation ecology of remnant afromontane forests on the Central plateau of Shewa, Ethiopia. Acta phytogeogr. Suec. 79: 1–59. Tamrat Bekele (1994). Phytosociology and ecology of a humid Afromontane forest in the central plateau of Ethiopia. J. Veg. Sci. 5: 87–98. Taye Bekele, Getachew Berhan, EliasTaye, Matheos Ersado, and Kumlachew Yeshitela (2001). Regeneration status of moist Montane Forests of Ethiopia: Consideration for conservation, part I: Boginda, Bonga, Masha - Anderacha and Yayu Forests. Walya 22: 45–60. Thomas, C.D., Cameron, A., Green, R.E., Bakkenes, M., Beaumont, L.J., Collingham, Y.C., Erasmus, B.F.,De Siquerira, M.F., Grainger, A., Hannah, L., Hoghes, L., Huntley, B., Van Jaarsveld, A.S., Midgley, G.F., Miles, L., Ortega-Huerta, M.A., Peterson, A.T.,Phillips, O.L., Williams, S.E. (2004). Extinction risk from climate change. Nat.427: 145–148. 177 Thornley, J. H. M. and Cannell, M. G. R. (2000). Managing forests for wood yield and carbon storage: a theoretical study. Tree Physio. 20: 477-484. Thulin, M. (1989). Fabaceae.In: Hedberg, I. and Edwards.S. Flora of Ethiopia, Pittosporaceae to Araliaceae. Vol.3. Addis Ababa and Asmara, Ethiopia, Uppsala, Sweden. Tian, H., Melillo, J.M., Kicklighter, D.W., McGuire, A.D., Helfrich, J.V.K., Berrien Moore, B. and Vörösmarty, C.J. (1998). Effect of interannual climate variability on carbon storage in Amazonian ecosystems. Nat. 396: 664–667. Tracy, B.F. and Sanderson, M.A. (2000).Patterns of plant species richness in pasture lands of the northeast United States. Plant Ecol. 149: 169–180. TROPICOS (Missouri Botanical Garden) (http://www.tropicos.org/). Accessed on March 25, 2014. UN (1992). Convention on Biological Diversity. https://www.cbd.int/doc/legal/cbden.pdf. Accessed on February 12, 2015. UNFPA (2009). State of World Population 2009. Facing a changing World: Women, Population and Climate. USITC (2005). Export Opportunities and Barriers in African Growth and Opportunity Act-Eligible Countries, pp. 347-384. Investigation No. 332-464, USITC Publication 3785. Washington DC, USA: United States International Trade Commission. Van Noordwijk, M., Rahayu, S., Hairiah, K., Wulan, Y.C., Farida, A., Verbist, B. (2002). Carbon stockassessment for a forest-to-coffee conversion landscape 178 in Sumber-Jaya (Lampung, Indonesia): fromallometric equations to land use change analysis. Sci. in China, 45: 76–86. Vivero, J. L., Ensermu Kelbessa and Sebsebe Demissew (2005). The Red List of Endemic Trees & Shrubs of Ethiopia and Eritrea.Fauna and Flora International, Cambridge, UK.23 pp. Walter, H. (1985). Vegetation of the earth and an ecological system of the geobiosphere, third ed.Berlin, Heidelberg, New York. 318 pp. Watson, D.J. (1947). Comparative physiological studies in the growth of field crops: I. Variation in net assimilation rate and leaf area between species and varieties, and within and between years. Ann. Bot. 11: 41-76. WBISPP (2005) A national strategy plan for the biomass sector. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Welk, E., Schubert, K., Hoffmann, M.H., 2002. Present and potential distribution of invasive mustard (Alliara petiolata) in North America. Divers. Distributions 8: 219–233. Wiersum, K.F., Tadesse Woldemariam Gole, Gatzweiler, F.W, Volkman, J., Bognetteau, E. and Wirtu, O. (2008). Certification of wild coffee in Ethiopia: Experiences and Challenges. Forests, Trees and Liveli. 18: 9–21. World Agro-forestry (2009). http://www.worldagroforestry.org/treedb/AFTPDFS/Cordia_africana.PDF Xavier, A.C. and Vettorazzi, C.A. (2003). Leaf area index of ground covers in a subtropical watershed. Sci. Agricola, 60 (3): 425–431. 179 Yitebitu Moges, Zewdu Eshetuand Sisay Nune (2010). Ethiopian Forestry Resources: Current status and future management options in view of access to carbon finance. Literature review prepared for the Ethiopian climate research and networking and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP), Addis Ababa Zanne, A.E., Lopez-Gonzalez, G., Coomes, D.A., Ilic, J., Jansen, S., Lewis, S.L., Miller, R.B., Swenson, N.G., Wiemann, M.C. and Chave, J. (2009). Data from: Towards a worldwide wood economics spectrum. Dryad Digital Repository, http://dx.doi.org/10.5061/dryad.234. Zheng G., Moskal L.M (2009). Retrieving Leaf Area Index (LAI) Using Remote Sensing: Theories, Methods and Sensors. Sensors, 9(4):2719-2745. 180 Appendices Appendix 1: Soil and Potential evapotranspiration data for the study plots in the Jimma Highlands (CEC = cation exchange capacity, OC = organic carbon, BLD = bulk density, PET = potential evapotranspiration) Land Use SFC 1 SFC 2 SFC 3 SFC 4 SFC 5 SFC 6 SFC 7 DNF1 DNF 2 DNF 3 DNF 4 Pasture 1 Pasture 2 Pasture 3 Pasture 4 Pasture 5 Woodland 1 Woodland 2 Woodland 3 Woodland 4 Cropland 1 Cropland 2 Cropland 3 Cropland 4 Cropland 4 Cropland 6 Cropland 7 Plantation 1 Plantation 2 Plantation 3 Plantation 4 Sand 33.500 36.167 35.000 35.500 34.833 32.167 32.333 32.167 34.167 34.333 33.500 30.167 28.333 31.500 30.833 32.000 36.167 33.000 32.333 33.500 32.167 32.333 33.667 30.833 30.667 33.010 32.510 33.000 32.167 31.167 32.500 Clay 37.667 37.333 37.833 40.333 38.833 43.667 41.167 43.667 37.667 38.167 41.333 42.333 43.333 42.500 43.500 42.167 37.333 39.833 41.000 39.500 42.333 41.167 41.167 43.500 41.333 39.833 43.657 42.167 42.333 42.167 43.667 Silt 28.667 26.833 27.000 23.833 26.500 24.167 26.667 24.167 27.667 27.667 25.333 27.167 27.833 25.833 25.667 25.833 26.833 26.833 26.667 26.667 25.333 26.667 25.333 25.667 27.833 26.833 24.000 24.667 25.333 26.667 24.000 181 PH 5.067 5.617 5.467 5.517 5.567 5.267 5.433 5.317 4.983 5.017 4.983 5.567 5.483 5.517 5.367 5.683 5.283 5.533 5.567 5.467 5.067 5.433 5.567 5.633 5.383 5.533 5.257 5.017 5.067 5.266 5.267 CEC (ds/m) 0.202 0.222 0.225 0.233 0.235 0.253 0.233 0.253 0.192 0.198 0.193 0.242 0.263 0.223 0.253 0.243 0.222 0.243 0.210 0.238 0.200 0.233 0.232 0.253 0.203 0.243 0.261 0.203 0.200 0.220 0.262 OC (kg) 18.667 16.833 16.167 18.833 17.500 21.667 18.667 21.667 17.833 18.833 18.667 22.000 22.000 17.833 18.667 22.500 16.833 17.167 20.167 18.833 17.333 18.667 19.333 18.667 20.167 17.167 23.001 18.833 17.333 22.167 23.000 BLD (kg) 1138.500 1133.333 1127.167 1134.167 1108.500 1158.500 1195.833 1158.500 1164.167 1124.167 1147.667 1161.833 1152.000 1157.833 1186.833 1159.833 1133.333 1084.667 1226.833 1095.833 1128.167 1195.833 1136.333 1186.833 1178.333 1084.667 1119.657 1137.833 1128.167 1249.833 1119.667 PET (mm) 1674 1759 1811 1818 1726 1814 1715 1755 1655 1650 1655 1748 1785 1826 1823 1785 1663 1674 1718 1715 1674 1807 1795 1826 1795 1718 1748 1759 1816 1814 1795 Appendix 2: Species list, percent and relative frequencies in the DNF S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 Species name (in DNF) Acanthus eminens Achyranthes aspera Adiantum poiretii Ageratum conyzoides Albizia gummifera Albizia schimperiana Allophylus abyssinicus Allophylus macrobotrys Apodytes dimidiata Arthraxon micans Asparagus racemosus Asplenium aethiopicum Asplenium formosum Bersama abyssinica Bidens pilosa Brucea antidysenterica Calpurnia aurea Canthium oligocarpum Carissa spinarum Cassipourea malosana Celtis africana Chionanthus mildbraedii Cissus petiolata Clausena anisata Coffea arabica Combretum paniculatum Conyza bonariensis Cordia africana Crassocephalum rubens Croton macrostachyus Cynodon aethiopicus Cyphostemma cyphopetalum Dalbergia lactea Desmodium repandum Dichrocephala integrifolia Doryopteris concolor Dracaena afromontana Dracaena steudneri Family Acanthaceae Amaranthaceae Adiantaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Sapindaceae Sapindaceae Icacinaceae Poaceae Asparagaceae Aspleniaceae Aspleniaceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae Simaroubaceae Fabaceae Rubiaceae Apocynaceae Rhizophoraceae Ulmaceae Oleaceae Vitaceae Rutaceae Rubiaceae Combretaceae Asteraceae Boraginaceae Asteraceae Euphorbiaceae Poaceae Vitaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Asteraceae Sinopteridaceae Dracaenaceae Dracaenaceae 182 Growth form Freq %Freq R.F 75 0.011 S 3 75 0.011 H 3 100 0.014 H 4 50 0.007 H 2 T 4 100 0.014 T 2 50 0.007 T 4 100 0.014 S 2 50 0.007 T 3 75 0.011 50 0.007 H 2 75 0.011 S 3 75 0.011 H 3 75 0.011 H 3 100 0.014 T 4 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 25 0.004 T 1 50 0.007 T 2 S 3 75 0.011 T 1 25 0.004 100 0.014 T 4 S 2 50 0.007 L 2 50 0.007 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 L 2 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 H 2 100 0.014 T 4 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 100 0.014 H 4 75 0.011 H 3 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 S.N 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Species name (in DNF) Droguetia iners Ehretia cymosa Ekebergia capensis Embelia schimperi Eremomastax speciosa Erythrococca trichogyne Ficus sur Flacourtia indica Galiniera saxifraga Geranium aculeolatum Gouania longispicata Grewia ferruginea Hippocratea goetzei Hypoestes forskaullii Impatiens aethiopica Isoglossa somalensis Jasminum abyssinicum Jasminum repandum Laggera crispata Landolphia buchananii Loxogramme abyssinica Macaranga capensis Maesa lanceolata Maytenus arbutifolia Maytenus gracilipes Maytenus undata Microsorium scolopendria Mikaniopsis clematoides Millettia ferruginea Myrsine africana Nuxia congesta Ocimum urticifolium Olea welwitschii Oplismenus compositus Oplismenus hirtellus Oxyanthus speciosus Passiflora edulis Paullinia pinnata Peperomia abyssinica Family Urticaceae Boraginaceae Meliaceae Myrsinaceae Acanthaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Flacourtiaceae Rubiaceae Geraniaceae Rhamnaceae Proteaceae Celastraceae Acanthaceae Balsaminaceae Acanthaceae Oleaceae Oleaceae Asteraceae Apocynaceae Polypodiaceae Euphorbiaceae Myrsinaceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Polypodiaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Myrsinaceae Loganiaceae Lamiaceae Oleaceae Poaceae Poaceae Rubiaceae Passifolraceae Sapindaceae Piperaceae 183 Growth form Freq %Freq R.F 75 0.011 H 3 T 2 50 0.007 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 T 2 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 H 2 75 0.011 L 3 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 L 2 50 0.007 H 2 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 L 4 100 0.014 L 3 75 0.011 50 0.007 H 2 100 0.014 L 4 75 0.011 H 3 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 T 2 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 T 2 S 2 50 0.007 25 0.004 T 1 S 2 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 H 3 75 0.011 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 L 2 50 0.007 L 2 100 0.014 H 4 S.N 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 Species name (in DNF) Peperomia tetraphyla Pergularia daemia Periploca linearifolia Phoenix reclinata Phyllanthus mooneyi Phytolacca dodecandra Piper capense Podocarpus falcatus Polyscias fulva Pouzolzia mixta Prunus africana Psychotria orophila Rhamnus prinoides Rothmannia urcelliformis Rubus steudneri Rumex natalensis Rytigynia neglecta Sanicula elata Schefflera abyssinica Senna didymobotrya Setaria megaphylla Setaria verticillata Solanecio gigas Solanecio mannii Solanum anguivi Solanum giganteum Stephania abyssinica Syzygium guineense Teclea nobilis Tectaria gemmifera Tragia cinerea Trichilia dregeana Urera hypselodendron Vangueria apiculata Vepris dainellii Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia biafrae Family Piperaceae Asclepiadaceae Asclepiadaceae Arecaceae Euphorbiaceae Phytolacaeae Pinaceae Lamiaceae Podocarpaceae Araliaceae Lamiaceae Myrtaceae Ranunculaceae Capparidaceae Rosaceae Rosaceae Polygonaceae Rubiaceae Lamiaceae Oleaceae Fabaceae Poaceae Malvaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Solanaceae Caryophyllaceae Bignoniaceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Ranunculaceae Euphorbiaceae Tiliaceae Urticaceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae 184 Growth form Freq %Freq R.F 100 0.014 H 4 H 2 50 0.007 50 0.007 L 2 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 H 2 50 0.007 S 2 75 0.011 S 3 100 0.014 T 4 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 T 2 75 0.011 S 3 50 0.007 T 2 S 3 75 0.011 H 2 50 0.007 S 3 75 0.011 H 3 75 0.011 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 S 2 75 0.011 H 3 50 0.007 H 2 75 0.011 S 3 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 H 2 100 0.014 T 4 50 0.007 T 2 H 2 50 0.007 50 0.007 H 2 T 2 50 0.007 L 2 50 0.007 T 2 50 0.007 75 0.011 T 3 50 0.007 S 2 50 0.007 S 2 Appendix 3: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) in the woodland S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Species name (in woodland) Acacia abyssinica Acacia lahai Acalypha racemosa Acanthus pubescens Achyranthes aspera Aeschynomene schimperi Ageratum conyzoides Ajuga integrifolia Albizia gummifera Amphicarpa africana Arthropteris monocarpa Aspilia mossambicensis Asplenium formosum Berkheya spekeana Bidens pilosa Bidens prestinaria Bridelia micrantha Buchnera hispida Caesalpinia decapetala Calpurnia aurea Cardiospermum halicacabum Carissa spinarum Cissus petiolata Clausena anisata Clematis cadatus Clematis longicauda Clematis simensis Clerodendron myricoides Coelorhachis afraurita Coffea arabica Combretum collinum Combretum molle Combretum paniculatum Commelina diffusa Cordia africana Croton macrostachyus Cuscuta campestris Family Fabaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Acanthaceae Amaranthaceae Fabaceae Asteraceae Lamiaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Oleandraceae Asteraceae Aspleniaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Euphorbiaceae Scrophulariaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Sapindaceae Apocynaceae Vitaceae Rutaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Lamiaceae Poaceae Rubiaceae Combretaceae Combretaceae Combretaceae Commelinaceae Boraginaceae Euphorbiaceae Cuscutaceae 185 GF Freq %Freq R.F 100 0.35 T 4 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 S 4 100 0.35 H 3 75 0.26 50 0.17 H 2 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 100 0.35 H 4 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 25 0.09 S 1 50 0.17 T 2 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 25 0.09 S 1 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 H 2 T 3 75 0.26 T 3 75 0.26 H 2 50 0.17 S.N 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Species name (in woodland) Cyathula uncinulatA Cycnium herzfeldianum Cynodon aethiopicus Cyperus welwitschii Cyphostemma cyphopetalum Cyprus triceps Desmodium repandum Desmodium salisifolium Dichondra repens Dicliptera laxata Dioscorea bulbifera Entada abyssinica Erythrina brucei Euphorbia cyparissioides Euphorbia tirucalli Ficus mucuso Ficus sp. Ficus sur Ficus sycamoras Ficus thonningii Ficus vasta Flacourtia indica Galinsoga parviflora Gardenia volkensii Girardinia diversifolia Gnidia glauca Grewia ferruginea Guizotia schimperi Helinus mystacinus Helychrysum forskaulii Hibiscus berberidifolius Hibiscus dongolensis Hippocratea goetzei Hyparrhenia rufa Hypericum peplidifolium Hypericum revolutum Hypolepis glandulifera Indigofera spicata Justicia ladanoides Keetia guiinzii Family Amaranthaceae Scrophulariaceae Poaceae Cyperaceae Vitaceae Cyperaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Convolvulaceae Acanthaceae Dioscoreaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Flacourtiaceae Asteraceae Rubiaceae Urticaceae Thymelaeaceae Proteaceae Asteraceae Rhamnaceae Asteraceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Celastraceae Poaceae Hypericaceae Hypericaceae Dennstaedtiaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Rubiaceae 186 GF Freq %Freq R.F H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 H 3 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 H 3 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 100 0.35 T 4 25 0.09 T 1 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 25 0.09 T 1 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 S 3 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 L 2 50 0.17 H 1 25 0.09 50 0.17 S 2 S 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 L 2 75 0.26 H 3 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 S 2 50 0.17 S.N 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 Species name (in woodland) Laggera crispata Lantana trifolium Leucas martinicensis Lippia adoensis Maesa lanceolata Mikaniopsis clematoides Millettia ferruginea Momordica foetida Ocimum lamiifolium Ocimum urticifolium Oplismenus compositus Otostegia tomentosa Passiflora edulis Pavonia urens Pennisetum sphacelatum Phoenix reclinata Phyllanthus ovalifolius Premna schimperi Pseudarthria hookeri Psidium guajava Pychnostachys emini Pycnostachys abyssinica Pycreus nitida Rhamnus prinoides Rhoicissus tridentata Rhus natalensis Ricinus communis Rothmannia urcelliformis Rubus steudneri Rumex natalensis Sapium ellipticum Satureja paradoxa Senna didymobotrya Senna occidentalis Senna petersiana Sesbania sesban Sicyos polyacanthus Sida schimperiana Sida tenuicarpa Sida ternata Family Asteraceae Verbenaceae Lamiaceae Verbenaceae Myrsinaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Cucurbitaceae Lamiaceae Lamiaceae Poaceae Lamiaceae Passifolraceae Malvaceae Poaceae Arecaceae Euphorbiaceae Urticaceae Rosaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Lamiaceae Lamiaceae Ranunculaceae Rhamnaceae Vitaceae Anacardiaceae Capparidaceae Rosaceae Rosaceae Apiaceae Euphorbiaceae Oleaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Malvaeae Poaceae Cucurbitaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae 187 GF Freq %Freq R.F H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 S 3 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 25 0.09 L 1 S 3 75 0.26 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 L 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 25 0.09 T 1 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 T 2 H 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 T 3 25 0.09 T 1 25 0.09 H 1 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 S 2 H 2 50 0.17 S.N 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 Species name (in woodland) Solanum capsicoides Solanum giganteum Solanum incanum Stachys albigena Stereospermum kunthianum Syzygium guineense Terminalia schimperiana Tragia cinerea Triumfetta pilosa Vangueria apiculata Vernonia adoensis Vernonia amygdalina Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia hochstetteri Vernonia ischnophylla Vernonia karaguensis Vernonia theophrastifolia Vernonia thomsoniana Veronica abyssinica Family Solanaceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Poaceae Menispermaceae Bignoniaceae Tectariaceae Ranunculaceae Moraceae Urticaceae Rutaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae 188 GF Freq %Freq R.F S 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 75 0.26 S 3 50 0.17 H 2 75 0.26 T 3 50 0.17 T 2 100 0.35 T 4 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 H 2 50 0.17 T 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 T 2 100 0.35 S 4 S 2 50 0.17 S 3 75 0.26 S 2 50 0.17 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 S 2 50 0.17 H 2 Appendix 4: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) in the cropland S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Species name (in cropland) Acacia abyssinica Acanthus pubescens Achyranthes aspera Ageratum conyzoides Ajuga integrifolia Albizia gummifera Alchemila pedata Alectra sessiliflora Amaranthus hybridus Amaranthus sparganiocephalus Arthraxon micans Bersama abyssinica Bidens pilosa Bidens prestinaria Brassica carinata Brucea antidysenterica Calpurnia aurea Caylusea abyssinica Celtis africana Chenopodium ambrosioides Cirsium dender Cissampelos mucronata Clematis cadatus Clematis simensis Coelorhachis afraurita Combretum collinum Commelina diffusa Commelina imberbis Conyza bonariensis Cordia africana Crassocephalum macropappum Croton macrostachyus Cuscuta campestris Cyathula uncinulatA Cycnium herzfeldianum Cynodon aethiopicus Dalbergia lactea Family Fabaceae Acanthaceae Amaranthaceae Asteraceae Lamiaceae Fabaceae Rosaceae Scrophulariaceae Amaranthaceae Amaranthaceae Poaceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Brassicaceae Simaroubaceae Fabaceae Resedaceae Ulmaceae Chenopodiaceae Asteraceae Menispermaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Poaceae Combretaceae Commelinaceae Commelinaceae Asteraceae Boraginaceae Asteraceae Euphorbiaceae Cuscutaceae Amaranthaceae Scrophulariaceae Poaceae Fabaceae 189 GF T S H H H T H H H H H T H H H S T H T H H H L L H T H H H T H T H H H H S Freq %Freq R.F 71 0.022 5 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 7 100 0.030 2 29 0.009 57 0.017 4 3 43 0.013 2 29 0.009 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 43 0.013 3 57 0.017 4 43 0.013 3 43 0.013 3 43 0.013 3 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 71 0.022 5 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 71 0.022 5 2 29 0.009 5 71 0.022 2 29 0.009 S.N 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Species name (in cropland) Datura stramonium Dichondra repens Dioscorea bulbifera Echium plantagineum Ehretia cymosa Erythrina brucei Euphorbia tirucalli Ficus mucuso Ficus sp. Ficus sur Galinsoga parviflora Glycine wightii Guizotia schimperi Hibiscus dongolensis Hygrophila asteracanthoide Hyparrhenia rufa Indigofera spicata Justicia ladanoides Laggera crispata Leucas martinicensis Lippia adoensis Maesa lanceolata Maytenus gracilipes Millettia ferruginea Momordica foetida Nicandra physaloides Ocimum urticifolium Pavonia glechomifolia Pavonia urens Pennisetum nubicum Phyllanthus mooneyi Physalis peruviana Phytolacca dodecandra Plantago lanceolata Ritchiea albersii Rumex natalensis Sapium ellipticum Satureja paradoxa Schefflera abyssinica Senna didymobotrya Family Solanaceae Convolvulaceae Dioscoreaceae Boraginaceae Boraginaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Asteraceae Malvaceae Acanthaceae Poaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Asteraceae Lamiaceae Verbenaceae Myrsinaceae Celastraceae Fabaceae Cucurbitaceae Solanaceae Lamiaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Poaceae Euphorbiaceae Solanaceae Phytolacaeae Pittosporaceae Euphorbiaceae Rosaceae Apiaceae Euphorbiaceae Lamiaceae Oleaceae 190 GF H H H H T T T T T T H H H S H H S H H H S T S T H H S H S H H H S H T H T H T S Freq %Freq R.F 3 43 0.013 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 14 0.004 1 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 14 0.004 1 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 71 0.022 5 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 57 0.017 4 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 29 0.009 2 2 29 0.009 57 0.017 4 57 0.017 4 14 0.004 1 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 3 43 0.013 S.N 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Species name (in cropland) Sida schimperiana Sida tenuicarpa Solanecio gigas Solanum incanum Soncus asper Stereospermum kunthianum Tagetes minuta Terminalia schimperiana Tragia cinerea Triumfetta rhomboidea Vernonia amygdalina Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia ischnophylla Veronica abyssinica Family Cucurbitaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Menispermaceae Myrtaceae Tectariaceae Ranunculaceae Tiliaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae 191 GF S S S S H T H T H H T S S H Freq %Freq R.F 2 29 0.009 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 43 0.013 3 43 0.013 3 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 29 0.009 2 57 0.017 4 29 0.009 2 2 29 0.009 Appendix 5: Species list, Growth form (GF), percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in the SFC S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Species name (in SFC) Celtis africana Coffea arabica Ehretia cymosa Achyranthes aspera Albizia gummifera Cordia africana Croton macrostachyus Desmodium repandum Vepris dainellii Vernonia amygdalina Vernonia auriculifera Clausena anisata Maesa lanceolata Oplismenus compositus Vangueria apiculata Acacia abyssinica Acanthus eminens Ageratum conyzoides Allophylus abyssinicus Bidens pilosa Cyathula uncinulatA Erythrococca trichogyne Girardinia diversifolia Millettia ferruginea Pentas lanceolata Peperomia abyssinica Rytigynia neglecta Sapium ellipticum Allophylus macrobotrys Bersama abyssinica Bidens prestinaria Calpurnia aurea Clematis hirsuta Diospyros abyssinica Dracaena steudneri Ficus thonningii Ficus vasta Family Ulmaceae Rubiaceae Boraginaceae Amaranthaceae Fabaceae Boraginaceae Euphorbiaceae Fabaceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Myrsinaceae Poaceae Urticaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Asteraceae Sapindaceae Asteraceae Amaranthaceae Euphorbiaceae Urticaceae Fabaceae Rubiaceae Piperaceae Polygonaceae Apiaceae Sapindaceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Ranunculaceae Ebenaceae Dracaenaceae Moraceae Moraceae 192 GF Freq %Freq R.F 100 0.017 T 7 100 0.017 S 7 100 0.017 T 7 H 6 86 0.015 T 6 86 0.015 86 0.015 T 6 T 6 86 0.015 H 6 86 0.015 86 0.015 T 6 86 0.015 T 6 86 0.015 S 6 71 0.012 S 5 71 0.012 T 5 71 0.012 H 5 71 0.012 T 5 57 0.010 T 4 57 0.010 S 4 57 0.010 H 4 57 0.010 T 4 57 0.010 H 4 H 4 57 0.010 S 4 57 0.010 57 0.010 H 4 57 0.010 T 4 57 0.010 S 4 57 0.010 H 4 57 0.010 S 4 57 0.010 T 4 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 L 3 43 0.007 T 3 T 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 S.N 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Species name (in SFC) Flacourtia indica Hypoestes aristata Impatiens aethiopica Justicia schimperiana Maytenus arbutifolia Maytenus gracilipes Ocimum lamiifolium Pavonia urens Pergularia daemia Phyllanthus ovalifolius Phytolacca dodecandra Pittosporum viridiflorum Prunus africana Ritchiea albersii Rubus steudneri Sicyos polyacanthus Sida tenuicarpa Stephania abyssinica Tragia cinerea Acalypha racemosa Achyrospermum schimperi Adenostemma perottettii Albizia schimperiana Ampelocissus bombycina Arthropteris monocarpa Asparagus racemosus Aspilia mossambicensis Asplenium aethiopicum Asplenium formosum Bridelia micrantha Caesalpinia decapetala Celosia anthelminthica Celosia trigyna Ceropegia racemosa Chenopodium ambrosioides Chionanthus mildbraedii Cissampelos mucronata Commelina diffusa Crassocephalum macropappum Crotalaria emarginella Family Flacourtiaceae Acanthaceae Balsaminaceae Acanthaceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Lamiaceae Malvaceae Asclepiadaceae Euphorbiaceae Phytolacaeae Piperaceae Lamiaceae Euphorbiaceae Rosaceae Poaceae Malvaceae Caryophyllaceae Ranunculaceae Euphorbiaceae Lamiaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Vitaceae Oleandraceae Asparagaceae Asteraceae Aspleniaceae Aspleniaceae Euphorbiaceae Fabaceae Amaranthaceae Amaranthaceae Asclepiadaceae Chenopodiaceae Oleaceae Menispermaceae Commelinaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae 193 GF Freq %Freq R.F T 3 43 0.007 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 T 3 43 0.007 T 3 T 3 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 43 0.007 S 3 43 0.007 H 3 43 0.007 H 3 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 S 2 H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 H 2 29 0.005 S.N 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 Species name (in SFC) Cyphostemma cyphopetalum Dalbergia lactea Desmodium dichotomum Dicliptera laxata Doryopteris concolor Dracaena afromontana Droguetia iners Ekebergia capensis Ensete ventricosum Eremomastax speciosa Euphorbia candelabrum Ficus sp. Ficus sur Galiniera saxifraga Galinsoga parviflora Geranium aculeolatum Grewia ferruginea Guizotia schimperi Hibiscus berberidifolius Hippocratea goetzei Indigofera spicata Isoglossa somalensis Justicia ladanoides Laggera crispata Leucas martinicensis Loxogramme abyssinica Microsorium scolopendria Momordica foetida Ocimum urticifolium Pavonia glechomifolia Pennisetum nubicum Peperomia tetraphyla Phoenix reclinata Physalis peruviana Podocarpus falcatus Polyscias fulva Premna schimperi Pseudarthria hookeri Psydrax schimperiana Pteris pteridioides Family Vitaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Sinopteridaceae Dracaenaceae Urticaceae Meliaceae Musaceae Acanthaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Geraniaceae Proteaceae Asteraceae Malvaceae Celastraceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Acanthaceae Asteraceae Lamiaceae Polypodiaceae Polypodiaceae Cucurbitaceae Lamiaceae Malvaceae Poaceae Piperaceae Arecaceae Solanaceae Lamiaceae Podocarpaceae Urticaceae Rosaceae Rubiaceae Rubiaceae 194 GF Freq %Freq R.F H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 T 2 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 L 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 H 2 H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 H 2 29 0.005 S.N 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 Species name (in SFC) Pterolobium stellatum Pycnostachys abyssinica Ranunculus multifidus Ricinus communis Rothmannia urcelliformis Sanicula elata Schefflera abyssinica Senna occidentalis Senna petersiana Senra incana Setaria verticillata Sida schimperiana Solanecio gigas Solanum anguivi Solanum incanum Soncus asper Stellaria mannii Syzygium guineense Teclea nobilis Tectaria gemmifera Thalictrum rhynchocarpum Trichilia dregeana Trilepisium madagascariense Triumfetta pilosa Triumfetta rhomboidea Urera hypselodendron Vernonia karaguensis Apodytes dimidiata Cassipourea malosana Ficus mucuso Gouania longispicata Kosteletzkya begoniifolia Olea welwitschii Psidium guajava Schrebera alata Family Pteridaceae Lamiaceae Pyperaceae Anacardiaceae Capparidaceae Rubiaceae Lamiaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Poaceae Cucurbitaceae Malvaceae Asteraceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Lamiaceae Bignoniaceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Combretaceae Euphorbiaceae Meliaceae Moraceae Tiliaceae Tiliaceae Asteraceae Icacinaceae Rhizophoraceae Moraceae Rhamnaceae Malvaceae Oleaceae Fabaceae Araliaceae 195 GF Freq %Freq R.F S 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 S 2 S 2 29 0.005 S 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 T 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 H 2 29 0.005 L 2 29 0.005 S 2 14 0.002 T 1 T 1 14 0.002 T 1 14 0.002 14 0.002 L 1 H 1 14 0.002 14 0.002 T 1 14 0.002 T 1 14 0.002 T 1 Appendix 6: Species list, Growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in pastureland S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 Species name (in pasture land) Acacia abyssinica Acanthus pubescens Achyranthes aspera Aeschynomene schimperi Ageratum conyzoides Albizia gummifera Allophylus macrobotrys Amaranthus hybridus Amaranthus sparganiocephalus Apodytes dimidiata Asplenium formosum Bauhinia tomentosa Becium verticillifolium Berkheya spekeana Bersama abyssinica Bidens pilosa Bridelia micrantha Buchnera hispida Cardiospermum halicacabum Cirsium dender Clausena anisata Clematis hirsuta Clematis longicauda Clematis simensis Combretum collinum Combretum paniculatum Commelina imberbis Conyza bonariensis Crossopteryx febrifuga Croton macrostachyus Cyathula uncinulatA Cynodon aethiopicus Cyperus digitatus Cyprus triceps Desmodium dichotomum Desmodium repandum Dichondra repens Family Fabaceae Acanthaceae Amaranthaceae Fabaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Sapindaceae Amaranthaceae Amaranthaceae Icacinaceae Aspleniaceae Fabaceae Lamiaceae Asteraceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae Euphorbiaceae Scrophulariaceae Sapindaceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Combretaceae Combretaceae Commelinaceae Asteraceae Rubiaceae Euphorbiaceae Amaranthaceae Poaceae Cyperaceae Cyperaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Convolvulaceae 196 GF Freq %Freq R.F T 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 H 5 100 0.407 T 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 1 20 0.081 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 T 3 60 0.244 L 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 3 60 0.244 H 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 4 80 0.325 S.N 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 Species name (in pasture land) Digitaria abyssinica Digitaria ternata Doryopteris concolor Ehretia cymosa Entada abyssinica Euphorbia cyparissioides Euphorbia schimperiana Ficus thonningii Ficus vasta Flacourtia indica Galinsoga parviflora Gardenia volkensii Glycine wightii Gnidia glauca Grewia ferruginea Guizotia schimperi Helinus mystacinus Helychrysum forskaulii Hygrophila asteracanthoide Hyparrhenia rufa Hypericum peplidifolium Justicia ladanoides Keetia guiinzii Keetia zanzibarica Laggera alata Laggera crispata Lantana trifolium Lippia adoensis Maesa lanceolata Maytenus arbutifolia Maytenus senegalensis Micractis bojeri Nephrolepis undulata Ocimum urticifolium Oplismenus compositus Oplismenus hirtellus Otostegia tomentosa Paullinia pinnata Pavonia urens Pennisetum sphacelatum Family Poaceae Poaceae Sinopteridaceae Boraginaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Flacourtiaceae Asteraceae Rubiaceae Fabaceae Thymelaeaceae Proteaceae Asteraceae Rhamnaceae Asteraceae Acanthaceae Poaceae Hypericaceae Acanthaceae Rubiaceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Verbenaceae Verbenaceae Myrsinaceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Asteraceae Nephrolepidaceae Lamiaceae Poaceae Poaceae Lamiaceae Sapindaceae Malvaceae Poaceae 197 GF Freq %Freq R.F H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 T 3 60 0.244 T 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 S 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 1 20 0.081 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 T 3 60 0.244 T 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 S 3 60 0.244 H 2 40 0.163 S.N 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 Species name (in pasture land) Pentas lanceolata Persicaria setosula Phoenix reclinata Phyllanthus mooneyi Phyllanthus ovalifolius Plectranthus punctatus Premna schimperi Prunus africana Pterolobium stellatum Pychnostachys emini Pycreus nitida Ranunculus multifidus Rhamnus prinoides Rhoicissus tridentata Rhus natalensis Rubus apetalus Rubus steudneri Rytigynia neglecta Sapium ellipticum Satureja paradoxa Senna petersiana Sida schimperiana Sida ternata Solanum anguivi Solanum dasyphyllum Solanum incanum Sporobolus africanus Syzygium guineense Vangueria apiculata Vernonia adoensis Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia hochstetteri Vernonia ischnophylla Vernonia ituriensis Vernonia theophrastifolia Xanthium strumanium Family Rubiaceae Polygonaceae Arecaceae Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Plantaginaceae Urticaceae Lamiaceae Pteridaceae Fabaceae Lamiaceae Pyperaceae Ranunculaceae Rhamnaceae Vitaceae Rubiaceae Rosaceae Polygonaceae Apiaceae Euphorbiaceae Fabaceae Cucurbitaceae Malvaceae Asteraceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Asteraceae Bignoniaceae Urticaceae Rutaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Scrophulariaceae 198 GF Freq %Freq R.F S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 T 1 20 0.081 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 L 2 40 0.163 S 3 60 0.244 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 T 3 60 0.244 H 4 80 0.325 T 2 40 0.163 S 4 80 0.325 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 T 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 3 60 0.244 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 S 2 40 0.163 H 2 40 0.163 Appendix 7: Species list, family, growth form (GF) percent and relative frequencies (%freq, R.F) of plant species in plantation forests of Jimma Highlands S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Species name (in plantation forest) Acacia abyssinica Achyranthes aspera Ageratum conyzoides Albizia gummifera Apodytes dimidiata Bersama abyssinica Bidens pilosa Brucea antidysenterica Calpurnia aurea Celtis africana Cirsium dender Clausena anisata Clutia lanceolata Forssk. Commelina diffusa Cordia africana Croton macrostachyus Cupressus lucitanica Cyathula uncinulatA Dalbergia lactea Dichondra repens Ehretia cymosa Ekebergia capensis Erythrococca trichogyne Eucalyptus camaldulensis Euphorbia schimperiana Ficus sur Ficus thonningii Flacourtia indica Galinsoga parviflora Girardinia diversifolia Gouania longispicata Grevillea robusta Guizotia schimperi Hippocratea goetzei Hypoestes forskaullii Jasminum abyssinicum Family Fabaceae Amaranthaceae Asteraceae Fabaceae Icacinaceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae Simaroubaceae Fabaceae Ulmaceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Euphorbiaceae Commelinaceae Boraginaceae Euphorbiaceae Cupressaceae Amaranthaceae Fabaceae Convolvulaceae Boraginaceae Meliaceae Euphorbiaceae Myrtaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Flacourtiaceae Asteraceae Urticaceae Rhamnaceae Tiliaceae Asteraceae Celastraceae Acanthaceae Oleaceae 199 GF T H H T T T H S T T H S S H T T T H S H T T S T H T T T H H L T H L H L Freq %Freq R.F 25 0.006 1 75 0.018 3 75 0.018 3 75 0.018 3 25 0.006 1 75 0.018 3 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 4 100 0.024 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 75 0.018 3 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 75 0.018 3 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 75 0.018 3 2 50 0.012 S.N 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 Species name (in plantation forest) Justicia ladanoides Kalanchoe petitiana Laggera alata Laggera crispata Lantana trifolium Leucas martinicensis Macaranga capensis Maesa lanceolata Maytenus gracilipes Myrsine africana Ocimum lamiifolium Ocimum urticifolium Olea welwitschii Oplismenus compositus Pentas lanceolata Peperomia abyssinica Peperomia tetraphyla Pergularia daemia Phoenix reclinata Phyllanthus mooneyi Phyllanthus ovalifolius Pinus patula Pittosporum viridiflorum Plantago lanceolata Premna schimperi Pterolobium stellatum Rothmannia urcelliformis Rubus steudneri Rytigynia neglecta Sapium ellipticum Satureja paradoxa Senna didymobotrya Sida schimperiana Solanecio mannii Solanum incanum Syzygium guineense Tagetes minuta Tectaria gemmifera Thalictrum rhynchocarpum Family Acanthaceae Crassulaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Verbenaceae Lamiaceae Euphorbiaceae Myrsinaceae Celastraceae Myrsinaceae Lamiaceae Lamiaceae Oleaceae Poaceae Rubiaceae Piperaceae Piperaceae Asclepiadaceae Arecaceae Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Asteraceae Piperaceae Pittosporaceae Urticaceae Pteridaceae Capparidaceae Rosaceae Polygonaceae Apiaceae Euphorbiaceae Oleaceae Cucurbitaceae Asteraceae Solanaceae Bignoniaceae Myrtaceae Rutaceae Combretaceae 200 GF H H H H S H T T S S S S T H S H H H T H S T T H S S T S S T H S S T S T H H H Freq %Freq R.F 75 0.018 3 3 75 0.018 100 0.024 4 50 0.012 2 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 100 0.024 4 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 25 0.006 1 75 0.018 3 3 75 0.018 3 75 0.018 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 50 0.012 2 75 0.018 3 50 0.012 2 25 0.006 1 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 75 0.018 3 75 0.018 3 2 50 0.012 75 0.018 3 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 1 25 0.006 50 0.012 2 25 0.006 1 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 50 0.012 2 S.N 76 77 78 79 Species name (in plantation forest) Vangueria apiculata Vepris dainellii Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia ituriensis Family Urticaceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae 201 GF T T S S Freq %Freq R.F 50 0.012 2 1 25 0.006 100 0.024 4 50 0.012 2 Appendix 8: List of plant species in all study plots along the transect in the Jimma Highlands S.N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 Species name (All Plots) Acacia abyssinica Acacia lahai Acalypha racemosa Acanthus pubescens Acanthus eminens Achyranthes aspera Achyrospermum schimperi Adenostemma perottettii Adiantum poiretii Aeschynomene schimperi Ageratum conyzoides Ajuga integrifolia Albizia gummifera Albizia schimperiana Alchemila pedata Alectra sessiliflora Allophylus abyssinicus Allophylus macrobotrys Amaranthus hybridus Amaranthus sparganiocephalus Ampelocissus bombycina Amphicarpa africana Apodytes dimidiata Arthraxon micans Arthropteris monocarpa Asparagus racemosus Aspilia mossambicensis Asplenium aethiopicum Asplenium formosum Bauhinia tomentosa Becium verticillifolium Berkheya spekeana Bersama abyssinica Bidens pilosa Fabaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Acanthaceae Acanthaceae Amaranthaceae Growth form T T H S S H DD1 DD2 DD3 DD4 DD5 DD6 Lamiaceae H DD7 2 6. 45 0. 004 Asteraceae Adiantaceae H H DD8 DD9 2 6. 45 4 12. 90 0. 004 0. 008 Fabaceae H DD10 4 12. 90 0. 008 Asteraceae Lamiaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Rosaceae Scrophulariaceae Sapindaceae Sapindaceae Amaranthaceae H H T T H H T S H DD11 DD12 DD13 DD14 DD15 DD16 DD17 DD18 DD19 74. 19 12. 90 67. 74 12. 90 9. 68 6. 45 25. 81 22. 58 12. 90 0. 046 0. 008 0. 042 0. 008 0. 006 0. 004 0. 016 0. 014 0. 008 Amaranthaceae H DD20 4 12. 90 0. 008 Vitaceae H DD21 2 6. 45 0. 004 Fabaceae Icacinaceae Poaceae Oleandraceae Asparagaceae Asteraceae Aspleniaceae Aspleniaceae Fabaceae Lamiaceae Asteraceae Melianthaceae Asteraceae H T H H S S H H T S H T H DD22 DD23 DD24 DD25 DD26 DD27 DD28 DD29 DD30 DD31 DD32 DD33 DD34 Family 202 Col.No. Freq 16 2 4 8 7 21 23 4 21 4 3 2 8 7 4 2 6 4 4 5 4 5 9 2 2 4 15 17 % Freq 51. 61 6. 45 12. 90 25. 81 22. 58 67. 74 6. 45 19. 35 12. 90 12. 90 16. 13 12. 90 16. 13 29. 03 6. 45 6. 45 12. 90 48. 39 54. 84 R. F 0. 032 0. 004 0. 008 0. 016 0. 014 0. 042 0. 004 0. 012 0. 008 0. 008 0. 010 0. 008 0. 010 0. 018 0. 004 0. 004 0. 008 0. 030 0. 034 S.N 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 Species name (All Plots) Bidens prestinaria Brassica carinata Bridelia micrantha Brucea antidysenterica Buchnera hispida Caesalpinia decapetala Calpurnia aurea Canthium oligocarpum Cardiospermum halicacabum Carissa spinarum Cassipourea malosana Caylusea abyssinica Celosia anthelminthica Celosia trigyna Celtis africana Ceropegia racemosa Chenopodium ambrosioides Chionanthus mildbraedii Cirsium dender Cissampelos mucronata Cissus petiolata Clausena anisata Clematis cadatus Clematis hirsuta Clematis longicauda Clematis simensis Clerodendron myricoides Clutia lanceolata Coelorhachis afraurita Coffea arabica Combretum collinum Combretum molle Combretum paniculatum Commelina diffusa Commelina imberbis Conyza bonariensis Cordia africana Asteraceae Brassicaceae Euphorbiaceae Simaroubaceae Scrophulariaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Rubiaceae Growth form H H T S H S T T DD35 DD36 DD37 DD38 DD39 DD40 DD41 DD42 Sapindaceae H DD43 Apocynaceae Rhizophoraceae Resedaceae Amaranthaceae Amaranthaceae Ulmaceae Asclepiadaceae S T H H H T H DD44 DD45 DD46 DD47 DD48 DD49 DD50 Chenopodiaceae H DD51 Oleaceae Asteraceae Menispermaceae Vitaceae Rutaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae Ranunculaceae S H H L S L L L L DD52 DD53 DD54 DD55 DD56 DD57 DD58 DD59 DD60 Lamiaceae S DD61 Euphorbiaceae Poaceae Rubiaceae Combretaceae Combretaceae Combretaceae Commelinaceae Commelinaceae Asteraceae Boraginaceae S H S T T l H H H T DD62 DD63 DD64 DD65 DD66 DD67 DD68 DD69 DD70 DD71 Family 203 Col.No. Freq 9 3 7 7 4 3 13 2 % Freq 29. 03 9. 68 22. 58 22. 58 12. 90 9. 68 41. 94 6. 45 R. F 0. 018 0. 006 0. 014 0. 014 0. 008 0. 006 0. 026 0. 004 4 12. 90 0. 008 16. 13 6. 45 9. 68 6. 45 6. 45 48. 39 6. 45 0. 010 0. 004 0. 006 0. 004 0. 004 0. 030 0. 004 5 16. 13 0. 010 12. 90 19. 35 12. 90 12. 90 45. 16 12. 90 16. 13 12. 90 19. 35 0. 008 0. 012 0. 008 0. 008 0. 028 0. 008 0. 010 0. 008 0. 012 5 2 3 2 2 15 2 4 6 4 4 14 4 5 4 6 2 6. 45 2 4 10 7 2 6 9 4 6 18 6. 45 12. 90 32. 26 22. 58 6. 45 19. 35 29. 03 12. 90 19. 35 58. 06 0. 004 0. 004 0. 008 0. 020 0. 014 0. 004 0. 012 0. 018 0. 008 0. 012 0. 036 S.N 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 Family % Growth Col.No. Freq Freq form Asteraceae H DD72 Asteraceae Rubiaceae Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae Cupressaceae Cuscutaceae Amaranthaceae Scrophulariaceae Poaceae Cyperaceae Cyperaceae H T H T T H H H H H H DD73 DD74 DD75 DD76 DD77 DD78 DD79 DD80 DD81 DD82 DD83 Vitaceae H Cyprus triceps Cyperaceae Dalbergia lactea Datura stramonium Desmodium dichotomum Desmodium repandum Desmodium salisifolium Dichondra repens Dichrocephala integrifolia Dicliptera laxata Digitaria abyssinica Digitaria ternata Dioscorea bulbifera Diospyros abyssinica Doryopteris concolor Dracaena afromontana Dracaena steudneri Droguetia iners Echium plantagineum Ehretia cymosa Ekebergia capensis Embelia schimperi Ensete ventricosum Entada abyssinica Eremomastax speciosa Species name (All Plots) Crassocephalum macropappum Crassocephalum rubens Crossopteryx febrifuga Crotalaria emarginella Croton macrostachyus Cupressus lusitanica Cuscuta campestris Cyathula uncinulatA Cycnium herzfeldianum Cynodon aethiopicus Cyperus digitatus Cyperus welwitschii Cyphostemma cyphopetalum R. F 4 12. 90 0. 008 6. 45 6. 45 6. 45 64. 52 3. 23 16. 13 48. 39 12. 90 35. 48 9. 68 6. 45 0. 004 0. 004 0. 004 0. 040 0. 002 0. 010 0. 030 0. 008 0. 022 0. 006 0. 004 DD84 7 22. 58 0. 014 H DD85 5 16. 13 0. 010 Fabaceae Solanaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Convolvulaceae S H H H H H DD86 DD87 DD88 DD89 DD90 DD91 Asteraceae H DD92 Acanthaceae Poaceae Poaceae Dioscoreaceae Ebenaceae Sinopteridaceae Dracaenaceae Dracaenaceae Urticaceae Boraginaceae Boraginaceae Meliaceae Myrsinaceae Musaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae H H H H T H S T H H T T S H T H DD93 DD94 DD95 DD96 DD97 DD98 DD99 DD100 DD101 DD102 DD103 DD104 DD105 DD106 DD107 DD108 204 2 2 2 20 1 5 15 4 11 3 2 8 3 4 14 2 11 25. 81 9. 68 12. 90 45. 16 6. 45 35. 48 3 9. 68 4 2 2 4 3 6 4 5 5 2 15 6 2 2 6 4 12. 90 6. 45 6. 45 12. 90 9. 68 19. 35 12. 90 16. 13 16. 13 6. 45 48. 39 19. 35 6. 45 6. 45 19. 35 12. 90 0. 016 0. 006 0. 008 0. 028 0. 004 0. 022 0. 006 0. 008 0. 004 0. 004 0. 008 0. 006 0. 012 0. 008 0. 010 0. 010 0. 004 0. 030 0. 012 0. 004 0. 004 0. 012 0. 008 S.N 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 Species name (All Plots) Erythrina brucei Erythrococca trichogyne Eucalyptus camaldulensis Euphorbia candelabrum Euphorbia cyparissioides Euphorbia schimperiana Euphorbia tirucalli Ficus mucuso Ficus sp. Ficus sur Ficus sycamoras Ficus thonningii Ficus vasta Flacourtia indica Galiniera saxifraga Galinsoga parviflora Gardenia volkensii Geranium aculeolatum Girardinia diversifolia Glycine wightii Gnidia glauca Gouania longispicata Grevillea robusta Grewia ferruginea Guizotia schimperi Helinus mystacinus Helychrysum forskaulii Hibiscus berberidifolius Hibiscus dongolensis Hippocratea goetzei Hygrophila asteracanthoide Hyparrhenia rufa Hypericum peplidifolium Hypericum revolutum Hypoestes aristata Hypoestes forskaullii Hypolepis glandulifera Fabaceae Euphorbiaceae % Growth Col.No. Freq Freq form T DD109 2 6. 45 S DD110 8 25. 81 Myrtaceae T DD111 1 3. 23 0. 002 Euphorbiaceae T DD112 2 6. 45 0. 004 Euphorbiaceae H DD113 4 12. 90 0. 008 Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Moraceae Flacourtiaceae Rubiaceae Asteraceae Rubiaceae Geraniaceae Urticaceae Fabaceae Thymelaeaceae Rhamnaceae Proteaceae Tiliaceae Asteraceae Rhamnaceae Asteraceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Celastraceae H T T T T T T T T T H S H H H S L T S H L H S S L DD114 DD115 DD116 DD117 DD118 DD119 DD120 DD121 DD122 DD123 DD124 DD125 DD126 DD127 DD128 DD129 DD130 DD131 DD132 DD133 DD134 DD135 DD136 DD137 DD138 12. 90 12. 90 16. 13 12. 90 35. 48 6. 45 29. 03 25. 81 38. 71 16. 13 35. 48 19. 35 12. 90 25. 81 12. 90 12. 90 19. 35 3. 23 25. 81 41. 94 12. 90 9. 68 12. 90 12. 90 25. 81 0. 008 0. 008 0. 010 0. 008 0. 022 0. 004 0. 018 0. 016 0. 024 0. 010 0. 022 0. 012 0. 008 0. 016 0. 008 0. 008 0. 012 0. 002 0. 016 0. 026 0. 008 0. 006 0. 008 0. 008 0. 016 Acanthaceae H DD139 5 16. 13 0. 010 Poaceae Hypericaceae Hypericaceae Acanthaceae Acanthaceae Dennstaedtiaceae H H S H H H DD140 DD141 DD142 DD143 DD144 DD145 7 4 2 3 5 2 0. 014 0. 008 0. 004 0. 006 0. 010 0. 004 Family 205 4 4 5 4 11 2 9 8 12 5 11 6 4 8 4 4 6 1 8 13 4 3 4 4 8 22. 58 12. 90 6. 45 9. 68 16. 13 6. 45 R. F 0. 004 0. 016 S.N 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 Species name (All Plots) Impatiens aethiopica Indigofera spicata Isoglossa somalensis Jasminum abyssinicum Jasminum repandum Justicia ladanoides Justicia schimperiana Kalanchoe petitiana Keetia guiinzii Keetia zanzibarica Kosteletzkya begoniifolia Laggera alata Laggera crispata Landolphia buchananii Lantana trifolium Leucas martinicensis Lippia adoensis Loxogramme abyssinica Macaranga capensis Maesa lanceolata Maytenus arbutifolia Maytenus gracilipes Maytenus senegalensis Maytenus undata Micractis bojeri Microsorium scolopendria Mikaniopsis clematoides Millettia ferruginea Momordica foetida Myrsine africana Nephrolepis undulata Nicandra physaloides Nuxia congesta Ocimum lamiifolium Ocimum urticifolium Olea welwitschii Oplismenus compositus Oplismenus hirtellus Balsaminaceae Fabaceae Acanthaceae Oleaceae Oleaceae Acanthaceae Acanthaceae Crassulaceae Rubiaceae Rubiaceae Growth form H S S L L H S H S S DD146 DD147 DD148 DD149 DD150 DD151 DD152 DD153 DD154 DD155 Malvaceae H DD156 Asteraceae Asteraceae Apocynaceae Verbenaceae Lamiaceae Verbenaceae Polypodiaceae Euphorbiaceae Myrsinaceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Celastraceae Asteraceae H H L S H S H T T T S T S H DD157 DD158 DD159 DD160 DD161 DD162 DD163 DD164 DD165 DD166 DD167 DD168 DD169 DD170 Polypodiaceae H DD171 Asteraceae Fabaceae Cucurbitaceae Myrsinaceae Nephrolepidaceae Solanaceae Loganiaceae Lamiaceae Lamiaceae Oleaceae Poaceae Poaceae H T H S H H T S S T H H DD172 DD173 DD174 DD175 DD176 DD177 DD178 DD179 DD180 DD181 DD182 DD183 Family 206 Col.No. Freq 5 6 4 6 3 11 3 3 3 2 % Freq 16. 13 19. 35 12. 90 19. 35 9. 68 35. 48 9. 68 9. 68 9. 68 6. 45 1 3. 23 6 12 4 5 8 7 5 4 18 8 10 2 2 2 R. F 0. 010 0. 012 0. 008 0. 012 0. 006 0. 022 0. 006 0. 006 0. 006 0. 004 0. 002 19. 35 38. 71 12. 90 16. 13 25. 81 22. 58 16. 13 12. 90 58. 06 25. 81 32. 26 6. 45 6. 45 6. 45 0. 012 0. 024 0. 008 0. 010 0. 016 0. 014 0. 010 0. 008 0. 036 0. 016 0. 020 0. 004 0. 004 0. 004 4 12. 90 0. 008 4 10 8 4 2 2 1 7 12 4 15 4 12. 90 32. 26 25. 81 12. 90 6. 45 6. 45 3. 23 22. 58 38. 71 12. 90 48. 39 12. 90 0. 008 0. 020 0. 016 0. 008 0. 004 0. 004 0. 002 0. 014 0. 024 0. 008 0. 030 0. 008 S.N 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 Species name (All Plots) Otostegia tomentosa Oxyanthus speciosus Passiflora edulis Paullinia pinnata Pavonia glechomifolia Pavonia urens Pennisetum nubicum Pennisetum sphacelatum Pentas lanceolata Peperomia abyssinica Peperomia tetraphyla Pergularia daemia Periploca linearifolia Persicaria setosula Phoenix reclinata Phyllanthus mooneyi Phyllanthus ovalifolius Physalis peruviana Phytolacca dodecandra Pinus patula Piper capense Pittosporum viridiflorum Plantago lanceolata Plectranthus punctatus Podocarpus falcatus Polyscias fulva Pouzolzia mixta Premna schimperi Prunus africana Pseudarthria hookeri Psidium guajava Psychotria orophila Psydrax schimperiana Pteris pteridioides Pterolobium stellatum Pychnostachys emini Pycnostachys abyssinica Pycreus nitida Ranunculus multifidus Family Lamiaceae Rubiaceae Passifolraceae Sapindaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Poaceae Poaceae Rubiaceae Piperaceae Piperaceae Asclepiadaceae Asclepiadaceae Polygonaceae Arecaceae Euphorbiaceae Euphorbiaceae Solanaceae Phytolacaeae Pinaceae Piperaceae Pittosporaceae Plantaginaceae Lamiaceae Podocarpaceae Araliaceae Urticaceae Lamiaceae Rosaceae Fabaceae Myrtaceae Rubiaceae Rubiaceae Pteridaceae Fabaceae Lamiaceae Lamiaceae Cyperaceae Ranunculaceae 207 Growth form S S L L H S H H S H H H L H T H S H S T S T H H T T S S T H T T T H S H H H H Col.No. Freq DD184 DD185 DD186 DD187 DD188 DD189 DD190 DD191 DD192 DD193 DD194 DD195 DD196 DD197 DD198 DD199 DD200 DD201 DD202 DD203 DD204 DD205 DD206 DD207 DD208 DD209 DD210 DD211 DD212 DD213 DD214 DD215 DD216 DD217 DD218 DD219 DD220 DD221 DD222 4 2 3 4 4 11 4 4 9 11 8 7 2 2 11 9 9 4 9 1 3 4 6 2 6 4 2 8 6 4 3 2 2 2 6 4 4 4 4 % Freq 12. 90 6. 45 9. 68 12. 90 12. 90 35. 48 12. 90 12. 90 29. 03 35. 48 25. 81 22. 58 6. 45 6. 45 35. 48 29. 03 29. 03 12. 90 29. 03 3. 23 9. 68 12. 90 19. 35 6. 45 19. 35 12. 90 6. 45 25. 81 19. 35 12. 90 9. 68 6. 45 6. 45 6. 45 19. 35 12. 90 12. 90 12. 90 12. 90 R. F 0. 008 0. 004 0. 006 0. 008 0. 008 0. 022 0. 008 0. 008 0. 018 0. 022 0. 016 0. 014 0. 004 0. 004 0. 022 0. 018 0. 018 0. 008 0. 018 0. 002 0. 006 0. 008 0. 012 0. 004 0. 012 0. 008 0. 004 0. 016 0. 012 0. 008 0. 006 0. 004 0. 004 0. 004 0. 012 0. 008 0. 008 0. 008 0. 008 S.N 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 Species name (All Plots) Rhamnus prinoides Rhoicissus tridentata Rhus natalensis Ricinus communis Ritchiea albersii Rothmannia urcelliformis Rubus apetalus Rubus steudneri Rumex natalensis Rytigynia neglecta Sanicula elata Sapium ellipticum Satureja paradoxa Schefflera abyssinica Schrebera alata Senna didymobotrya Senna occidentalis Senna petersiana Senra incana Sesbania sesban Setaria megaphylla Setaria verticillata Sicyos polyacanthus Sida schimperiana Sida tenuicarpa Sida ternata Solanecio gigas Solanecio mannii Solanum anguivi Solanum capsicoides Solanum dasyphyllum Solanum giganteum Solanum incanum Soncus asper Sporobolus africanus Stachys albigena Stellaria mannii Stephania abyssinica Stereospermum % Freq 22. 58 12. 90 16. 13 12. 90 12. 90 Rhamnaceae Vitaceae Anacardiaceae Euphorbiaceae Capparidaceae Growth form S L S H T DD223 DD224 DD225 DD226 DD227 7 4 5 4 4 Rubiaceae T DD228 7 22. 58 0. 014 Rosaceae Rosaceae Polygonaceae Rubiaceae Apiaceae Euphorbiaceae Lamiaceae Araliaceae Oleaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Fabaceae Malvaeae Fabaceae Poaceae Poaceae Cucurbitaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Malvaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Solanaceae Asteraceae Poaceae Lamiaceae Caryophyllaceae Menispermaceae Bignoniaceae S S H S H T H T T S H T H T H H H S S H S T S S H S S H H H H H T DD229 DD230 DD231 DD232 DD233 DD234 DD235 DD236 DD237 DD238 DD239 DD240 DD241 DD242 DD243 DD244 DD245 DD246 DD247 DD248 DD249 DD250 DD251 DD252 DD253 DD254 DD255 DD256 DD257 DD258 DD259 DD260 DD261 6. 45 41. 94 22. 58 38. 71 16. 13 41. 94 35. 48 19. 35 3. 23 29. 03 12. 90 22. 58 6. 45 3. 23 9. 68 12. 90 12. 90 38. 71 25. 81 12. 90 22. 58 12. 90 19. 35 6. 45 6. 45 12. 90 38. 71 16. 13 6. 45 6. 45 6. 45 16. 13 16. 13 0. 004 0. 026 0. 014 0. 024 0. 010 0. 026 0. 022 0. 012 0. 002 0. 018 0. 008 0. 014 0. 004 0. 002 0. 006 0. 008 0. 008 0. 024 0. 016 0. 008 0. 014 0. 008 0. 012 0. 004 0. 004 0. 008 0. 024 0. 010 0. 004 0. 004 0. 004 0. 010 0. 010 Family 208 Col.No. Freq 2 13 7 12 5 13 11 6 1 9 4 7 2 1 3 4 4 12 8 4 7 4 6 2 2 4 12 5 2 2 2 5 5 R. F 0. 014 0. 008 0. 010 0. 008 0. 008 S.N 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 Species name (All Plots) kunthianum Syzygium guineense Tagetes minuta Teclea nobilis Tectaria gemmifera Terminalia schimperiana Thalictrum rhynchocarpum Tragia cinerea Trichilia dregeana Trilepisium madagascariense Triumfetta pilosa Triumfetta rhomboidea Urera hypselodendron Vangueriaapiculata Vepris dainellii Vernonia adoensis Vernonia amygdalina Vernonia auriculifera Vernonia biafrae Vernonia hochstetteri Vernonia ischnophylla Vernonia ituriensis Vernonia karaguensis Vernonia theophrastifolia Vernonia thomsoniana Veronica abyssinica Xanthium strumanium Family % Growth Col.No. Freq Freq form Myrtaceae Asteraceae Rutaceae Tectariaceae T H T H DD262 DD263 DD264 DD265 Combretaceae T Ranunculaceae R. F 35. 48 16. 13 12. 90 19. 35 0. 022 0. 010 0. 008 0. 012 DD266 6 19. 35 0. 012 H DD267 4 12. 90 0. 008 Euphorbiaceae Meliaceae H T DD268 DD269 9 29. 03 4 12. 90 0. 018 0. 008 Moraceae T DD270 2 6. 45 0. 004 Tiliaceae Tiliaceae Urticaceae Rubiaceae Rutaceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae Asteraceae H H L T T S T S S S S S S DD271 DD272 DD273 DD274 DD275 DD276 DD277 DD278 DD279 DD280 DD281 DD282 DD283 Asteraceae S Asteraceae Scrophulariaceae Asteraceae S H H 209 11 5 4 6 12. 90 12. 90 12. 90 41. 94 32. 26 12. 90 32. 26 74. 19 6. 45 12. 90 22. 58 12. 90 12. 90 0. 008 0. 008 0. 008 0. 026 0. 020 0. 008 0. 020 0. 046 0. 004 0. 008 0. 014 0. 008 0. 008 DD284 4 12. 90 0. 008 DD285 DD286 DD287 2 6. 45 4 12. 90 2 6. 45 0. 004 0. 008 0. 004 4 4 4 13 10 4 10 23 2 4 7 4 4 -0.22 clay 0.25 sand 0.20 0.27 31 -0.42 31 -0.21 -0.18 31 0.29 -0.22 BD 0.23 CEC 0.23 0.22 pH 0.41 31 -0.05 31 0.31 0.18 31 0.02 silt 0.73 0.07 bio4 0.05 0.35 pet 0.48 31 0.01 31 0.00 0.01 31 0.01 -0.45 mi 0.01 bio1 0.01 0.45 bio5 0.45 31 0.00 31 0.01 31 0.01 -0.42 bio12 0.02 -0.01 bio13 0.94 bio3 0.35 0.05 31 0.33 Cor 0.09 0.80 0.34 0.26 0.14 0.02 N 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 N 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 31 (Elev = elevation, bio3 = isothermality, bio13 = rainfall wettest month, bio12 = mean annual rainfall, bio5 = maximum temperature warmest month, bio1 = mean annual temperature, mi = annual moisture index, pet = potential evapotranspiration, bio4 = rainfall seasonality, CEC = cation exchange capacity, BD = bulk density) 210 0.02 0.41 0.02 0.23 0.24 0.10 0.15 0.42 0.88 0.20 0.25 0.18 0.17 0.19 0.26 0.15 0.70 0.83 0.58 P -0.42 0.35 -0.22 0.94 -0.22 0.99 -0.30 0.97 -0.03 0.99 -0.24 0.97 -0.25 0.94 -0.24 0.07 0.07 0.64 0.04 P Cor Tree 31 0.01 31 -0.09 N Shrub -0.57 Elev P 0.11 Herb Cor 0.00 Pearson Appendix 9: Linear relationships between plant growth forms, richness and environmental variables 31 Appendix 10: Synoptic Table for grouping canopy trees in SFC Binomial Acacia abyssinica Albizia gummifera Allophylus abyssinica Apodytes dimidiata Bersama abyssinica Bridelia micrantha Celtis africana Chionanthus mildbraedii Clausena anisata Cordia africana Croton macrostachyus Diospyros abyssinica Dracaena steudneri Ehreta cymosa Ekebergia capensis Ficus mucuso Ficus sur Ficus thonningi Ficus vasta Flacourtia indica Galiniera saxifraga Grewia ferruginea Maesa lanceolata Maytenus arbutifolia Millettia ferruginea phoenix reclinata Pittosporum viridiflorum Podocarpus falcatus Polyscias fulva Prunus africana Rothmania urcelliformis Sapium ellipticum Schefflera abyssinica Schrebera alata Syzygium guineense Terminalia schimperiana Trichilia dregeana Trilepisium madagascariense Vangueria apiculata Vepris dainellii Vernonia amygdalina Vernonia auriculifera Group I Group II 0.00 7.40 4.20 1.40 2.00 0.00 1.20 0.00 0.00 4.80 8.00 2.60 0.00 4.80 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 4.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.00 5.33 4.93 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.47 3.33 0.00 1.60 6.73 3.53 0.33 0.27 1.07 0.00 0.00 0.47 2.40 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.47 0.53 0.00 1.27 0.00 0.33 0.47 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.67 2.20 1.33 1.33 211 Group III 4.40 2.00 0.00 0.00 1.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.80 3.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.40 6.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 1.60 0.00 1.40 1.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Group IV 0.00 2.20 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 3.40 1.30 0.00 4.60 6.00 5.70 3.50 1.00 0.00 4.10 2.00 1.30 1.80 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 4.80 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.80 1.30 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.40 1.20 1.90 0.50 1.70 0.00 0.00 Appendix 11: Linear relationships between tree species abundance and environmental variables bio1 mi pet bio4 silt pH cec bld sand clay Elev bio3 bio13 bio12 bio5 Abundance Cor 0.41 0.22 0.04 0.45 -0.46 -0.47 0.46 -0.48 -0.27 0.15 0.54 0.40 0.06 0.42 0.27 P 0.03 0.26 0.86 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.16 0.45 0.00 0.03 0.76 0.02 0.16 N 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 29 (Elev = elevation, bio13 = rainfall wettest month, bio3 = isothermality, bio1 = mean annual temperature, bio4 = rainfall seasonality, silt = soil silt, pH = soil pH, CEC = cation exchange capacity, bld = bulk density, bio12 = mean annual rainfall, PET = potential evapotranspiration, MI = annual moisture index, bio5 = maximum temperature warmest month, abund = tree species abundance) 212 Appendix 12: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in SFC (C t ha-1) (C t ha-1 = carbon ton per hectare) A (in SFC) Species name Albizia gummifera Croton macrostachyus Ficus mucuso Acacia abyssinica Dracaena steudneri Cordia africana Millettia ferruginea Ficus vasta Ficus sur Sapium ellipticum Celtis africana Diospyros abyssinica Prunus africana Ficus thonningii Ehretia cymosa Schefflera abyssinica Vepris dainellii Syzygium guineense Trilepisium madagascariense Apodytes dimidiata Trichilia dregeana Allophylus abyssinicus Maytenus arbutifolia B (in SFC) C t ha-1 Family 14.618 Fabaceae 9.682 Moraceae C t ha-1 22.017 12.073 7.307 Euphorbiaceae 4.293 Boraginaceae 11.438 4.153 Dracaenaceae 4.105 Ulmaceae 4.153 4.976 1.604 3.093 Ebenaceae 1.773 Rosaceae 1.321 1.746 Araliaceae 1.714 Rutaceae 0.755 1.604 Myrtaceae 1.321 Iccacinaceae 0.294 1.214 Meliaceae 0.97 Sapindacea 0.224 0.873 Asteraceae 0.665 Celastraceae 0.116 1.214 0.423 0.270 0.193 0.110 0.394 Melianthaceae 0.294 Oleaceae 0.075 0.277 Rubiaceae 0.27 Flacourtiaceae 0.054 0.071 0.047 0.214 Myrsinaceae 0.193 Podocarpaceae 0.041 0.11 Combretaceae 0.016 213 0.019 A (in SFC) Species name B (in SFC) C t ha-1 Family C t ha-1 0.015 Polyscias fulva 0.093 Arecaceae 0.091 Pitosporaceae Bersama abyssinica 0.075 Tiliaceae 0.002 Maesa lanceolata Flacourtia indica Bridelia micrantha Schrebera alata Chionanthus mildbraedii Clausena anisata Rothmania urcelliformis Vernonia auriculifera Vangueria apiculata Podocarpus falcatus Terminalia schimperiana Phoenix reclinata Ekebergia capensis Galiniera saxifraga Pittosporum viridiflorum Grewia ferruginea Total 0.051 0.047 0.043 0.037 0.034 0.029 0.027 0.023 0.023 0.019 0.016 0.015 0.011 0.004 0.002 0.002 61.5 Vernonia amygdalina 214 0.002 Appendix 13: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in DNF A (in DNF) Species name B (in DNF) C t ha-1 Family C t ha-1 Ficus sur 19.752 Moraceae 19.978 Apodytes dimidiata 14.152 Icacinaceae 14.152 Syzygium guineense 8.085 Fabaceae 9.525 Celtis africana 6.609 Myrtaceae 8.085 Albizia gummifera 6.485 Ulmaceae 6.609 Schefflera abyssinica 5.842 Araliaceae 6.102 Olea welwitschii 3.203 Oleaceae 4.863 Millettia ferruginea 3.040 Euphorbiaceae 3.935 Prunus africana 2.464 Rosaceae 2.464 Macaranga capensis 2.307 Meliaceae 1.549 Chionanthus mildbraedi 1.660 Rutaceae 1.321 Croton macrostachyus 1.628 Melianthaceae 0.915 Ekebergia capensis 1.156 Rubiaceae 0.842 Bersama abyssinica 0.915 Sapindaceae 0.528 Galiniera saxifraga 0.892 Podocarpaceae 0.383 Vepris dainellii 0.723 Boraginaceae 0.358 Allophylus abyssinicus 0.528 Loganiaceae 0.212 Trichilia dregeana 0.393 Arecaceae 0.168 Podocarpus falcatus 0.383 Celastraceae 0.038 Cordia africana 0.358 Simaroubaceae 0.002 Teclea noblis 0.310 Polysciasfulva 0.261 Ficus sycamoras 0.226 Nuxia congesta 0.212 215 A (in DNF) Species name B (in DNF) C t ha-1 Phoenix reclinata 0.168 Canthium oligocarpum 0.121 Rothmania ulceriformis 0.071 Maytenus arbutifolia 0.038 Vangueria apiculata 0.027 Psychotria orophila 0.013 Oxyanthus speciosus 0.007 Brucea antidysenterica 0.002 Total Family 82.029 216 C t ha-1 Appendix 14: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in woodland A (in woodland) B (in woodland Species name C t ha-1 Family C t ha-1 Acacia abyssinica 4.406 Anacardiaceae 0.016 Acacia lahai 0.094 Arecaceae 0.034 Albizia gummifera 0.116 Asteraceae 0.051 Bridelia micrantha 0.005 Bignoniaceae 0.555 Combretum collinum 0.586 Boraginaceae 0.834 Combretum molle 0.019 Combretaceae 1.374 Cordia africana 0.834 Euphorbiaceae 0.129 Croton macrostachyus 0.069 Fabaceae 5.532 Entada abyssinica 0.896 Flacourtiaceae 0.112 Euphorbia tirucalli 0.003 Moraceae 2.510 Ficus sur 0.512 Myrsinaceae 1.703 Ficus sycamoras 1.190 Myrtaceae 0.007 Ficus vasta 0.808 Rubiaceae 0.008 Flacourtia indica 0.112 Gardenis volkensii 0.008 Maesa lanceolata 1.703 Millettia ferruginea 0.005 Phoenix reclinata 0.034 Psidium guajava 0.007 Rhus natalensis 0.016 Sapium ellipticum 0.051 Senna petersiana 0.009 Sesbania sesban 0.007 Stereospermum kunthianum 0.555 Terminalia schimperiana 0.769 Vernonia amygdalina 0.051 Total 12.865 217 Appendix 15: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in pasture A Species B C t ha-1 Family C t ha-1 Acacia abyssinica 0.073 Bignoniaceae 0.042 Bauhinia tomentosa 0.019 Boraginaceae 0.003 Combretum collinum 0.124 Combretaceae 0.124 Ehretia cymosa 0.003 Euphorbiaceae 0.243 Entada abyssinica 0.022 Fabaceae 0.113 Ficus vasta 1.932 Flacourtiaceae 0.008 Flacourtia indica 0.008 Moraceae 1.932 Gardenia volkensii 0.012 Myrsinaceae 0.002 Keetia zanzibarica 0.003 Myrtaceae 0.023 Maesa lanceolata 0.002 Rubiaceae 0.015 Sapium ellipticum 0.243 Stereospermum kunthianum 0.042 Syzygium guineense 0.023 Total 2.507 218 Appendix 16: AGC in each tree species (A) and in each plant family (B) in croplands A Species B C t ha-1 Families C t ha-1 Acacia abyssinica 0.191 Araliaceae 0.125 Albizia gummifera 0.002 Asteraceae 0.103 Combretum molle 0.123 Boraginaceae 1.171 Cordia africana 0.794 Combretaceae 0.122 Ficus vasta 0.114 Fabaceae 0.161 Ficus sycamoras 0.299 Moraceae 0.344 Prunus africana 0.611 Scheffleria abyssinica 0.150 Terminalia schimperiana 0.024 Vernonia amygdalina 0.123 Total 2.432 219 29 0.02 -0.44 bio5 29 0.10 -0.31 bio4 29 0.02 -0.44 bio7 29 0.02 -0.43 bio6 29 0.01 -0.45 bio1 29 0.42 -0.16 bio3 mi 29 0.02 0.44 29 0.01 -0.45 bio2 mimq bio17 29 0.01 0.45 29 0.02 0.44 bio16 29 0.30 0.20 29 0.02 -0.46 pet bio15 29 0.12 0.30 29 0.18 -0.25 bio14 29 0.97 -0.01 bio13 bio12 29 0.02 0.42 P 29 0.02 -0.44 bio11 Cor 29 0.02 -0.44 bio10 AGC _4th root Appendix 17: Linear relationships between AGC and climate variables N bio10 = mean temperature warmest quarter, bio11 = mean temperature coolest quarter, bio12 = mean annual rainfall, bio13 = rainfall wettest month, bio14 = Rainfall driest month, bio15 = Rainfall seasonality, bio16 = Rainfall wettest quarter, bio17 =Rainfall driest quarter, pet = potential evapotranspiration, mimq = Moisture index moist quarter, mi = Annual moisture index, 2 = Mean diurnal range in temperature, bio3 = Isothermality, bio1 = mean annual temperature, bio6 = Min temp coolest month, bio7 = Annual temperature range, bio4 =Temperature seasonality, bio5 = Max temp warmest month 220 LAI_v6 Cor . P N Cor . P N Pearson bio3 29 0.785 0.053 29 0.823 0.043 29 0.029 -0.406 29 0.024 -0.418 29 0.515 -0.126 29 0.532 -0.121 29 0.053 0.363 29 0.045 0.375 29 0.029 -0.405 29 0.025 -0.415 29 0.051 0.365 29 0.044 0.376 29 0.026 -0.412 29 0.022 -0.423 29 0.665 0.084 29 0.633 0.093 29 0.014 -0.452 29 0.012 -0.46 29 0.503 -0.13 29 0.496 -0.132 29 0.057 -0.357 29 0.05 -0.368 29 0.032 -0.4 29 0.027 -0.41 29 0.026 -0.414 29 0.022 -0.425 29 0.022 0.423 29 0.017 0.44 29 0.035 0.394 29 0.029 0.405 29 0.269 0.212 29 0.252 0.22 29 0.027 -0.41 29 0.024 -0.419 29 0.182 -0.255 29 0.167 -0.264 bio10 bio13 bio12 bio5 mimq bio1 bio16 221 bio7 bio14 bio6 bio11 bio2 bio17 mi bio15 pet bio4 Appendix 18: Linear relationships between true_LAI indices and climate variables LAI Type LAI_v5 Appendix 19: Habitat suitability for the distribution of five plant species in Ethiopia under baseline and projected climate (A1, B1, C1, D1, E1 = baseline scenario, A2, B2, C2, D2, E2 = Projected climatescenario) A1 A2 222 B2 B1 C1 C2 223 D1 D2 E1 E2 224 Appendix 20: Jackknife test (training and test data) for the distribution of five plant species (A1, B1, C1, D1, E1 represent training gain under baseline scenario; A2, B2, C2, D2, E2 represent test gain under the baseline scenario; A3, B3, C3, D3, E3 represent training gain under the projected climate; A4, B4, C4, D4, E4 represent test gain under the projected climate Jackknife test for the distribution of five species A2 A1 A4 A3 B2 225 B1 B3 B4 C1 C2 C3 C4 D1 D2 226 D3 D4 E2 E1 E3 E4 A1-4 = Acacia abyssinica, B1-4 = Cordia africana, C1-4 = Millettia ferruginea, D1-4= Phytolacca dodecandra, E1-4= Schefflera abyssinica) 227 I, the undersigned, hereby declare that this thesis is my original work and that all sources of materials used for the thesis have been acknowledged. Name: Dereje Denu Rebu Signature: ____________________ Date of submission: May 06, 2016 228